JTWC Patrick Hoareau | Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

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Cyclone development outlook for the Southern Hemisphere & Western North Pacific, 09/02 update - 02/09/2021 - 22:40

09/18UTC. The only tropical cyclone (TC) to develop over the past week was 19S(FARAJI), over the southern Indian Ocean. Faraji developed near 13S/81E on the 5th of February and subsequently tracked...

SAR and SMAP satellites read Super Cyclone winds for 19S(FARAJI), Invest 92P is still likely to develop, 09/09utc updates - 02/09/2021 - 14:10

19S(FARAJI). 09/0830UTC. 6H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE VERY SMALL BUT WELL DEFINED EYE FEATURE THAT WAS EVIDENT AT 0600UTC HAS SUBSEQUENTLY COLLAPSED, BUT...

SHEM: Super Cyclone 19S(FARAJI) reaches Category 5 , Invest 92P consolidates, 08/21utc updates - 02/09/2021 - 03:00

19S(FARAJI). 08/21UTC. 9H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DENSE, COMPACT SYSTEM WITH WELL-DEFINED 37 KM DIAMETER EYE AND CHARACTERISTICS OF AN ANNULAR TROPICAL CYCLONE....

SHEM: 19S(FARAJI) close to Super Typhoon intensity, Invest 92P: up-graded to High, 08/15utc updates - 02/08/2021 - 19:50

19S(FARAJI). 08/15UTC 6H LOOP. ANIMATED IMAGERY DEPICT A COMPACT AND WELL ORGANIZED CYCLONE CLOSE TO SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY AT 08/12UTC. ADT AND DVORAK NUMBERS POINT TO A STILL INTENSIFYING SYSTEM....

Category 4, 19S(FARAJI) annular -like cyclone has probably peaked, Invest 92P on the map, 08/09utc updates - 02/08/2021 - 14:00

19S(FARAJI). 08/09UTC LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DENSE, AXISYMMETRIC CONVECTION CHARACTERISTIC OF AN ANNULAR TROPICAL CYCLONE ALONG WITH COOLING CLOUD TOPS SURROUNDING A...

19S(FARAJI): Category 4 still well organised, slowly losing strength next 48h, Invest 92P on the map - 02/08/2021 - 02:40

19S(FARAJI). 07/21UTC. 9H LOOP.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED A WELL-DEFINED 37- KM EYE AND COMPACT, SYMMETRICAL CENTRAL CONVECTION, EVEN AS CONVECTIVE...

Southern Hemisphere: 19S(FARAJI) has reached US/Cat 4, 2nd intense cyclone of the season so far, 07/09utc update - 02/07/2021 - 13:50

19S(FARAJI). 07/09UTC LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS TIGHTLY CURVED SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A 45 KM DIAMETER EYE. THE PRESENCE OF THE EYE FEATURE...

19S(FARAJI): Smap(Nasa) confirmed winds of 100knots, US/ Category 3 at 07/0033utc - 02/07/2021 - 10:55

19S(FARAJI). 07/0033UTC. SMAP(NASA) READ 10MINUTE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 88KNOTS. IT MATCHED PERFECTLY WELL WITH THE REAL-TIME JTWC INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100KNOTS(1 MINUTE AVERAGE). 2021 FEB 07 0650UTC...

19S(FARAJI), US/Category 1, rapid intensification likely faster than forecast for the next 12/24hours, 06/21utc update - 02/07/2021 - 02:00

19S(FARAJI). 06/20UTC. 8H LOOP.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A PINHOLE EYE AS IT BECAME MORE COMPACT AND SYMMETRICAL. CLICK ON THE IMAGE TO ANIMATE...

SOUTH INDIAN: 19S(FARAJI): rapid intensification on, slow-mover, Invest 91P on the map, 06/09utc updates - 02/06/2021 - 13:50

19S(FARAJI).06/0830UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DEVELOPING BANDING EYE FEATURE. CLICK ON THE IMAGERY BELOW TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY.

SOUTH INDIAN: 19S(FARAJI) is forecast to intensify to US/Category 3 by 72hours while remaining slow-moving - 02/06/2021 - 01:35

UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH ROBUST EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW (10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, SST VALUES ARE FAVORABLE AT 29C. OVERALL, THE...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 90S is now TC 19S(FARAJI), forecast to intensify (very) rapidly next 72hours - 02/05/2021 - 15:35

05/09UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 19S. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR19S AND 18S. 2021 FEB 05 11UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #19S #FARAJI #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN WARNING 1...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 90S is up-graded to High as Ascat revealed stronger winds than anticipated - 02/05/2021 - 10:20

JTWC ISSUED FINAL WARNING ON 18S(NONAME) AT 05/03UTC. A TCFA IS ISSUED AT 05/06UTC FOR INVEST 90S. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR BOTH SYSTEMS. 2021 FEB 05 0555UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE...

SOUTH INDIAN: Final warning issued for 18S whereas Invest 90S is up-graded to HIGH, 05/06utc update - 02/05/2021 - 07:35

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 18S(EIGHTEEN). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 18S AND INVEST 90S. THEY WERE DISCONTINUED FOR THE REMNANTS OF 17P(LUCAS) AT 04/1140UTC. INVEST...

18S(EIGHTEEN) close to moving over open water, Cyclone Development Outlook for the SHEM and the Western North Pacific - 02/04/2021 - 14:30

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 18S(NONAME). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 18S AND THE REMNANTS OF 17P(LUCAS). 2021 FEB 04 0954UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #18S ...

17P(LUCAS): New Caledonia: 160km/h gust and more than 400mm in 24h whereas 18S is still over-land - 02/03/2021 - 15:25

03/06UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 18S(NONAME). WARNING 13/FINAL WAS ISSUED AT 03/03UTC ON 17P(LUCAS). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 18S AND 17P WHEREAS THEY WERE...

South Pacific: 17P(LUCAS) tracking across the Loyalty islands and East of New Caledonia, 02/15utc update - 02/02/2021 - 19:55

WARNING 11.17P(LUCAS) IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE (NER) AND THROUGH A MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...

Southern Hemisphere cyclonic activity: 02/03utc updates - 02/02/2021 - 07:00

JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 17P(LUCAS) AND 18S. WARNING 12/FINAL WAS ISSUED AT 01/21UTC FOR 15P(ANA). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED 15P,17P AND 18S. 2021 FEB 02 0155UTC...

SHEM: 17P(LUCAS) intensifying and approaching Vanuatu/New Caledonia area, 15P(ANA), 18S, 16P(BINA), remnants 13S: 01/09utc updates - 02/01/2021 - 14:50

01/06UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA), 17P(LUCAS), 18S. FINAL WARNING WAS ISSUED AT 01/03UTC FOR 16P(BINA). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P,17P,18S WHEREAS THE FINAL...

Southern Hemisphere: hectic situation! JTWC issuing warnings on 4 systems! 31/15utc updates - 01/31/2021 - 20:10

JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA), 16P, 17P(LUCAS), 18S. 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR THE 4 CYCLONIC SYSTEMS. 2021 JAN 31 1450UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #15P #ANA...

Southern Hemisphere: South Pacific: 3 TCs , South Indian: 2 Invests. 31/06utc updates - 01/31/2021 - 11:35

31/06UTC. JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6 HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA), 16P AND 17P. 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P,16P,17P AND INVEST 98S. 2021 JAN 31 0605UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #15P...

Southern Hemisphere: 15P(ANA) & 16P forecast interaction over the South Pacific, 30/21utc updates - 01/31/2021 - 04:20

INVEST 99P IS NOW TC 16P. JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA) AND 16P(NONAME). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P AND 16P ALONG WITH INVEST 94P AND INVEST 98S. 2021 JAN...

Southern Hemisphere: very busy: 5 systems being monitored! 30/15utc updates - 01/30/2021 - 21:15

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P, INVEST 94P, INVEST 99P AND INVEST 98S. 2021 JAN 30 1615UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #15P #ANA...

SOUTH PACIFIC: 15P(ANA) crossing Viti Levu/Fiji within 24hours while intensifying, Invest 94P and Invest 99P updates,30/09utc - 01/30/2021 - 15:25

15P(ANA). WARNING 2.FORECAST TO REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT TURNS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) EXTENSION TO THE EAST,...

29/06utc, Updates on Invest 96P, 94P, 98S and the remnants of 13S(NONAME). - 01/29/2021 - 13:20

29/0530UTC.JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON INVEST 96P. INVEST 94P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM WHILE INVEST 98S IS NOW UNDER CLOSE WATCH. THE REMNANTS OF 13S(NONAME) ARE STILL...

SHEM: Invest 96P likely to develop within 24hours, Invest 94P still over-land, remnants of 13S still monitored, 28/18utc update - 01/28/2021 - 23:30

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON THE REMNANTS OF 13S(NONAME) AND INVEST 96P. INVEST 96P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO HIGH FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS. 2021 JAN 28 1830UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE...

SHEM: 13S remains under close watch, Invest 94P still over Cape York, Invest 96P slowly consolidating East of Vanuatu, 28/06ut update - 01/28/2021 - 11:55

28/0530UTC. 13S(NONAME) REMAINS UNDER CLOSE WATCH FOR ANY SIGNS OF RE-INTENSIFICATION. INVEST 94P IS STILL OVER-LAND OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA. INVEST 96P REMAINS MEDIUM AND UNDER CLOSE SURVEILLANCE...

Southern HEM: 13S may intensify after 48hours, localised heavy rain with Invest 94P over-land, Invest 96P under close watch - 01/27/2021 - 12:10

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS AND 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS FOR 13S(NONAME). INVEST 96P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS. 2021 JAN 27 #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #13S...

Southern Hemisphere: 13S still struggling, remnants of 12S(ELOISE) still tracked while Invest 94P is under close watch over the GOC - 01/26/2021 - 07:30

JTWC IS STILL ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 13S(NONAME).3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 13S . THE REMNANTS OF 12S(ELOISE) ARE STILL TRACKED WHILE WELL IN-LAND OVER SOUTHERN AFRICA....

12S(ELOISE): Final Warning. Made landfall 15km Southeast of Nova Sofala/MOZ with estimated 205km/h gusts - 01/23/2021 - 13:50

WARNING 13/FINAL. TC 12S(ELOISE) MADE LANDFALL APPRX 15KM SOUTHEAST OF NOVA SOFALA OR 30KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BEIRA WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90KNOTS GUSTING TO 110KNOTS, US/CATEGORY 2. TC #12S...

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