JTWC ISSUED THE FINAL WARNING ON TC 01S(PADDY) AT 24/15UTC AND THE FINAL SATELLITE BULLETIN AT 24/1730UTC.
SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE/SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN: TC 01S(PADDY). WARNING 10/FINAL ISSUED AT 24/15UTC
0121111818 98S1011E 15
0121111900 99S1021E 15
0121111906 100S1030E 20
0121111912 103S1035E 20
0121111918 104S1040E 20
0121112000 103S1042E 20
0121112006 102S1044E 20
0121112012 102S1047E 20
0121112018 105S1050E 20
0121112100 110S1056E 20
0121112106 115S1065E 20
0121112112 118S1073E 20
0121112118 121S1080E 20
0121112200 127S1082E 30
0121112206 132S1082E 40
0121112212 135S1079E 40
0121112218 137S1077E 40
0121112300 137S1074E 40
0121112306 138S1072E 40
0121112312 139S1071E 40
0121112318 140S1069E 40
0121112400 141S1067E 35
0121112406 143S1063E 35
0121112412 145S1058E 30
0121112418 145S1053E 30
0121112500 145S1044E 30
NNNN
0121111900 99S1021E 15
0121111906 100S1030E 20
0121111912 103S1035E 20
0121111918 104S1040E 20
0121112000 103S1042E 20
0121112006 102S1044E 20
0121112012 102S1047E 20
0121112018 105S1050E 20
0121112100 110S1056E 20
0121112106 115S1065E 20
0121112112 118S1073E 20
0121112118 121S1080E 20
0121112200 127S1082E 30
0121112206 132S1082E 40
0121112212 135S1079E 40
0121112218 137S1077E 40
0121112300 137S1074E 40
0121112306 138S1072E 40
0121112312 139S1071E 40
0121112318 140S1069E 40
0121112400 141S1067E 35
0121112406 143S1063E 35
0121112412 145S1058E 30
0121112418 145S1053E 30
0121112500 145S1044E 30
NNNN
THE REMNANTS OF 01S(PADDY) DEPICTED AT 25/0710UTC BY HIMAWARI-8.
SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE/SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN: INVEST 91S. UP-DATE AT 24/18UTC.
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9S 92.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6S 92.9E, APPROXIMATELY 470 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 241221Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT SCATTERED FLARING CONVECTION AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-29C) OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND WILL MARGINALLY DEVELOP WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DEPICTED RECENTLY BY GEFS FOR INVEST 91S
01S(PADDY) IS NOW REDUCED TO AN UNRAVALLING LOW LEVEL SWIRL. INVEST 91S REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH FLARING CONVECTION.
25/07UTC.
THE EURO MODEL DEPICTING CURRENT AREAS OF FORECAST RAIN AND THUNDER-STORMS
25/0745UTC.
