SOUTH PACIFIC: Invest 94P still on the map along with a Subtropical Storm over the Tasman Sea, 23/06utc updates


23/06UTC.JTWC HAS BEEN MONITORING INVEST 94P, INVEST 95P AND INVEST 96P. ONLY 94P IS ASSESSED TO HAVE LOW CHANCES OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT NEXT 24HOURS. INVEST 96P IS A 35KNOT SYSTEM BUT IS ANALYZED AS SUBTROPICAL OVER THE TASMAN SEA.


23/06UTC. JTWC HAS BEEN MONITORING INVEST 94P, INVEST 95P AND INVEST 96P. ONLY 94P IS ASSESSED TO HAVE LOW CHANCES OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT NEXT 24HOURS. INVEST 96P IS A 35KNOT SYSTEM BUT IS ANALYZED AS SUBTROPICAL OVER THE TASMAN SEA.
23/06UTC. JTWC HAS BEEN MONITORING INVEST 94P, INVEST 95P AND INVEST 96P. ONLY 94P IS ASSESSED TO HAVE LOW CHANCES OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT NEXT 24HOURS. INVEST 96P IS A 35KNOT SYSTEM BUT IS ANALYZED AS SUBTROPICAL OVER THE TASMAN SEA.
2021 FEB 23 0630UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE
INVEST #94P  #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 23, 2021:
Location: 15.0°S 175.9°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb
LOCATED AT 23/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 565KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO/AMERCIAN SAMOA.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: LOW.
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INVEST #96P #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN #TASMANSEA
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 23, 2021:
Location: 36.4°S 161.1°E
Maximum Winds: 35 kt (65km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 mb
SUBTROPICAL
LOCATED AT 23/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 560KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LORD HOWE ISLAND.
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Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
 Météo974
M974World
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 94P. 23/06UTC. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A PARTIAL 230240Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS  REVEAL DISORGANIZED BANDING WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN  PERIPHERY WRAPPING INTO AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER  EMBEDDED IN A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST OF VANUATU TO SOUTH OF  TAHITI.
INVEST 94P. 23/06UTC. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A PARTIAL 230240Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL DISORGANIZED BANDING WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY WRAPPING INTO AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED IN A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST OF VANUATU TO SOUTH OF TAHITI.

INVEST 94P. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AMPLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT,  LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE  TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY INDICATE THAT INVEST 94P WILL  PROPAGATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TROUGH WITH MINIMAL  CONSOLIDATION OR STRENGTHENING.
INVEST 94P. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AMPLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY INDICATE THAT INVEST 94P WILL PROPAGATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TROUGH WITH MINIMAL CONSOLIDATION OR STRENGTHENING.

INVEST 96P. 23/0320UTC.THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN CLOSELY MONITORED BUT IS NOT WARNED ON SINCE IT IS ASSESSED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM.
INVEST 96P. 23/0320UTC.THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN CLOSELY MONITORED BUT IS NOT WARNED ON SINCE IT IS ASSESSED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM.
INVEST 96P
SH, 96, 2021022106,   , BEST,   0, 312S, 1570E,  30,  994, SD, INVEST
SH, 96, 2021022112,   , BEST,   0, 319S, 1571E,  30,  994, SD, INVEST   
SH, 96, 2021022118,   , BEST,   0, 324S, 1574E,  30,  994, SD, INVEST   
SH, 96, 2021022200,   , BEST,   0, 330S, 1578E,  30,  994, SD, INVEST   
SH, 96, 2021022206,   , BEST,   0, 336S, 1583E,  30, 1000, SD, INVEST   
SH, 96, 2021022212,   , BEST,   0, 346S, 1589E,  35,  996, SS, INVEST   
SH, 96, 2021022218,   , BEST,   0, 355S, 1600E,  35,  992, SS, INVEST   
SH, 96, 2021022300,   , BEST,   0, 364S, 1611E,  35,  996, SS, INVEST  
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Mardi 23 Février 2021 à 11:05