JTWC Patrick Hoareau
04P( Sarai) now a CAT 1 US, tracking apprx 190km South of Suva/Fiji - 12/28/2019 - 07:58
TC 04P( SARAI) SOUTH PACIFIC As of 00:00 UTC Dec 28, 2019: Location: 19.6°S 177.5°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h) Gusts: 80 kt ( 150km/h) CATEGORY US: 1 REMARKS: 280300Z POSITION NEAR 19.7S...
04P( Sarai) tracking apprx 200km South of Suva/Fiji and intensifying - 12/27/2019 - 21:52
TC 04P( SARAI) SOUTH PACIFIC As of 12:00 UTC Dec 27, 2019: Location: 18.7°S 176.1°E Maximum Winds: 55 kt ( 100km/h) Gusts: 70 kt ( 130km/h) REMARKS: 271500Z POSITION NEAR 18.9S 176.4E....
South Indian: Invest 96S: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert - 12/27/2019 - 19:25
INVEST 96S SOUTH INDIAN As of 12:00 UTC Dec 27, 2019: Location: 12.1°S 55.7°E Maximum Winds: 25/30 kt WTXS21 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//...
30W(Phanfone), 04P( Sarai) and Invest 96S: updates at 27/03UTC - 12/27/2019 - 09:04
TY 30W( PHANFONE) WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 00:00 UTC Dec 27, 2019: Location: 14.7°N 116.9°E Maximum Winds: 70 kt ( 130km/h) Gusts: 85 kt ( 160km/h) CATEGORY US: 1 WDPN31 PGTW 270300...
Philippines: Phanfone moving away and weakening. Fiji: 04P approaching and strengthening - 12/26/2019 - 19:20
TY 30W( PHANFONE) WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 12:00 UTC Dec 26, 2019: Location: 13.9°N 117.6°E Maximum Winds: 75 kt ( 140km/h) Gusts: 90 kt ( 170km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: mb...
Typhoon Phanfone(30W) near Cat 3. Invest 99P: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert. - 12/25/2019 - 07:56
TY 30W( PHANFONE) WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 00:00 UTC Dec 25, 2019: Location: 11.8°N 122.4°E Maximum Winds: 95 kt ( 175km/h) Gusts: 115 kt ( 220km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: mb...
Cat 2 Typhoon Phanfone tracking across the Visayan Sea - 12/24/2019 - 19:12
TY 30W( PHANFONE) WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 12:00 UTC Dec 24, 2019: Location: 11.4°N 124.8°E Maximum Winds: 90 kt ( 170km/h) Gusts: 110 kt ( 205km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: mb...
Typhoon Phanfone Update at 12UTC: the eye over Santa Rita just to the North of Tacloban - 12/24/2019 - 13:07
TY 30W( PHANFONE) WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 12:00 UTC Dec 24, 2019: Location: 11.4°N 125.0°E Moving West North West
Intensifying Typhoon Phanfone bearing down on Tacloban/PH. Landfall: shortly before 12h - 12/24/2019 - 06:42
TY 30W( PHANFONE) WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 00:00 UTC Dec 24, 2019: Location: 10.8°N 127.6°E Maximum Winds: 70 kt ( 130km/h) Gusts: 85 kt ( 160km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: mb...
30W(Phanfone) intensifying next 36hours and approaching Samar/Philippines - 12/23/2019 - 01:30
TS 30W( PHANFONE) WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 18:00 UTC Dec 22, 2019: Location: 9.3°N 135.6°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb WDPN31 PGTW...
30W(PHANFONE) slowly approaching the Philippines/intensifying. Forecast track: good confidence - 12/22/2019 - 06:21
TD 30W( PHANFONE) WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 00:00 UTC Dec 22, 2019: Location: 6.7°N 139.0°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h) Gusts: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1001 mb WDPN31 PGTW...
Invest 98W: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert - 12/21/2019 - 12:27
INVEST 98W WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 06:00 UTC Dec 21, 2019: Location: 5.3°N 142.5°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb WTPN21 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON...
Invest 98W upgraded to Medium. Invest 97P & 96S: updates - 12/20/2019 - 23:28
INVEST 98W WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC As of 00:00 UTC Dec 21, 2019: Location: 4.9°N 142.7°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb ABPW10 PGTW 201400 COR 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC...
INVEST 96S: poorly organized. Downgraded to low - 12/20/2019 - 00:08
INVEST 96S SOUTH INDIAN As of 18:00 UTC Dec 19, 2019: Location: 14.9°S 70.6°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb WTXS21 PGTW 191730...
INVEST 96S: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert(TCFA) - 12/19/2019 - 09:00
INVEST 96S SOUTH INDIAN As of 00:00 UTC Dec 19, 2019: Location: 15.2°S 70.4°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h) Gusts: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb WTXS21 PGTW 190300...
Invest 96S: models show little development next 96h - 12/16/2019 - 14:16
INVEST 96S SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE SOUTH INDIAN As of 00:00 UTC Dec 16, 2019: Location: 10.9°S 68.8°E Maximum Winds: 15 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb ABIO10 PGTW 161100 2. SOUTH INDIAN...
TC 02S(BELNA) making landfall near Soalala/Madagascar within 12h as a Cat1/2 - 12/09/2019 - 11:47
TC 02S BELNA As of 06:00 UTC Dec 09, 2019: Location: 14.6°S 45.6°E Maximum Winds: 80 kt ( 150km/h) Gusts: 100 kt ( 185km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 979 mb CATEGORY US: 1 REMARKS: 090900Z...
TC 02S(BELNA) back to Category 2 but expected to intensify, bearing down on Madagascar - 12/08/2019 - 11:21
TC 02S BELNA As of 06:00 UTC Dec 08, 2019: Location: 12.0°S 46.6°E Maximum Winds: 90 kt ( 170km/h) Gusts: 110 kt ( 205km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 970 mb CATEGORY US: 2 REMARKS: 080900Z...
TC 02S(BELNA) cat 3 and intensifying. Invest 92B: TCFA. TC 03S(AMBALI) & INVEST 94P: updates - 12/08/2019 - 02:45
TC 02S BELNA SOUTH INDIAN MOZ CHANNEL As of 18:00 UTC Dec 07, 2019: Location: 10.9°S 47.2°E Maximum Winds: 100 kt ( 185km/h) Gusts: 125 kt ( 230km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 960 mb...
TC 02S(BELNA) cat 2 and intensifying. 03S(AMBALI), Invest 92B and 93P: updates 07/09UTC - 12/07/2019 - 12:36
TC 02S BELNA SOUTH INDIAN MOZ CHANNEL As of 06:00 UTC Dec 07, 2019: Location: 9.6°S 47.4°E Maximum Winds: 85 kt ( 160km/h) Gusts: 105 kt ( 195km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 974 mb...
Super Cyclone Ambali(03S): explosive intensification: 70kts to 135kts in 12hours - 12/06/2019 - 09:40
WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 10.5S 62.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM...
TC AMBALI(03S): rapid intensification - 12/05/2019 - 19:22
WARNING POSITION: 051200Z --- NEAR 9.2S 62.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM...
TS KAMMURI(29W), TC PAWAN(06A), TC AMBALI(03S), TC 02S: updates - 12/05/2019 - 10:10
Météo974 M974World
TY Kammrui(29W) , TC 06A, Invest 95W, 91A and 91S: updates at 03/06UTC - 12/03/2019 - 11:40
Météo974 M974World WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY Kammuri (29W) As of 06:00 UTC Dec 03, 2019: Location: 13.2°N 120.8°E Maximum Winds: 85 kt ( 160km/h) Gusts: 105 kt (195km/h) Minimum Central...
Powerful Typhoon Kammuri(29W), cat 4: tracking over Legazpi at 02/16UTC - 12/02/2019 - 21:30
Météo974 M974World WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY Kammuri (29W) As of 14:30 UTC Dec 02, 2019: Location: 13.0°N 124.2°E Maximum Winds: 115 kt ( 215km/h) Gusts: 140 kt (260km/h) Minimum Central...
Powerful Typhoon Kammuri(29W), cat 4, tracking almost over Legazpi shortly - 12/02/2019 - 18:45
Météo974 M974World WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY Kammuri (29W) As of 12:00 UTC Dec 02, 2019: Location: 13.0°N 124.7°E Maximum Winds: 115 kt ( 215km/h) Gusts: 140 kt (260km/h) Minimum Central...
Dangerous Typhoon Kammuri should track very close to Legazpi/Virac in apprx 12/18hours - 12/02/2019 - 07:28
Météo974 M974World WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY Kammuri (29W) As of 00:00 UTC Dec 02, 2019: Location: 12.9°N 126.5°E Maximum Winds: 90 kt ( 170km/h) Gusts: 110 kt (205km/h) Minimum Central...
Kammuri(29W): rapid intensification next 24h then tracking between Virac and Legazpi - 12/02/2019 - 00:22
Météo974 M974World WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY Kammuri (29W) As of 18:00 UTC Dec 01, 2019: Location: 12.9°N 127.8°E Maximum Winds: 80 kt ( 150km/h) Gusts: 100 kt ( 185km/h) Minimum Central...
Kammuri(29W) is developing an eye while intensifying. Could be near Virac in apprx 36h - 12/01/2019 - 12:57
Météo974 M974World WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY Kammuri (29W) As of 06:00 UTC Dec 01, 2019: Location: 13.0°N 129.7°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h) Gusts: 80 kt ( 150km/h) Minimum Central...
Kammuri(29W) still forecast to intensify markedly next 48h, approaching Central Philippines - 12/01/2019 - 00:23
Météo974 M974World WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY Kammuri (29W) As of 18:00 UTC Nov 30, 2019: Location: 13.1°N 132.7°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h) Gusts: 80 kt ( 150km/h) Minimum Central...
Les News
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//12/30/25
12/31/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
12/23/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
12/06/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Liens utiles
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
MMS/Vacoas: Janvier 2023: le plus pluvieux à MAURICE depuis 20ans! RODRIGUES: proche de la normale...
ILES SOEURS: la REUNION et MAURICE douchées par des pluies localement fortes// Et ce n'est probablement pas fini// 26/19h
MAURITIUS: significant rain at last!
MMS/Vacoas: dry to very dry December 2022 for MAURITIUS and RODRIGUES & the outer islands//Forecast for JAN & FEB 2023
Mid-November: still dry over most of MAURITIUS, RODRIGUES and ST BRANDON, near normal at Agaléga//Forecast for Nov/Dec/Jan 2023
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