TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/14UTC. 12H LOOP. 01A REMAINS AN INTENSE SYSTEM WITH TOP GUSTS STILL CURRENTLY EXCEEDING 200KM/H CLOSE TO ITS EYE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR JAFRABAD/GUJARAT WITHIN THE NEXT 12HOURS. CLICK TO ANIMATE.
2021 MAY 17 14UTC #NORTHINDIAN
TC #01A #TAUKTAE #ARABIANSEA
WARNING 14
As of 12:00 UTC May 17, 2021:
Location: 20.0°N 71.2°E
Maximum Winds: 100 kt ( 185km/h)
Gusts: 125 kt ( 230km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 949 mb
CATEGORY US: 3
CLOSE TO LANDFALL AND WEAKENING RAPIDLY WHILE PUSHING INLAND.
LOCATED AT 17/12UTC APPROXIMATELY 210 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC #01A #TAUKTAE #ARABIANSEA
WARNING 14
As of 12:00 UTC May 17, 2021:
Location: 20.0°N 71.2°E
Maximum Winds: 100 kt ( 185km/h)
Gusts: 125 kt ( 230km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 949 mb
CATEGORY US: 3
CLOSE TO LANDFALL AND WEAKENING RAPIDLY WHILE PUSHING INLAND.
LOCATED AT 17/12UTC APPROXIMATELY 210 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC 01A(TAUKTAE). WARNING 14 ISSUED AT 17/15UTC. ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST). TC 01A WILL BEGIN TURNING TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR JAFARABAD, INDIA THROUGH 12H. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT ENTERS AN AREA OF GREATER VWS IN CONJUNCTION WITH TERRAIN INTERACTION AND SLIGHTLY COOLER SSTS NEARSHORE AS IT TRACKS NORTH. AFTER LANDFALL, THE CYCLONE WILL RAPIDLY ERODE AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE RUGGED TERRAIN AND THE HIGHER VWS, LEADING TO THE OVERALL DISSIPATION BY 36H.
TC 01A(TAUKTAE). WARNING 14. FORECAST LANDFALL AREA.
TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/14UTC. THE DISTINCT EYE FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR JAFRABAD,GUJARAT/INDIA WITHIN THE NEXT 12HOURS. Meteosat-8/Eumetsat.
TC 01A(TAUKTAE). NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT WITH AN EVEN AND GRADUAL SPREAD TO A MAXIMUM OF 120KM BY 36H, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.
TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/1236UTC. DMSP VISIBLE ENHANCED. THE CLOUD-FILLING EYE IS CLOSE TO THE INDIAN COASTLINE.
TC 01A(TAUKNAE). 17/1236UTC. DMSP ENHANCED INFRA-RED.
