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Cyclone OMA(15P) expected to peak as a CAT2 US within the next 24hours - 19/02/2019 - 13:04

Warning 30/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 09UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 30/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 30...

02W expected to intensify rapidly next 4 days while approaching the Yap/Guam area - 19/02/2019 - 12:51

Warning 1/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 0840UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TD #02W WARNING 1/JTWC As of 06:00 UTC Feb 19, 2019: Location: 4.4°N 158.3°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt (45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt (65km/h) Minimum...

92W: development still likely next several days - 19/02/2019 - 06:07

TCFA/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC INVEST #92W TCFA/JTWC As of 00:00 UTC Feb 19, 2019: Location: 4.8°N 159.8°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb...

Cyclone OMA(15P), Category 1US, tracking 130km west of the Belep islands where 140km/h gusts are reported - 19/02/2019 - 05:52

Warning 29/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 02UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: as I anticipated(warning 27) the intensity is now above the previous forecast. Current forecast peak is 85knots(CAT2 US) in 24H. High...

15UTC: OMA(15P): moving southwest and intensifying, approaching the Belep islands - 18/02/2019 - 18:47

Warning 27/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 1435UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: UW-CIMSS Experimental Vertical Shear and TC Intensity Trend Estimates suggests environment now favorable. Intensification might be more...

09UTC: OMA reduced to a 45knots cyclone, forecast to intensify gradually next 48hours - 18/02/2019 - 14:02

Warning 26/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 0955UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: struggling TC primarily due to up-welling of cooler seas. Forecast to slowly move back over warmer seas and peak near 65knots(CAT1 US)...

INVEST 92W: development assessed as HIGH for the next 24hours - 18/02/2019 - 06:25

TCFA issued by the JTWC 2019 Feb 18 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC INVEST #92W TCFA/JTWC As of 00:00 UTC Feb 18, 2019: Location: 4.1°N 164.4°E Maximum Winds: 15/20 kt Minimum Central Pressure:...

03UTC: OMA(15P): struggling over cooler seas, but pushing south-southwest and forecast to intensify after 12/24hours - 18/02/2019 - 06:10

Warning 25/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 02UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: Cyclone expected to gradually pull away from cooler seas(24/25°C) due to up-welling and be back over 27/28°C seas. Peak intensity near...

South Indian: INVEST 94S now rated as LOW for the next 24h, might develop quickly once over the MOZ Channel - 17/02/2019 - 22:27

The european model is aggressive. 2019 Feb 17 1830UTC 1:  Invest 94S is now rated as LOW by the Navy. The system is still over-land but based on guidance(Ecmwf, Gfs and UkMet) development coud...

15UTC: TC OMA(15P) pushing slowly southward and forecast to intensify gradually after 24H. - 17/02/2019 - 18:38

Warning 23 from the JTWC. 2019 FEB 17 1440UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My remarks: moderate to strong wind shear and up-welling have taken their toll on the system. But 15P is still forecast to intensify...

INVEST 92W upgraded to MEDIUM for the next 24 hours by the JTWC - 17/02/2019 - 17:48

The disturbance is likely to develop next week. 2019 Feb 17 13h48UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC 1: Invest 92W is already upgraded to MEDIUM at 13UTC.  A 12UTC it was located approx 2635km to the...

INVEST 92W: still LOW for the next 24hours, likely to develop gradually next week - 17/02/2019 - 15:41

Keeping tabs on it. 2019 Feb 17 11h40UTC Hi all, 1:  INVEST 92W is still rated as low for the next 24 by the JTWC. Models and different analyses point to some likely development next...

Western North Pacific: Invest 92W now on the chart from JTWC - 16/02/2019 - 10:46

Rated as low for the next 24hours. 2019 Feb 16 06h47utc. Hi all! 1:  INVEST 92W is now on the chart issued by JTWC. 2:  have a look at my very first English video down below....
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