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NORTH INDIAN: Invest 93B : Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert, likely to consolidate and intensify quickly next 24/48hours, 22/18utc update


INVEST 93B. 22/19UTC. 9H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 221024Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).


INVEST 93B. 22/19UTC. 9H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED  SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 221024Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE  SHOW FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL  CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
INVEST 93B. 22/19UTC. 9H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 221024Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
2021 MAY 22 20UTC #NORTHINDIAN #GULFOFBENGAL
INVEST 93B
TCFA/UPDATE
As of 18:00 UTC May 22, 2021:
Location: 16.5°N 90.9°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb
LOCATED AT 22/18UTC APPROXIMATELY 720KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA, INDIA.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  HIGH
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 93B. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE  CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW,  DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR  (VWS), AND VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST).
INVEST 93B. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST).

INVEST 93B. GLOBAL  MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93B WILL CONSOLIDATE  QUICKLY AND INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WHILE REMAINING IN  THE SAME GENERAL AREA BEFORE TURNING SHARPLY NORTHWARD.
INVEST 93B. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93B WILL CONSOLIDATE QUICKLY AND INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WHILE REMAINING IN THE SAME GENERAL AREA BEFORE TURNING SHARPLY NORTHWARD.

INVEST 93B. 22/15UTC.
INVEST 93B. 22/15UTC.

22/18UTC. INVEST 93B IS UP-GRADED TO HIGH: HIGH CHANCES OF HAVING 35KNOT WINDS NEAR ITS CENTER WITHIN 24HOURS.
22/18UTC. INVEST 93B IS UP-GRADED TO HIGH: HIGH CHANCES OF HAVING 35KNOT WINDS NEAR ITS CENTER WITHIN 24HOURS.

Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Sunday, May 23rd 2021 à 01:08