JTWC Patrick Hoareau
90W near Yap: little development expected. 91W southeast of Chuuk: development anticipated near next 36/48hours - 05/05/2019 - 11:11
https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ Previous publications:...
INVEST 90W to the northeast of Palau: no significant development expected next 48/72hours - 05/04/2019 - 11:25
LOW chances of development for the next 24hours https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ Previous...
FANI(01B) was the 1st "Super Cyclone" over the North Indian basin since CHAPALA(04A) in October 2015 - 05/03/2019 - 22:54
FANI(01B ) : peak intensity of 135knots, top category 4 US, Final Warning 27 https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC FANI(01B) As of 12:00 UTC May 03, 2019:...
Super Cyclone FANI(01B) made landfall very close to Puri, weakening,expected to be a CAT1 US near Kolkata in apprx 12hours ( VIDEO) - 05/03/2019 - 13:54
Warning 26/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ SHORT VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK AND SATELLITE ANIMATIONS JUST BELOW TC FANI(01B) As of...
INVEST 90W currently close to Palau: chances of development downgraded for the next 24hours - 05/03/2019 - 11:37
Global models currently agree on limited development https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ Previous publication:...
Super Cyclone FANI(01B): category 4 US, imminent landfall near PURI with extremely high winds ( VIDEO) - 05/03/2019 - 07:19
Warning 25/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.zinfos974.com/Le-Super-Cyclone-FANI-01B-frappe-la-ville-de-Puri-en-Inde_a140039.html SHORT...
Super Cyclone FANI(01B), almost category 5 US, very dangerous cyclone, landfall near PURI shortly after 12h(VIDEO) - 05/02/2019 - 19:28
Warning 23/Joint Typhoon Warning Center https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ SHORT VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK AND SATELLITE ANIMATIONS JUST BELOW...
Powerful and dangerous cyclone FANI(01B) category 4 US, is a huge potential threat to the Brahmapur/Puri/Bhubaneswar area(VIDEO) - 05/02/2019 - 13:52
Warning 22/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/...
INVEST 90W: 460km to the southeast of Yap may develop next few days - 05/02/2019 - 10:42
Medium chances for the next 24hours https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ INVEST 90W As of 12:00 UTC May 01, 2019: Location: 4.1°N 138.3°E Maximum Winds: 15 kt...
TC FANI(01B) strong category 3 US, gradually approaching Puri/Bhubaneshwar. FANI is a powerful and dangerous cyclone - 05/02/2019 - 07:45
Warning 21/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ SHORT VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK AND SATELLITE ANIMATIONS JUST BELOW TC FANI(01B) As of 00:00 UTC...
INVEST 90W: slow development next few days while remaining over open seas - 05/01/2019 - 23:05
Low chances for the next 24hours https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ INVEST 90W As of 12:00 UTC May 01, 2019: Location: 4.1°N 138.3°E Maximum Winds: 15 kt Minimum...
Dangereous TC FANI(01B) category 3 US, intensifying, forecast to hit Puri/Bhubaneshwar area shortly after 36hours(VIDEO) - 05/01/2019 - 20:24
Warning 19/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ SHORT VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK AND SATELLITE ANIMATIONS JUST BELOW TC FANI(01B) As of 12:00 UTC...
Cyclone FANI(01B) category 3 US, forecast to be close to the Puri/Ratanpur area in 48hours - 05/01/2019 - 14:54
Warning 18/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC FANI(01B) As of 06:00 UTC May 01, 2019: Location: 14.2°N 84.0°E Maximum Winds: 105 kt ( 195km/h) Gusts:...
Cyclone FANI(01B) category 3 US, possible landfall near Puri/India shortly after 48hours(VIDEO) - 05/01/2019 - 10:08
Warning 17/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ SHORT VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK AND SATELLITE ANIMATION JUST BELOW TC FANI(01B) As of 00:00 UTC May 01, 2019:...
Cyclone FANI(01B) category 3 US, intensifying and slowly approaching northeast India(VIDEO) - 05/01/2019 - 02:11
Warning 16/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ SHORT VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK AND SATELLITE ANIMATION JUST BELOW TC FANI(01B) As of 18:00 UTC Apr 30, 2019:...
TC FANI(01B) near category 3 US, intensifying and being a serious threat to north-east India(VIDEO) - 04/30/2019 - 20:07
Warning 15/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ SHORT VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK AND SATELLITE ANIMATION JUST BELOW TC FANI(01B) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 30, 2019:...
TC FANI(01B): category 2 US, intensifying, forecast to be a serious threat to Bhubaneswar and Kolkata in 3 to 4 days - 04/30/2019 - 15:13
Warning 14/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ SHORT VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK AND SATELLITE ANIMATION JUST BELOW TC FANI(01B) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 30, 2019:...
TC FANI(01B) now category 2 US is intensifying and could hit Kolkata region in less than 4 days as a powerful cyclone(VIDEO) - 04/30/2019 - 07:11
Warning 13/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ VIDEO WITH ZOOM ON THE FORECAST TRACK SATELLITE ANIMATION AVAILABLE JUST BELOW. TC FANI(01B) As of 00:00 UTC Apr 30,...
TC LORNA(25S) forecast to weaken rapidly within 24hours - 04/29/2019 - 14:54
Warning 24/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ TC LORNA(25S) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 29, 2019: Location: 21.0°N 89.1°E Maximum Winds: 50 kt ( 95km/h) Gusts: 65 kt ( 120km/h)...
TC 01B(FANI): significant intensification forecast and possible threat to the north-east coasts of India in 4 to 5 days - 04/29/2019 - 14:27
Warning 10/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ TC FANI(01B) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 29, 2019: Location: 9.5°N 87.1°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...
TC FANI(01B): wind shear=stalled intensification so far but improved envrionment=marked intensification forecast next 4 days - 04/28/2019 - 20:35
WARNING 7/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ TC FANI(01B) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 28, 2019: Location: 8.5°N 86.9°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...
Cyclone LORNA(25S) category 1 US is forecast to weaken next 36hours and be fully extratropical in 48hours(satellite animation) - 04/28/2019 - 20:10
Warning 21/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ TC LORNA(25S) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 28, 2019: Location: 18.2°N 90.0°E Maximum Winds: 75 kt ( 140km/h) Gusts: 90 kt ( 170km/h)...
09UTC: TC LORNA(25S) near peak intensity, forecast to be extratropical in 72hours - 04/28/2019 - 15:14
Warning 20/JTWC REMARKS: 280900Z POSITION NEAR 17.2S 89.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25S (LORNA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS...
03UTC: NORTH INDIAN: TC FANI(01B) slowly intensifying but rapid intensification possible next 4 days - 04/28/2019 - 09:09
Warning 5/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ TC FANI(01B) As of 00:00 UTC Apr 28, 2019: Location: 7.1°N 88.1°E Maximum Winds: 50 kt ( 95km/h) Gusts: 65 kt ( 120km/h)...
15UTC: TC 01B named FANI intensifying and could be an intense cyclone in 4 days. TC LORNA(25S) over open seas - 04/27/2019 - 22:38
TC FANI(01B): Warning 3/JTWC & TC LORNA(25S): Warning 17/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ TC FANI(01B) As of 12:00 UTC Apr 27, 2019: Location: 6.4°N 89.5°E Maximum...
INDIAN OCEAN: TC 01B: significant intensification forecast next 4 days. TC LORNA(25S): significant weakening forecast after 12hours - 04/27/2019 - 15:01
TC 01B: Warning 2/JTWC TC 25S: Warning 16/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/ https://www.meteo974.re/ TC 01B As of 06:00 UTC Apr 27, 2019: Location: 5.1°N 89.8°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h)...
INDIAN OCEAN: TC 01B has formed, forecast to intensify next 4 days. TC LORNA(25S) category 1 intensity to peak next 24hours - 04/27/2019 - 08:45
TC 01B: Warning 1/JTWC TC 25S: Warning 15/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC 01B As of 00:00 UTC Apr 27, 2019: Location: 4.5°N 87.9°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt...
21UTC: TC LORNA(25S): category 1 US, recent signs of intensification, remaining over open seas - 04/27/2019 - 01:57
Warning 14/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC LORNA(25S) As of 18:00 UTC Apr 26, 2019: Location: 13.7°S 89.1°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h) Gusts: 80...
TC KENNETH(24S) reached maximum intensity of 125knots, category 4 US, a remarkable cyclone across the northern MOZ Channel - 04/26/2019 - 19:36
Warning 12/JTWC was the Final Warning JMV FILE/JTWC 2419042118 97S 530E 20 2419042200 97S 524E 25 2419042206 97S 519E 25 2419042212 97S 513E 30...
SOUTH INDIAN: (09UTC): TC LORNA(25S) category 1 US, shear limiting intensification - 04/26/2019 - 15:13
Warning 12/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.meteo974.re/ TC LORNA(25S) As of 06:00 UTC Apr 26, 2019: Location: 11.3°S 87.4°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h) Gusts: 80...
Les News
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//12/30/25
12/31/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
12/23/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
12/06/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Liens utiles
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
MMS/Vacoas: Janvier 2023: le plus pluvieux à MAURICE depuis 20ans! RODRIGUES: proche de la normale...
ILES SOEURS: la REUNION et MAURICE douchées par des pluies localement fortes// Et ce n'est probablement pas fini// 26/19h
MAURITIUS: significant rain at last!
MMS/Vacoas: dry to very dry December 2022 for MAURITIUS and RODRIGUES & the outer islands//Forecast for JAN & FEB 2023
Mid-November: still dry over most of MAURITIUS, RODRIGUES and ST BRANDON, near normal at Agaléga//Forecast for Nov/Dec/Jan 2023
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