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JTWC Patrick Hoareau

CORAL SEA: 23P(NIRAN) forecast to peak near 70knots/US Category 1 by 72hours, 02/03utc update - 03/02/2021 - 07:15

23P(NIRAN). 02/0305UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG FLARING CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). CLICK TO ANIMATE. 2021 MAR 02 03UTC...

CORAL SEA: TC 23P: slow-moving next 48hours, forecast to reach US/Category 1 by 96hours, 01/15utc update - 03/01/2021 - 19:20

23P. 01/14UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED, WITH FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED WEST OF THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER....

SOUTH INDIAN: 22S(MARIAN) 85knots, slow-moving and gradually weakening next 48hours, 01/15utc update - 03/01/2021 - 18:45

ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED AND THE EYE HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY RAGGED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. CLICK ON THE IMAGERY TO ANIMATE...

CORAL SEA: 23P(99p) has reached 35knots, low confidence in the forecast track at the moment, 01/03utc update - 03/01/2021 - 08:05

23P. 01/0310UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED, WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) POSITIONED ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF A LARGE CLUSTER OF...

SOUTH INDIAN: 22S(MARIAN) peaked at 105knots/US CAT 3 and has undergone an eye-wall replacement cycle, 01/03utc update - 03/01/2021 - 07:25

22S(MARIAN). 01/0245UTC. DUE TO THE EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE, ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE WITH WARMING CLOUD TOPS. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM STILL...

SOUTH INDIAN: 22S(MARIAN) has intensified to US/Category 3 with near 230km/h top gusts, 28/15utc update - 02/28/2021 - 19:25

22S(MARIAN). 28/14UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 22S(MARIAN) HAS UNDERGONE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS WITH THE EYE CLEARING OUT AND ENLARGING TO 55...

SOUTH PACIFIC/Coral Sea: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 99P, 28/12utc update - 02/28/2021 - 17:15

INVEST 99P. 28/1130UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, A COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP FROM WILLIS ISLAND, AND A 280702UTC SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL DISORGANIZED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A...

Southern HEM: TC 22S(MARIAN),80knots,intensifying over the South Indian//Coral Sea: Invest 99P up-graded to Medium,28/03utc updates - 02/28/2021 - 07:20

22S(MARIAN). 28/0305UTC. HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE ANIMATION.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH A 35KM RAGGED EYE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH...

SOUTH INDIAN: Smap(Nasa) indicates 22S(MARIAN) is probably a strong CAT1(US). 27/15utc update - 02/27/2021 - 19:15

22S(MARIAN). 27/1153UTC. SMAP(NASA) READ 10MINUTE WINDS OF 69KNOTS=79KNOTS(1 MINUTE). THE OVERPASS WAS NOT AVAILABLE AT WARNING TIME AND SUGGESTS THE CYCLONE IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN ESTIMATED AT...

Southern HEM: TC 22S, 65knots, has reached US/Category 1, peak intensity forecast by 48h, Invest 99P on the map, 27/03utc update - 02/27/2021 - 07:30

22S(MARIAN). 27/02UTC.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. IF NEEDED CLICJK TO ANIMATE....

SOUTH INDIAN: 22S(MARIAN) forecast to reach US/Category 2 by 72hours over open waters, 26/15utc update - 02/26/2021 - 19:15

22S(MARIAN). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE AS THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST DEEPENED WITH A FORMATIVE PINHOLE EYE BECOMING APPARENT AND RAIN BANDS WRAPPING TIGHTER...

SOUTH INDIAN: intensifying TC 22S forecast to reach US/Category 1 by 24hours, 26/03utc update - 02/26/2021 - 07:30

TC 22S. 26/02UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATED WITH FORMATIVE BANDS WRAPPING TIGHTER INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CLICK IF NEEDED TO...

SOUTH INDIAN: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 98S// Invest 94P still Low. Updates 25/06utc - 02/25/2021 - 11:10

INVEST 98S. 25/0430UTC. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE(WINDS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING AT LEAST 35KNOTS) WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.CLICK TO ANIMATE IF...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 98S may intensify quickly over 36/48h// SOUTH PACIFIC: Invest 94P still on the map, 24/03utc updates - 02/24/2021 - 07:15

24/06UTC. INVEST 98S HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM. INVEST 94P REMAINS LOW. 2021 FEB 24 0245UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE INVEST #98S  #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN #WESTERNAUSTRALIA UPDATE As of 00:00 UTC Feb...

SOUTH PACIFIC: Invest 94P still on the map along with a Subtropical Storm over the Tasman Sea, 23/06utc updates - 02/23/2021 - 11:05

23/06UTC.JTWC HAS BEEN MONITORING INVEST 94P, INVEST 95P AND INVEST 96P. ONLY 94P IS ASSESSED TO HAVE LOW CHANCES OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT NEXT 24HOURS. INVEST 96P IS A 35KNOT SYSTEM BUT IS ANALYZED...

Final Warnings issued for 01W(DUJAN) and 21S(GUAMBE). Invest 94P on the map. 22/03utc updates - 02/22/2021 - 08:20

22/06UTC. JTWC ISSUED FINAL WARNINGS ON 01W(DUJUAN) AND 21S(GUAMBE) AT 22/03UTC. 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE STILL PROVIDED FOR BOTH SYSTEMS. INVEST 94P IS NOW ON THE MAP WITH LOW CHANCES OF...

01W(DUJUAN): tracking across Leyte, Romblon,Mindoro next 24/36hours//21S(GUAMBE): becoming extratropical by 12h, 21/15utc updates - 02/21/2021 - 19:40

01W(DUJUAN). 21/14UTC. THE 5H ANIMATION SHOWS THE RAIN-BANDS TRACKING OVER LEYTE AND THE SURROUNDING AREAS. PH. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED. 2021 FEB 21 1440UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC  TS #01W...

01W(DUJUAN) 35knots: forecast to make landfall over Leyte after 12hours then cross the Visayan islands, 22/09utc update - 02/21/2021 - 13:25

01W(DUJUAN). 22/08UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP, EXPANSIVE, FLARING CONVECTION OVER SOUTHEASTERN PHILIPPINES AND AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. CLICK ON THE IMAGERY TO...

01W(DUJUAN) 30knots: forecast landfall over Samar shortly after 24h/ MOZ Channel: 21S(GUAMBE) still CAT1, 21/03utc updates - 02/21/2021 - 07:45

2021 FEB 21 0255UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC  TD #01W #DUJUAN  WARNING 16 As of 00:00 UTC Feb 21, 2021: Location: 8.1°N 130.2°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h) Gusts: 40 kt ( 75km/h)...

TD 01W(DUJUAN) 30Knots and TC 21S(GUAMBE) 65Knots/CAT1. 20/02 09utc updates - 02/20/2021 - 13:35

20/06UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 01W(DUJUAN) AND 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 21S(GUAMBE). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED FOR 01W AND 21S. 2021 FEB 20 09UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC ...

01W(DUJUAN) 35knots, attacked by strong wind shear, forecast to make landfall near 36/48hours, 20/03utc update - 02/20/2021 - 07:35

01W(DUJUAN). 20/02UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A LARGE CONVECTIVE MASS SHEARED NORTHWEST AWAY FROM A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DUE TO STRONG LOW...

01W(DUJUAN) 45knots relocated and struggling under wind shear. 21S(GUAMBE) 85knots/CAT 2 intensifying. 19/15utc updates - 02/19/2021 - 20:50

01W(DUJUAN). LATE RECEIPT OF A 191259Z ASCAT-B SCATTEROMETER PARTIAL PASS CONFIRMS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE CONVECTIVE MASS THAT WAS ORIGINALLY THOUGHT TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE...

WNP: 01W(DUJUAN) 45knots, still fighting wind shear, slowly approaching Mindanao, 19/09utc update - 02/19/2021 - 14:10

ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS ONCE AGAIN STRUGGLING TO MAINTAIN THE CORE CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS EASTERLY WIND SHEAR REMAINS FAIRLY...

SOUTH INDIAN: Cyclone 21S(GUAMBE) : US/Category 1, possible rapid intensification period next 12/24hours, 19/09utc update - 02/19/2021 - 13:35

ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICT A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING AND INTENSIFYING SYSTEM WITH A SMALL, COMPACT CORE OF DEEP CONVECTION AND A DISORGANIZED,...

01W(DUJUAN) 45knots and slowly intensifying/ 21S(GUAMBE) 60knots and developing an eye, 19/02 03utc updates - 02/19/2021 - 07:25

01W(DUJUAN). 19/02UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SLOWLY-CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH A PERSISTENT MASS OF DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)...

01W(DUJUAN) slow-moving ,35knots system, 21S(GUAMBE) 55knots, gradually intensifying over the MOZ Channel, 18/21utc updates - 02/19/2021 - 04:20

18/18UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 01W AND 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 21S. 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED FOR BOTH SYSTEMS. 2021 FEB 18 2330UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC  TS #01W...

Western North Pacific: 01W named DUJUAN, forecast to intensify next 36h if wind shear decreases, 18/09utc update - 02/18/2021 - 13:20

ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION WITH OVERSHOOTING TOPS SHEARED TO THE WEST OF THE...

South Indian: 21S(GUAMBE) forecast to intensify to US/Category 2 by 48hours, 18/09utc update - 02/18/2021 - 12:30

21S(GUAMBE). 18/07UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A STEADILY IMPROVING CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE WITH WEAK CYCLONIC BANDING FEATURES BECOMING EVIDENT WITHIN THE CENTRAL DENSE...

South Indian: 21S(GUAMBE) forecast to intensify to 80knots( Strong Category 1) by 48hours, 17/21utc update - 02/18/2021 - 01:45

21S(GUAMBE). ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH A DEVELOPING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). CLICK ON...

Western North Pacific: 01W forecast to intensify next 48hours, 17/21utc update - 02/18/2021 - 01:20

01W. 07/20UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EXPOSED, DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF AN AREA OF FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. CLICK TO...
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