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JTWC Patrick Hoareau
TS 24W(KOMAPSU) and TS 23W(NAMTHEUN) both intensifying gradually//Eastern North Pacific:TD 16E set to intensify markedly next 48h,10/16utc

TS 24W(KOMAPSU) and TS 23W(NAMTHEUN) both intensifying gradually//Eastern North Pacific:TD 16E set to intensify markedly next 48h,10/16utc - 10/10/2021 - 18:54

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
93W has merged with 94W /TS 22W(LIONROCK) making final landfall/TD 23W(NAMTHEUN) intensifying, 10/06utc updates

93W has merged with 94W /TS 22W(LIONROCK) making final landfall/TD 23W(NAMTHEUN) intensifying, 10/06utc updates - 10/10/2021 - 08:43

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western North Pacific: still active with Invests 94W rotating around 94W ! 09/03utc updates

Western North Pacific: still active with Invests 94W rotating around 94W ! 09/03utc updates - 10/09/2021 - 05:40

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Philippine Sea: Tropical Cyclone formation Alert for Invest 93W, 08/1530utc

Philippine Sea: Tropical Cyclone formation Alert for Invest 93W, 08/1530utc - 10/08/2021 - 20:17

Western Pacific: TS 22W(LIONROCK) making landfall over Hainan/ busy too with 3 Invest areas East of the Philippines, 08/03utc

Western Pacific: TS 22W(LIONROCK) making landfall over Hainan/ busy too with 3 Invest areas East of the Philippines, 08/03utc - 10/08/2021 - 05:50

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific: Invest 92W is now TD 22W, 2 new disturbances over the Philippine Sea, 07/06utc

Western Pacific: Invest 92W is now TD 22W, 2 new disturbances over the Philippine Sea, 07/06utc - 10/07/2021 - 11:41

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 92W:TCFA re-issued/2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: likely to be active East of the Philippines and over the BOB,06/06utc update

Invest 92W:TCFA re-issued/2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: likely to be active East of the Philippines and over the BOB,06/06utc update - 10/06/2021 - 11:04

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 92W: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert, 04/1430utc

Invest 92W: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert, 04/1430utc - 10/04/2021 - 18:55

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 92W set to intensify once over the SCS//93W and 91S too weak to be on the map yet//Atlantic: 18L(SAM) still a CAT 2,04/06utc

Invest 92W set to intensify once over the SCS//93W and 91S too weak to be on the map yet//Atlantic: 18L(SAM) still a CAT 2,04/06utc - 10/04/2021 - 10:53

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
North Indian Ocean/Arabian Sea: TC 03B(SHAHEEN-GULAB) CAT 1 making landfall apprx 90km West of Muscat/Oman

North Indian Ocean/Arabian Sea: TC 03B(SHAHEEN-GULAB) CAT 1 making landfall apprx 90km West of Muscat/Oman - 10/03/2021 - 18:37

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 92W: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert East of Mindanao//TC 03B(SHAHEEN-GULAB) CAT 1, approaching Oman//Atlantic: 18L(SAM) still a CAT3,03/03utc

Invest 92W: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert East of Mindanao//TC 03B(SHAHEEN-GULAB) CAT 1, approaching Oman//Atlantic: 18L(SAM) still a CAT3,03/03utc - 10/03/2021 - 06:00

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 92W now on the map//TC 03B intensifying and approaching Oman//Former STY 20W(MINDULLE) now extratropical,Atlantic duo update,02/09utc

Invest 92W now on the map//TC 03B intensifying and approaching Oman//Former STY 20W(MINDULLE) now extratropical,Atlantic duo update,02/09utc - 10/02/2021 - 12:18

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 20W(MINDULLE) losing tropical features//Arabian Sea: TC 03B(GULAB) developing an eye and intensifying//Atlantic: 18L(SAM) at Super Hurricane intensity again,01/15utc

TY 20W(MINDULLE) losing tropical features//Arabian Sea: TC 03B(GULAB) developing an eye and intensifying//Atlantic: 18L(SAM) at Super Hurricane intensity again,01/15utc - 10/01/2021 - 20:05

 Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS 2021092012  97N1567E  15 2021092018 102N1555E  15 2021092100...
TY 20W(MINDULLE) now over cooler seas//Arabian Sea: TC 03B(GULAB) to intensify to CAT 1 by 36h//Atlantic:18L(SAM) still a formidable Hurricane,01/03utc

TY 20W(MINDULLE) now over cooler seas//Arabian Sea: TC 03B(GULAB) to intensify to CAT 1 by 36h//Atlantic:18L(SAM) still a formidable Hurricane,01/03utc - 10/01/2021 - 06:32

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT2 will begin ET transition by 48h//North Indian: remnants of 03B still High//Atlantic: 18L(SAM)to peak at "Super Hurricane" again,30/09utc

TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT2 will begin ET transition by 48h//North Indian: remnants of 03B still High//Atlantic: 18L(SAM)to peak at "Super Hurricane" again,30/09utc - 09/30/2021 - 14:56

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT3 forecast to remain intense for the next 24h//Arabian Sea: remnants of TC 03B having a new lease of life//Atlantic: still active!

TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT3 forecast to remain intense for the next 24h//Arabian Sea: remnants of TC 03B having a new lease of life//Atlantic: still active! - 09/30/2021 - 04:40

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 20W(MINDULLE) a powerful CAT 4 once again//Atlantic: Hu 18L(SAM) CAT 4: confirmed by aircraft recon,29/06utc

TY 20W(MINDULLE) a powerful CAT 4 once again//Atlantic: Hu 18L(SAM) CAT 4: confirmed by aircraft recon,29/06utc - 09/29/2021 - 04:18

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT 2 slowly re-intensifying// Bay of Bengfal: Invest 98B Tropical Cyclone Formation alert//Atlantic:18L(SAM) peaking again at CAT 4,28/09utc

TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT 2 slowly re-intensifying// Bay of Bengfal: Invest 98B Tropical Cyclone Formation alert//Atlantic:18L(SAM) peaking again at CAT 4,28/09utc - 09/28/2021 - 13:08

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT 2 intensifying once again/Invest 91W is Medium// Atlantic: Hurricane 18L(SAM) CAT 3 resilient and strong,28/03utc

TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT 2 intensifying once again/Invest 91W is Medium// Atlantic: Hurricane 18L(SAM) CAT 3 resilient and strong,28/03utc - 09/28/2021 - 07:11

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT 2 likely to re-intensify next 48h// Altantic:Hurricane 18L(SAM) CAT 3 forecast to remain strong next 96h,27/15utc

TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT 2 likely to re-intensify next 48h// Altantic:Hurricane 18L(SAM) CAT 3 forecast to remain strong next 96h,27/15utc - 09/27/2021 - 19:00

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT 3 through an eyewall replacement cycle//North Indian:TC 03B might re-emerge into the North Arabian Sea//Atlantic: 18L(SAM)CAT 4 update,27/03utc

TY 20W(MINDULLE) CAT 3 through an eyewall replacement cycle//North Indian:TC 03B might re-emerge into the North Arabian Sea//Atlantic: 18L(SAM)CAT 4 update,27/03utc - 09/27/2021 - 07:18

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific:Super Typhoon 20W(MINDULLE) is the 3rd CAT 5 of the season//North Indian:TC 03B making landfall within 24h,Atlantic:18L(SAM)near Super Hurricane strength,26/03utc

Western Pacific:Super Typhoon 20W(MINDULLE) is the 3rd CAT 5 of the season//North Indian:TC 03B making landfall within 24h,Atlantic:18L(SAM)near Super Hurricane strength,26/03utc - 09/26/2021 - 09:35

Western Pacific:TY 20W(MINDULLE):now Typhoon CAT 4 peaking within 12/24h//North Indian:TC 03B(GULAB) slowly intensifying while approaching India,25/15utc

Western Pacific:TY 20W(MINDULLE):now Typhoon CAT 4 peaking within 12/24h//North Indian:TC 03B(GULAB) slowly intensifying while approaching India,25/15utc - 09/25/2021 - 13:57

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific:TY 20W(MINDULLE): intensifying up to Super Typhoon level in 72h//North Indian:TC 03B peaking within 24h up to landfall//Atlantic: 18L(SAM) getting stronger,25/03utc updates

Western Pacific:TY 20W(MINDULLE): intensifying up to Super Typhoon level in 72h//North Indian:TC 03B peaking within 24h up to landfall//Atlantic: 18L(SAM) getting stronger,25/03utc updates - 09/25/2021 - 07:30

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific:TS 20W(MINDULLE):forecast to reach STY intensity by 96hours//North Indian:TC 03B intensifying over the BOB//Atlantic:18L(SAM)intensifying Hurricane,24/09utc

Western Pacific:TS 20W(MINDULLE):forecast to reach STY intensity by 96hours//North Indian:TC 03B intensifying over the BOB//Atlantic:18L(SAM)intensifying Hurricane,24/09utc - 09/24/2021 - 14:35

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific: 20W(MINDULLE):rapid intensification next 48h, 21W(DIANMU):final warning//Atlantic:18L(SAM):rapid intensification next 48h,24/03utc

Western Pacific: 20W(MINDULLE):rapid intensification next 48h, 21W(DIANMU):final warning//Atlantic:18L(SAM):rapid intensification next 48h,24/03utc - 09/24/2021 - 05:00

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific: TS 21W(DIANMU) landfall South of Dan Nang/TS 20W forecast to peak at Typhoon/CAT 4 by 96h//Atlantic: TD 18L intensifying, 23/09utc

Western Pacific: TS 21W(DIANMU) landfall South of Dan Nang/TS 20W forecast to peak at Typhoon/CAT 4 by 96h//Atlantic: TD 18L intensifying, 23/09utc - 09/23/2021 - 10:20

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific: TD 20W forecast to reach Typhoon/CAT 3 in 72hours/TD 21W forecast to make landfall over Vietnam in 24hours, 22/15utc updates

Western Pacific: TD 20W forecast to reach Typhoon/CAT 3 in 72hours/TD 21W forecast to make landfall over Vietnam in 24hours, 22/15utc updates - 09/22/2021 - 19:00

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
2019 Super Typhoons/Cyclones: Western Pacific: 5 // North Indian: 2 // South Indian: 2 // South Pacific : 0

2019 Super Typhoons/Cyclones: Western Pacific: 5 // North Indian: 2 // South Indian: 2 // South Pacific : 0 - 09/22/2021 - 16:08

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific: 99W is High, 90W up-graded to Medium//South Indian: 90S down-graded to Low//Atlantic: still active with 16L,17L and 98L, 22/09utc updates

Western Pacific: 99W is High, 90W up-graded to Medium//South Indian: 90S down-graded to Low//Atlantic: still active with 16L,17L and 98L, 22/09utc updates - 09/22/2021 - 06:58

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
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Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months

Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall

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3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc

TC 29S(ERROL) peaked at CATEGORY 5 US/SUPER TYPHOON after Extreme Rapid Intensification//3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1618utc