JTWC Patrick Hoareau
BAY OF BENGAL: 91B likely to develop next few days - 04/26/2019 - 14:26
Tropical cyclone formation alert issued by the JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ INVEST 91B As of 06:00 UTC Apr 26, 2019: Location: 3.0°N 89.3°E Maximum...
SOUTH INDIAN: (03UtC): TC LORNA(25S) now category 1 US, intensifying over open seas - 04/26/2019 - 09:48
Warning 11/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC LORNA(25S) As of 00:00 UTC Apr 26, 2019: Location: 11.1°S 87.0°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h) Gusts: 80...
15UTC: TC KENNETH(24S), category 4 US making landfall 30km north of Quisanga/Mozambique - 04/25/2019 - 20:15
Warning 11/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC KENNETH(24S) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 25, 2019: Location: 12.1°S 40.8°E Maximum Winds: 120 kt ( 220km/h) Gusts:...
The Indian Ocean is active: 91B and 92S may develop within the next few days - 04/25/2019 - 15:52
Both areas are given Medium chances by the JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ INVEST 91B As of 06:00 UTC Apr 25, 2019: Location: 2.4°N 90.3°E Maximum Winds:...
09UTC: TC KENNETH powerful and compact category 4 US, landfall forecast near Ingoane/Mozambique near 25/18UTC - 04/25/2019 - 15:30
Warning 10/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC KENNETH(24S) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 25, 2019: Location: 11.6°S 41.8°E Maximum Winds: 125 kt ( 230km/h) Gusts:...
03UTC: TC KENNETH(24S) powerful and compact cateogry 4 US, forecast to weaken slightly,landfall before 24h near Quiterajo/Mozambique - 04/25/2019 - 09:57
Warning 9/JTWC. https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC KENNETH(24S) As of 00:00 UTC Apr 25, 2019: Location: 11.3°S 42.7°E Maximum Winds: 115 kt ( 215km/h) Gusts:...
18UTC: INVEST 92S is now medium and may interact with TC LORNA(25S) after 48hours - 04/25/2019 - 02:32
INVEST 92S As of 18:00 UTC Apr 24, 2019: Location: 11.4°S 93.8°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR...
21UTC: TC KENNETH(24S) now category 3 US, tracking 15/20km north of Grande Comore, still intensifying, approaching Mozambique - 04/25/2019 - 01:58
Warning 8/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC KENNETH(24S) As of 18:00 UTC Apr 24, 2019: Location: 11.2°S 43.3°E Maximum Winds: 100 kt ( 185km/h) Gusts:...
15UTC: TC LORNA(25S) forecast to intensify to category 1 US in 36hours with some interaction with developing 92S possible in 72h - 04/24/2019 - 21:34
Warning 5/JTWC TC LORNA (25S) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 24, 2019: Location: 10.7°S 84.5°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt ( 95km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 981mb REMARKS: 241500Z...
15UTC: TC KENNETH(24S) category 1 US, intensifying and tracking very close to Grande Comore within the next 6/12hours - 04/24/2019 - 20:30
Warning 7/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC KENNETH(24S) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 24, 2019: Location: 11.1°S 44.4°E Maximum Winds: 75 kt ( 140km/h) Gusts: 90...
09UTC: TC KENNETH(24S) intensifying and heading for Grande Comore/ TC LORNA(25S): slowly intensifying over open waters - 04/24/2019 - 13:57
TC 24S: Warning 6 TC 25S: Warning 4 https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC KENNETH(24S) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 24, 2019: Location: 10.9°S 45.7°E Maximum Winds: 70 kt...
03UTC: TC KENNETH(24S) intensifying and potential direct threat to Grande Comore. TC LORNA(25S) over open seas - 04/24/2019 - 08:15
TC 24S: Warning 5. TC 25S: Warning 3 https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC KENNETH(24S) As of 00:00 UTC Apr 24, 2019: Location: 10.7°S 46.6°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt...
TC 25S has formed, forecast to intensify to category 1 US in 48hours, remaining far to the west of Cocos islands - 04/23/2019 - 21:54
Warning 1/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC 24S As of 12:00 UTC Apr 23, 2019: Location: 8.6°S 81.9°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt (...
15UTC: TC KENNETH(24S) forecast to peak as a category 2 US in 48hours, potential direct threat to Grande Comore - 04/23/2019 - 21:27
Warning 3/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC KENNETH(24S) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 23, 2019: Location: 10.5°S 48.8°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55...
09UTC: TC 24S is forecast to intensify rapidly next 48hours, potential threat to the Comoros - 04/23/2019 - 15:43
Warning 2/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC 24S As of 06:00 UTC Apr 23, 2019: Location: 10.3°S 49.8°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt (...
03UTC: TC 24S has formed, forecast to intensify and reach category 1 US in 48hours - 04/23/2019 - 07:41
Warning 1/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC 24S As of 00:00 UTC Apr 23, 2019: Location: 10.0°S 50.7°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h) Gusts: 40 kt (...
00UTC: South Indian: 90S is likely to intensify next 24hours east of the Chagos - 04/23/2019 - 07:01
TCFA issued by the JTWC at 23UTC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ INVEST 91S As of 00:00 UTC Apr 23, 2019: Location: 6.3°S 81.4°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt Minimum...
15UTC: INVEST 91S is likely to intensify next 24hours north of Madagascar - 04/22/2019 - 22:33
TCFA/JTWC issued at 1430UTC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ INVEST 91S As of 12:00 UTC Apr 22, 2019: Location: 9.7°S 51.3°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h)...
18UTC: South Indian: cyclonic activity not over yet. 90S and 91S under watch - 04/22/2019 - 00:57
Both areas are assessed as MEDIUM by the JTWC for the next 24hours INVEST 90S As of 18:00 UTC Apr 21, 2019: Location: 4.0°S 80.2°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb ...
06UTC: some respite...calm tropics Good Bye Bob... - 04/15/2019 - 12:36
JTWC is turning 60! Cheers, Patrick Hoareau.
06UTC: South Indian: INVEST 98S: low chances of development next 24hours - 04/12/2019 - 11:41
https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ INVEST 98S As of 00:00 UTC Apr 12, 2019: Location: 15.8°S 117.3°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum...
09UTC: TC WALLACE(23S): intensity forecast to fall below 35knots in 36hours(maybe sooner) - 04/09/2019 - 15:22
Warning 18/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 09, 2019: Location: 16.2°S 114.3°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...
03UTC: TC WALLACE(23S) fleetingly analyzed at 65knots(category 1 US) is now collapsing under vertical wind shear - 04/09/2019 - 09:54
Warning 17/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 00:00 UTC Apr 09, 2019: Location: 16.2°S 114.4°E Maximum Winds: 60 kt ( 110km/h) Gusts: 75 kt ( 140km/h)...
15UTC: TC WALLACE(23S) near peak intensity, forecast to weaken rather rapidly after 24hours - 04/08/2019 - 21:15
Warning 15/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 08, 2019: Location: 16.1°S 115.8°E Maximum Winds: 60 kt ( 110km/h) Gusts: 75 kt ( 140km/h)...
03UTC: TC WALLACE(23S) short period of intensification forecast before environment degrades - 04/08/2019 - 07:47
Warning 13/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 00:00 UTC Apr 08, 2019: Location: 15.0°S 116.8°E Maximum Winds: 55 kt ( 100km/h) Gusts: 70 kt ( 130km/h)...
15UTC: TC WALLACE(23S) is slowly intensifying but forecast to weaken after 36hours as environment degrades - 04/07/2019 - 21:09
Warning 11/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 07, 2019: Location: 13.2°S 118.8°E Maximum Winds: 50 kt ( 95km/h) Gusts: 65 kt ( 120km/h)...
09UTC: TC WALLACE(23S) is forecast to briefly intensify within the next 36hours before the environment degrades once again - 04/07/2019 - 14:41
Warning 10/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 07, 2019: Location: 12.9°S 119.7°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...
03UTC: TC WALLACE(23S) poorly organized still forecast to intensify slowly next 36/48 hours - 04/07/2019 - 08:15
Warning 9/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 00:00 UTC Apr 07, 2019: Location: 12.8°S 120.6°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...
15UTC: TC WALLACE(23S): conditions become more conducive for intensification next 48hours - 04/06/2019 - 20:57
Warning 7/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 06, 2019: Location: 12.6°S 123.6°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...
09UTC: TC WALLACE(23S) forecast to intensify slowly next 48hours and remain over open seas - 04/06/2019 - 15:11
Warning 6/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC WALLACE(23S) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 06, 2019: Location: 12.3°S 124.2°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...
Les News
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//12/30/25
12/31/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
12/23/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
12/06/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Liens utiles
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
MMS/Vacoas: Janvier 2023: le plus pluvieux à MAURICE depuis 20ans! RODRIGUES: proche de la normale...
ILES SOEURS: la REUNION et MAURICE douchées par des pluies localement fortes// Et ce n'est probablement pas fini// 26/19h
MAURITIUS: significant rain at last!
MMS/Vacoas: dry to very dry December 2022 for MAURITIUS and RODRIGUES & the outer islands//Forecast for JAN & FEB 2023
Mid-November: still dry over most of MAURITIUS, RODRIGUES and ST BRANDON, near normal at Agaléga//Forecast for Nov/Dec/Jan 2023
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