Invest 93W and Invest 91S on the map, 26/09utc

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.3N 156.4E, APPROXIMATELY 1390 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A RECENT SCATTEROMETRY PASS DEPICT A TROPICAL WAVE WITH WINDS 15-20 KT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY HIGH (30-35KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NVGM, CMC, GFS AND ITS ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL WILL TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND CONSOLIDATE IN THE VICINITY OF GUAM OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9S 92.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1S 92.3E, APPROXIMATELY 550 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 251557Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICT FLARING CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20KT) VWS, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPURATURES, OFFSET SLIGHTLY BY A DECREASED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND WILL MARGINALLY DEVELOP WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.