SOUTH INDIAN: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 98S// Invest 94P still Low. Updates 25/06utc


INVEST 98S. 25/0430UTC. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE(WINDS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING AT LEAST 35KNOTS) WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED.


INVEST 98S. 25/0430UTC. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A  SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE(WINDS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING AT LEAST 35KNOTS) WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED.
INVEST 98S. 25/0430UTC. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE(WINDS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING AT LEAST 35KNOTS) WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED.
2021 FEB 25 0630UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE
INVEST #98S  #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN #WESTERNAUSTRALIA
TCFA/UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 25, 2021:
Location: 13.1°S 105.5°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb
LOCATED AT 25/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 950KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COCOS ISLANDS.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: HIGH.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
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INVEST #94P #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 25, 2021:
Location: 17.1°S 171.1°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
LOCATED AT 25/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 240KM NORTHWEST OF NIUE ISLAND.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: LOW.
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Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
 Météo974
M974World
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 98S. STRONG OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (<15KTS) AND WARM (29-30C)  SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR  FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE INVEST 98S WILL TRACK  WESTWARD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY.
INVEST 98S. STRONG OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (<15KTS) AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE INVEST 98S WILL TRACK WESTWARD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY.

INVEST 98S. 25/0550UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED  IMAGERY AND A 242118Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A  CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION.
INVEST 98S. 25/0550UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 242118Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION.

INVEST 98S. 25/0113UTC. METOP-B. Eumetsat.
INVEST 98S. 25/0113UTC. METOP-B. Eumetsat.

INVEST 94P. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250357Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE  IMAGE DEPICT DEEP AND FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING A BROAD LOW LEVEL  CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH MINOR LOW-LEVEL BANDING. ANALYSES INDICATE AN  OVERALL UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY ROBUST POLEWARD  OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY  HIGH (30-40KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY  INDICATE THAT INVEST 94P WILL PROPAGATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD WITH  MINIMAL CONSOLIDATION OR STRENGTHENING.
INVEST 94P. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250357Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT DEEP AND FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH MINOR LOW-LEVEL BANDING. ANALYSES INDICATE AN OVERALL UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY HIGH (30-40KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY INDICATE THAT INVEST 94P WILL PROPAGATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD WITH MINIMAL CONSOLIDATION OR STRENGTHENING.

 

25/06UTC. JTWC HAS UP-GRADED INVEST 98S TO HIGH WHEREAS INVEST 94P REMAINS LOW. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED FOR 98S.
25/06UTC. JTWC HAS UP-GRADED INVEST 98S TO HIGH WHEREAS INVEST 94P REMAINS LOW. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED FOR 98S.

Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Jeudi 25 Février 2021 à 11:10