JTWC Patrick Hoareau
03UTC: TREVOR(20P): expected to intensify very rapidly next 48hours over the Gulf of Carpentaria - 03/21/2019 - 06:54
Warning 14/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC TREVOR(20P) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 21, 2019: Location: 13.0°S 141.3°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...
03UTC: South Indian: VERONICA(21S) category 4 US, may reach category 5 within 12 hours - 03/21/2019 - 06:29
WARNING 6/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC VERONICA(21S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 21, 2019: Location: 16.4°S 117.7°E Maximum Winds: 125 kt ( 230km/h) Gusts: 150 kt (280km/h)...
15UTC: SOUTH INDIAN: TC VERONICA(21S) intensifying rapidly next 48hours north-west of Western Australia - 03/20/2019 - 20:41
WARNING 4/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC VERONICA(21S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 20, 2019: Location: 15.9°S 117.8°E Maximum Winds: 60 kt ( 110km/h) Gusts: 75 kt (140km/h)...
09UTC: South Indian: Mascarenes area: 93S likely to develop next several days, could become an intense cyclone in 4 to 5 days - 03/20/2019 - 14:53
Rated as MEDIUM by the JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ INVEST #93S As of 06:00 UTC Mar 20, 2019: Location: 12.8°S 61.8°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt Minimum Central Pressure:...
09UTC: South Indian: TC SAVANNAH(19S): flaring convection, slow-moving system - 03/20/2019 - 14:24
Warning 19/TWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 20, 2019: Location: 19.1°S 83.7°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50kt ( 95km/h)...
09UTC: South Indian: TC VERONICA(21S) intensifying rapidly next 48h to the north-west of Western Australia - 03/20/2019 - 14:00
Warning 3/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC VERONICA(21S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 20, 2019: Location: 15.6°S 118.3°E Maximum Winds: 55 kt ( 100km/h) Gusts: 70 kt (130km/h)...
09UTC: TC TREVOR(20P): close to moving back over sea, expected to intensify rapidly next 48h over Gulf of Carpentaria - 03/20/2019 - 13:16
WARNING 11/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC TREVOR(20P) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 20, 2019: Location: 13.0°S 141.9°E Maximum Winds: 60 kt ( 110km/h) Gusts: 75 kt ( 140km/h)...
03UTC: South Indian: TC VERONICA(21S) intensifying rapidly to the north-west of Western Australia - 03/20/2019 - 09:46
Warning 2/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC VERONICA(21S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 20, 2019: Location: 15.4°S 119.0°E Maximum Winds: 50 kt ( 95km/h) Gusts: 65 kt (120km/h)...
21UTC: South Indian: TC SAVANNAH(19S), flaring convection, cyclone still figthing vertical wind shear - 03/20/2019 - 02:42
WARNING 24/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 19, 2019: Location: 18.6°S 84.6°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50kt ( 95km/h)...
21UTC: South Indian: TC VERONICA(21S) has formed, expected to intensify rapidly next 48h north-west of Western Australia - 03/20/2019 - 01:29
Warning 1/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC VERONICA(21S) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 19, 2019: Location: 14.9°S 119.7°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt (95km/h)...
15UTC: TC TREVOR(20P) is overland, rapid intensification over the Gulf of Carpentaria expected after 36hours - 03/19/2019 - 19:17
Warning 8/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC TREVOR(20P) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 19, 2019: Location: 12.9°S 143.3°E Maximum Winds: 90 kt (170km/h) Gusts: 110 kt ( 205km/h)...
15UTC: SOUTH INDIAN: TC SAVANNAH(19S) with flaring convection but still expected to fall below 35knots intensity in 36hours - 03/19/2019 - 18:53
Warning 23/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 19, 2019: Location: 18.3°S 85.1°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50kt ( 95km/h)...
03UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) : intensity could fall below 35knots in 36hours maybe sooner - 03/19/2019 - 08:55
Warning 21/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 19, 2019: Location: 18.1°S 86.6°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 100km/h) Gusts: 55kt ( 100km/h)...
03UTC: South Indian: 95S likely to intensify next 24hours, could become a strong cyclone in 3 or 4 days - 03/19/2019 - 08:06
TCFA issued by the JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ INVEST 95S As of 00:00 UTC Mar 19, 2019: Location: 14.3°S 121.0°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb...
03UTC: TC TREVOR(20P) making landfall less than 40km south of Lockhart as a strong category 2 US, rapid intensification expected over the Gulf - 03/19/2019 - 07:33
Warning 6/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC TREVOR(20P) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 19, 2019: Location: 13.0°S 144.1°E Maximum Winds: 95 kt (175km/h) Gusts: 115 kt ( 215km/h)...
21UTC: TC TREVOR(20P) :extreme rapid intensification, landfall close to Lockhart as a Cat 3 US, rapid intensication expected over the Gulf in 48hours - 03/19/2019 - 01:28
Warning 5/JTWC Rapidly intensifying cyclone. https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC TREVOR(20P) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 12.9°S 144.6°E Maximum Winds: 90 kt...
15UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) has been weakening rapidly in the middle of the South Indian Ocean - 03/18/2019 - 20:51
Warning 19/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 17.6°S 88.1°E Maximum Winds: 60 kt ( 110km/h) Gusts: 75kt ( 140km/h)...
15UTC: TC TREVOR(20P) intensifying rapidly over the Coral Sea, landfall in 18hours, likely intensifying rapidly once over the Gulf of Carpentaria - 03/18/2019 - 19:25
Warning 4/JTWC Rapidly intensifying cyclone. https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC TREVOR(20P) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 12.6°S 144.9°E Maximum Winds: 55 kt...
13UTC: South Indian: 95S is likely to develop next several days to the northwest of Western Australia - 03/18/2019 - 19:07
The area is upgraded to Medium by the JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ INVEST 95S As of 12:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 13.9°S 122.6°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum...
09UTC: TD 03W is dissipating while close to landfall in 12hours near Davao/Mindanao. Max intensity reached was 25knots. JMV File joined - 03/18/2019 - 15:00
Warning 14/JTWC + JMV FILE https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 6.6°N 128.5°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt ( 40km/h) Gusts: kt ( )...
09UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) category 1 US is weakeing over the open seas of the South Indian Ocean - 03/18/2019 - 14:38
Warning 18/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 17.2°S 88.9°E Maximum Winds: 75 kt ( 140km/h) Gusts: 90kt ( 170km/h)...
09UTC: TC TREVOR(20P) intensifying rapidly over the Coral Sea, landfall expected shortly after 24hours close to Lockhart/Queensland - 03/18/2019 - 14:09
Warning 3/JTWC: cyclone may re-intensify significantly once over the Gulf of Carpentaria https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC TREVOR(20P) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location:...
03UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) is weakening over the open waters of the South Indian Ocean - 03/18/2019 - 09:22
Warning 17/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 16.8°S 89.6°E Maximum Winds: 85 kt ( 160km/h) Gusts: 105kt ( 195km/h)...
03UTC: TD 03W landfall forecast near Davao in 24hours, might re-consolidate once over the South China Sea - 03/18/2019 - 09:04
Warning 13/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 00:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 7.1°N 129.9°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...
03UTC: TC TREVOR(20P) intensifying rapidly over the Coral Sea with expected landfall over Cape York shortly before 36h - 03/18/2019 - 08:38
Warning 2/JTWC TC TREVOR(20P) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019: Location: 12.2°S 145.7°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt (85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 989 mb INTENSIFYING...
21UTC: TD 03W is expected to dissipate over Mindanao after 24hours, might re-intensify once over the South China Sea - 03/18/2019 - 02:19
Warning 12/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 18:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 7.4°N 131.8°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...
21UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) category 2 US is now weakening over the open seas of the South Indian Ocean - 03/18/2019 - 02:00
Warning 16/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 16.4°S 90.1°E Maximum Winds: 95 kt ( 175km/h) Gusts: 115kt ( 215km/h)...
21UTC: TC TREVOR(20P) has formed, intensifying rapidly over the Coral Sea with landfall over Cape York expected shortly after 36hours - 03/18/2019 - 01:37
Warning 1/JTWC TC TREVOR(20P) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 13.1°S 146.3°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt (65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb INTENSIFYING...
09UTC: Tropical Depression 03W is forecast to dissipate over Mindanao in 48hours - 03/17/2019 - 14:10
Warning 10/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 7.4°N 133.9°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...
09UTC: Cyclone SAVANNAH(19S) is now an intense cyclone, category 3 US right in the middle of the South Indian Ocean - 03/17/2019 - 13:36
Warning 14/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 16.3°S 91.0°E Maximum Winds: 100 kt ( 185km/h) Gusts: 125kt ( 230km/h)...
Les News
A new version (V8.2) of the AMSR2 winds for Tropical Cyclones (TC-winds) has been released
03/06/2026
- PATRICK HOAREAU
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//03/03/26
03/04/2026
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Pluviométrie pour la saison estivale 2025/26 à MAURICE et à RODRIGUES, update le 27/02/26
02/27/2026
- PATRICK HOAREAU
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//12/30/25
12/31/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
12/23/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
12/06/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Liens utiles
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//03/03/26
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//12/30/25
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//03/03/26
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//12/30/25
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
MAURICE: Avis de Pluies Torrentielles en début d'après midi, précipitations particulièrement intenses sur la région de Port Louis//0617h30
MMS/Vacoas: Janvier 2023: le plus pluvieux à MAURICE depuis 20ans! RODRIGUES: proche de la normale...
ILES SOEURS: la REUNION et MAURICE douchées par des pluies localement fortes// Et ce n'est probablement pas fini// 26/19h
MAURITIUS: significant rain at last!
MMS/Vacoas: dry to very dry December 2022 for MAURITIUS and RODRIGUES & the outer islands//Forecast for JAN & FEB 2023
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