Western Australia area: 07S(CLAUDIA) : Final Warning. Peak intensity was 80knots( top CAT 1US)



CLICK TO ANIMATE.

TC 07S (CLAUDIA) SOUTH INDIAN/WESTERN AUSTRALIA
As of 00:00 UTC Jan 16, 2020:
Location: 21.8°S 103.9°E
Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb
WEAKENING
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 21.7S 104.5E.
15JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CLAUDIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
521 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPIDLY DECAYING DEEP CONVECTION AND A
FULLY-EXPOSED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 151759Z AMSR2
89GHZ IMAGE INDICATES A DEGRADING LLC WITH FRAGMENTED, SHALLOW
BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN ILL-DEFINED CENTER WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION OVER THE WEST QUADRANT. A 151529Z ASCAT-C PARTIAL IMAGE
REFLECTS THE WEAKENING TREND WITH ONLY 20-30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED CONSERVATIVELY
AT 35 KNOTS BASED ON PGTW/APRF CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 2.5
(35 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE WITH
MODERATE TO STRONG (20 TO 25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, COOL SST
(24-25C) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. TC 07S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN UNDER
UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND WILL
DISSIPATE BY TAU 12 AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN
JMV FILE
0720010412  80S1334E  15
0720010418  82S1336E  15
0720010500  86S1340E  15
0720010506  90S1346E  20
0720010512  94S1353E  20
0720010518  96S1360E  20
0720010600  97S1365E  20
0720010606  99S1367E  25
0720010612 106S1371E  25
0720010618 107S1372E  25
0720010700 108S1375E  25
0720010706 112S1376E  25
0720010712 116S1368E  25
0720010718 113S1364E  25
0720010800 113S1358E  25
0720010806 114S1354E  25
0720010812 115S1350E  25
0720010818 116S1345E  25
0720010900 117S1339E  25
0720010906 122S1334E  20
0720010912 123S1327E  20
0720010918 125S1319E  20
0720011000 126S1309E  25
0720011006 126S1302E  25
0720011012 128S1298E  25
0720011018 128S1294E  25
0720011100 129S1281E  25
0720011106 131S1272E  30
0720011112 132S1263E  35
0720011118 135S1250E  45
0720011200 138S1234E  50
0720011206 144S1222E  55
0720011212 150S1207E  60
0720011218 157S1187E  70
0720011300 162S1172E  75
0720011306 169S1155E  80
0720011312 173S1138E  80
0720011318 177S1124E  80
0720011400 177S1107E  80
0720011406 180S1101E  70
0720011412 184S1093E  60
0720011418 188S1083E  45
0720011500 195S1072E  45
0720011506 201S1064E  45
0720011512 207S1056E  40
0720011518 214S1048E  35
0720011600 218S1039E  35
NNNN
 


TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE.


 
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Jeudi 16 Janvier 2020 à 06:24