JTWC Patrick Hoareau | Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

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19S(FARAJI): Smap(Nasa) confirmed winds of 100knots, US/ Category 3 at 07/0033utc - 02/07/2021 - 10:55

19S(FARAJI). 07/0033UTC. SMAP(NASA) READ 10MINUTE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 88KNOTS. IT MATCHED PERFECTLY WELL WITH THE REAL-TIME JTWC INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100KNOTS(1 MINUTE AVERAGE). 2021 FEB 07 0650UTC...

19S(FARAJI), US/Category 1, rapid intensification likely faster than forecast for the next 12/24hours, 06/21utc update - 02/07/2021 - 02:00

19S(FARAJI). 06/20UTC. 8H LOOP.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A PINHOLE EYE AS IT BECAME MORE COMPACT AND SYMMETRICAL. CLICK ON THE IMAGE TO ANIMATE...

SOUTH INDIAN: 19S(FARAJI): rapid intensification on, slow-mover, Invest 91P on the map, 06/09utc updates - 02/06/2021 - 13:50

19S(FARAJI).06/0830UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DEVELOPING BANDING EYE FEATURE. CLICK ON THE IMAGERY BELOW TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY.

SOUTH INDIAN: 19S(FARAJI) is forecast to intensify to US/Category 3 by 72hours while remaining slow-moving - 02/06/2021 - 01:35

UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH ROBUST EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW (10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, SST VALUES ARE FAVORABLE AT 29C. OVERALL, THE...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 90S is now TC 19S(FARAJI), forecast to intensify (very) rapidly next 72hours - 02/05/2021 - 15:35

05/09UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 19S. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR19S AND 18S. 2021 FEB 05 11UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #19S #FARAJI #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN WARNING 1...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 90S is up-graded to High as Ascat revealed stronger winds than anticipated - 02/05/2021 - 10:20

JTWC ISSUED FINAL WARNING ON 18S(NONAME) AT 05/03UTC. A TCFA IS ISSUED AT 05/06UTC FOR INVEST 90S. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR BOTH SYSTEMS. 2021 FEB 05 0555UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE...

SOUTH INDIAN: Final warning issued for 18S whereas Invest 90S is up-graded to HIGH, 05/06utc update - 02/05/2021 - 07:35

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 18S(EIGHTEEN). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 18S AND INVEST 90S. THEY WERE DISCONTINUED FOR THE REMNANTS OF 17P(LUCAS) AT 04/1140UTC. INVEST...

18S(EIGHTEEN) close to moving over open water, Cyclone Development Outlook for the SHEM and the Western North Pacific - 02/04/2021 - 14:30

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 18S(NONAME). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 18S AND THE REMNANTS OF 17P(LUCAS). 2021 FEB 04 0954UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #18S ...

17P(LUCAS): New Caledonia: 160km/h gust and more than 400mm in 24h whereas 18S is still over-land - 02/03/2021 - 15:25

03/06UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 18S(NONAME). WARNING 13/FINAL WAS ISSUED AT 03/03UTC ON 17P(LUCAS). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 18S AND 17P WHEREAS THEY WERE...

South Pacific: 17P(LUCAS) tracking across the Loyalty islands and East of New Caledonia, 02/15utc update - 02/02/2021 - 19:55

WARNING 11.17P(LUCAS) IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE (NER) AND THROUGH A MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...

Southern Hemisphere cyclonic activity: 02/03utc updates - 02/02/2021 - 07:00

JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 17P(LUCAS) AND 18S. WARNING 12/FINAL WAS ISSUED AT 01/21UTC FOR 15P(ANA). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED 15P,17P AND 18S. 2021 FEB 02 0155UTC...

SHEM: 17P(LUCAS) intensifying and approaching Vanuatu/New Caledonia area, 15P(ANA), 18S, 16P(BINA), remnants 13S: 01/09utc updates - 02/01/2021 - 14:50

01/06UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA), 17P(LUCAS), 18S. FINAL WARNING WAS ISSUED AT 01/03UTC FOR 16P(BINA). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P,17P,18S WHEREAS THE FINAL...

Southern Hemisphere: hectic situation! JTWC issuing warnings on 4 systems! 31/15utc updates - 01/31/2021 - 20:10

JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA), 16P, 17P(LUCAS), 18S. 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR THE 4 CYCLONIC SYSTEMS. 2021 JAN 31 1450UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #15P #ANA...

Southern Hemisphere: South Pacific: 3 TCs , South Indian: 2 Invests. 31/06utc updates - 01/31/2021 - 11:35

31/06UTC. JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6 HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA), 16P AND 17P. 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P,16P,17P AND INVEST 98S. 2021 JAN 31 0605UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #15P...

Southern Hemisphere: 15P(ANA) & 16P forecast interaction over the South Pacific, 30/21utc updates - 01/31/2021 - 04:20

INVEST 99P IS NOW TC 16P. JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA) AND 16P(NONAME). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P AND 16P ALONG WITH INVEST 94P AND INVEST 98S. 2021 JAN...

Southern Hemisphere: very busy: 5 systems being monitored! 30/15utc updates - 01/30/2021 - 21:15

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P, INVEST 94P, INVEST 99P AND INVEST 98S. 2021 JAN 30 1615UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #15P #ANA...

SOUTH PACIFIC: 15P(ANA) crossing Viti Levu/Fiji within 24hours while intensifying, Invest 94P and Invest 99P updates,30/09utc - 01/30/2021 - 15:25

15P(ANA). WARNING 2.FORECAST TO REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT TURNS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) EXTENSION TO THE EAST,...

29/06utc, Updates on Invest 96P, 94P, 98S and the remnants of 13S(NONAME). - 01/29/2021 - 13:20

29/0530UTC.JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON INVEST 96P. INVEST 94P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM WHILE INVEST 98S IS NOW UNDER CLOSE WATCH. THE REMNANTS OF 13S(NONAME) ARE STILL...

SHEM: Invest 96P likely to develop within 24hours, Invest 94P still over-land, remnants of 13S still monitored, 28/18utc update - 01/28/2021 - 23:30

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON THE REMNANTS OF 13S(NONAME) AND INVEST 96P. INVEST 96P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO HIGH FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS. 2021 JAN 28 1830UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE...

SHEM: 13S remains under close watch, Invest 94P still over Cape York, Invest 96P slowly consolidating East of Vanuatu, 28/06ut update - 01/28/2021 - 11:55

28/0530UTC. 13S(NONAME) REMAINS UNDER CLOSE WATCH FOR ANY SIGNS OF RE-INTENSIFICATION. INVEST 94P IS STILL OVER-LAND OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA. INVEST 96P REMAINS MEDIUM AND UNDER CLOSE SURVEILLANCE...

Southern HEM: 13S may intensify after 48hours, localised heavy rain with Invest 94P over-land, Invest 96P under close watch - 01/27/2021 - 12:10

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS AND 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS FOR 13S(NONAME). INVEST 96P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS. 2021 JAN 27 #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #13S...

Southern Hemisphere: 13S still struggling, remnants of 12S(ELOISE) still tracked while Invest 94P is under close watch over the GOC - 01/26/2021 - 07:30

JTWC IS STILL ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 13S(NONAME).3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 13S . THE REMNANTS OF 12S(ELOISE) ARE STILL TRACKED WHILE WELL IN-LAND OVER SOUTHERN AFRICA....

12S(ELOISE): Final Warning. Made landfall 15km Southeast of Nova Sofala/MOZ with estimated 205km/h gusts - 01/23/2021 - 13:50

WARNING 13/FINAL. TC 12S(ELOISE) MADE LANDFALL APPRX 15KM SOUTHEAST OF NOVA SOFALA OR 30KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BEIRA WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90KNOTS GUSTING TO 110KNOTS, US/CATEGORY 2. TC #12S...

Category 2 Tropical Cyclone 12S(ELOISE) is making landfall 20km South of Beira with 200km/h gusts, 23/03utc update - 01/23/2021 - 07:25

TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE), LOCATED AT 23/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 20KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BEIRA/MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 21 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CYCLONE IS MAKING...

Cyclone 12S(ELOISE), US/Category 1, still intensifying, making landfall very close to Beira/MOZ within 6/9hours - 01/23/2021 - 02:10

WARNING 12. AT 22/18UTC LOCATED APPRX 115KM EAST NORTHEAST OF BEIRA/MOZAMBIQUE WITH ESTIMATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75KNOTS. RECENT TREND INDICATES INTENSIFICATION IS STILL LIKELY WITH PGTW(JTWC)...

12S(ELOISE) has now reached Cyclone Category 1 US, forecast to intensify while bearing down on Beira/MOZ, 22/09utc update - 01/22/2021 - 13:40

WARNING 11. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON PGTW/FMEE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T4.0(65 KNOTS). HOWEVER, A 220251Z SENTINEL-1B PASS INDICATES HIGHER SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KNOTS OVER...

SOUTH INDIAN: 3 numbered systems by the JTWC, 12S(ELOISE), 13S and 14S, 22/03utc updates - 01/22/2021 - 07:20

2021 JAN 22 02UTC TC #13S #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN As of 00:00 UTC Jan 22, 2021: WARNING 3 Location: 13.3°S 97.5°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 997...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 93S is now 13S(NONAME), 12S(ELOISE) is over the MOZ Channel,Invest 92S still under close watch,21/03utc update - 01/21/2021 - 10:15

13S(NONAME). WARNING 1. FORECAST TO TRACK LESS THAN 50KM TO THE SOUTH OF WEST ISLAND/COCOS ISLANDS WITHIN THE NEXT HOURS.PEAK INTENSITY OF 55KNOTS IS FORECAST BY 96H. COCOS ISLAND INDICATED WESTERLY...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 92S and Invest 93S: high chances of development, TCFA issued, 20/15utc updates - 01/20/2021 - 20:45

20/15UTC. INVEST 92S &INVEST 93S ARE UP-GRADED TO HIGH. THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FOR EACH AREA. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR BOTH...

SOUTH INDIAN: 2 new Invest Areas under close watch, 12S(ELOISE) re-intensification expected over the MOZ Channel - 01/20/2021 - 11:55

20/06UTC. THE JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 12S(ELOISE) ALONG WITH 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON 12S AND INVEST 93S. INVEST 92S &93S ARE UNDER CLOSE WATCH. 2021 JAN 20 07UTC TC #12S #ELOISE...

Les News

WESTERN PACIFIC:TY 07W(MEKKHALA) approaching OKINAWA while weakening/08W(HIGOS) to merge with 07W in approx 60h/Invest 95W//24@1030 UTC

06/24/2026 - PATRICK HOAREAU

WESTERN PACIFIC:Typhoon 07W(MEKKHALA) Rapid Intensification likely next 24h forecast Peak Intensity at CAT 4 US in 48h/ Invest 94W//21@1000 UTC

06/21/2026 - PATRICK HOAREAU

WESTERN PACIFIC: TS 07W(MEKKHALA) forecast to reach Typhoon Intensity by 24h, forecast to peak at CAT 3 US in 72h//20@1000 UTC

06/20/2026 - PATRICK HOAREAU

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