JTWC Patrick Hoareau | Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

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15UTC: TD 03W set to track very close to Palau shortly after 12hours and dissipate over southern Mindanao in 72hours - 03/16/2019 - 19:27

Warning 7/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 12:00 UTC Mar 16, 2019: Location: 7.4°N 137.6°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

15UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) category 1 US may reach top cat2 or even cat3 within 48hours over the open South Indian seas - 03/16/2019 - 18:54

Warning 11/JTWC My own estimate is sustained winds(1mn) at 75kt gusting to 90kt. This system has the potential to intensify rapidly next 24/36hours....

09UTC: tropical depression 03W set to cross Palau within 24hours and dissipate over southern Mindanao in 3 days - 03/16/2019 - 14:06

Warning 6/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 16, 2019: Location: 7.6°N 138.8°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

03UTC: Cyclone SAVANNAH(19S) : intensifying in the middle of the South Indian Ocean - 03/16/2019 - 08:09

Warning 9/JTWC Compact system with very good microwave satellite signature whereas the infra-red signature has been lagging behind(with Dvorak at 3.5). The intensity is difficult to assess with...

03UTC: Tropical Depresssion 03W 595km east of Palau forecast to dissipate in 3 days close to southern Mindanao - 03/16/2019 - 07:34

Warning 5/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 00:00 UTC Mar 16, 2019: Location: 7.7°N 140.0°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

21UTC: TD 03W forecast to dissipate near southern Mindanao in 72hours maybe sooner - 03/16/2019 - 01:11

Warning 4/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 18:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 7.9°N 140.9°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

15UTC: TD 03W could be dissipating over southern Mindanao in 2 days and may bring needed rain - 03/15/2019 - 18:22

Warning 3/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 12:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 7.9°N 141.7°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

15UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) intensifying over the South Indian possibly reaching Category 1 US ahead of forecast - 03/15/2019 - 17:54

Warning 7/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 14.4°S 94.8°E Maximum Winds: 55 kt ( 100km/h) Gusts: 70 kt ( 130km/h)...

09UTC: TC IDAI(18S) is over overland now, Maximum intensity reached over water was 110knots, top Category 3 US - 03/15/2019 - 14:46

JMV FILE BELOW FINAL REMARKS(WARNING 24) 150300Z POSITION NEAR 19.4S 34.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (IDAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07...

09UTC: TD 03W at 1800km east of Mindanao, not much intensification forecast, could dissipate close to Mindanao in 3 days - 03/15/2019 - 14:02

Warning 2/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 8.0°N 144.4°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

09UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) forecast to reach cateogory 1 US in 2 days over open South Indian waters - 03/15/2019 - 13:02

Warning 6/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 13.8°S 94.8°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...

South Pacific: 92P is now likely to develop next 24hours, models indicate possible high potential of intensification in 3 to 4 days - 03/15/2019 - 08:32

TCFA issued by the JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ INVEST 92P As of 00:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 8.6°S 151.0°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h) Gusts: 40 kt ( 75km/h)...

03UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) slowly intensifying in the middle of the South Indian Ocean - 03/15/2019 - 07:20

Warning 5/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 13.6°S 95.2°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...

03UTC: tropical depression 03W has formed, not expected to intensify much, heading for the southern Philippines - 03/15/2019 - 06:47

Warning 1/JTWC TD 03W As of 00:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 8.0°N 144.4°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1001 mb WDPN31 PGTW 150300...

00UTC: TC IDAI(18S) made landfall over Beira near 22utc. - 03/15/2019 - 05:34

Warning 23/JTWC REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION NEAR 19.6S 35.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (IDAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 303 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08...

15UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) slowly moving away from the Cocos islands and set to intensify gradually next 4 days - 03/14/2019 - 19:24

Warning 3/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location: 12.8°S 95.8°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt ( 95km/h)...

15UTC: Cyclone IDAI(18S) life-threatning category 3 US set to make landfall very close to Beira shortly before 12 hours - 03/14/2019 - 18:12

Warning 22/JTWC Dangerous cyclone. In the Beira area people should take shelter immediately and heed the warnings from the local authorities. TC IDAI(18S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location:...

95W: upgraded to high, slight development possible within 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 17:36

TCFA issued by the JTWC The cicrulation is elongated and models do not develop it much but the small-sized system may reach the minimum level required to be numbered by the JTWC. 95W is located...

09UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) tracking apprx 100km to the Cocos islands and intensifying gradually - 03/14/2019 - 13:55

Warning 2/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location: 12.0°S 96.0°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt ( 95km/h)...

09UTC: Dangerous cyclone IDAI(18S) category 3 US, 245km to Beira, landfall within 50km of Beira in 18hours - 03/14/2019 - 12:42

Warning 21/JTWC NB: UNDER COMPLETION Dangerous cyclone. Important potential threat to the Beira region. People should take this cyclone seriously and heed the warnings from the local authorities....

Western North Pacific: 95W still under watch, located 890km to Guam - 03/14/2019 - 11:43

The area is still MEDIUM for the next 24hours Small-sized system. Only two models develop it modestly. But models might under-estimate the development potential due to the compactness of the...

Busy at JTWC...2 full-blown cyclones and 4 invest areas to monitor - 03/14/2019 - 08:53

Invest 95W and Invest 92P on the chart NB: COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE

South Indian: TC SAVANNAH(19S) has formed, tracking close to the Cocos islands and intensifying - 03/14/2019 - 08:23

Warning 1/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location: 11.7°S 95.9°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h)...

03UTC: dangerous cyclone IDAI(18S) 320km to Beira, set to make landfall within 50km of Beira shorly before 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 07:31

Warning 20/JTWC Dangerous cyclone. Important potential threat to the Beira region. People should take this cyclone seriously and heed the warnings from the local authorities. TC IDAI(18S) As of...

21UTC: TC IDAI(18S) , 385km to Beira, set to make landfall less than 100km to Beira shortly after 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 01:08

Warning 19/JTWC NB: my own estimate is Category 3 US at 18UTC with sustained winds near 105knots(195km/h) gusting to 130knots(240km/h). TC IDAI(18S) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 19.5°S...

South Indian: 99S is now likely to develop next 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 00:36

Upgraded to high by the JTWC INVEST 99S As of 18:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 11.1°S 96.5°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 mb WTXS21 PGTW 131730 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT...

15UTC: cyclone IDAI(18S) category 2 US, 435km to Beira, set to make landfall close to Beira shortly after 24hours - 03/13/2019 - 17:44

Warning 18/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ Microwave signature has been improving recently. I would not be surprised to observe a...

09UTC: Cyclone IDAI(18S) category 2 US, 490km to Beira, slowly approaching, set to make landfall close to Beira in 36hours - 03/13/2019 - 13:17

Warning 17/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 19.4°S 39.5°E Maximum Winds: 95...

95W: development not ruled out next 24/48hours - 03/13/2019 - 12:12

Small-sized system. Models may under-estimate its potential INVEST 95W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 5.7°N 153.8°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 mb ABPW10 PGTW...

03UTC: cyclone IDAI(18S) 560km to Beira, slowly approaching, could hit the area shortly after 36hours - 03/13/2019 - 06:56

Warning 16/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 19.3°S 40.2°E Maximum Winds: 95...

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