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JTWC Patrick Hoareau
28W(RAI) now at Typhoon intensity, forecast to reach CAT 2 by 24hours, but rapid intensifcation still possible before crossing the Philippines,15/03utc

28W(RAI) now at Typhoon intensity, forecast to reach CAT 2 by 24hours, but rapid intensifcation still possible before crossing the Philippines,15/03utc - 12/15/2021 - 07:25

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 28W(RAI): gradual then rapid intensification forecast to Typhoon/CAT 3 by 48hours ,clipping northern Mindanao//TC 03P(RUBY) update,14/09utc

TS 28W(RAI): gradual then rapid intensification forecast to Typhoon/CAT 3 by 48hours ,clipping northern Mindanao//TC 03P(RUBY) update,14/09utc - 12/14/2021 - 13:35

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TD 28W: forecast to reach Typhoon CAT 2 by 72H,approaching the Philippines// TC 03P(RUBY): peaking by 24H close to New Caledonia,13/03utc

TD 28W: forecast to reach Typhoon CAT 2 by 72H,approaching the Philippines// TC 03P(RUBY): peaking by 24H close to New Caledonia,13/03utc - 12/13/2021 - 08:15

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 96W: significant intensification likely next 4/5 days,approaching the Philippines//TC 03P(RUBY): forecast to reach US/CAT2 by 36H,12/09utc

Invest 96W: significant intensification likely next 4/5 days,approaching the Philippines//TC 03P(RUBY): forecast to reach US/CAT2 by 36H,12/09utc - 12/12/2021 - 12:10

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
96W up-graded to MEDIUM, development likely next 48hours// 93P: 30knots gradually intensifying//95S and remnants of TC 02S, 11/03utc updates

96W up-graded to MEDIUM, development likely next 48hours// 93P: 30knots gradually intensifying//95S and remnants of TC 02S, 11/03utc updates - 12/11/2021 - 07:20

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 96W: westward track and intensification next several days// Invest 93P: intensification likely// Remnants TC 02S and Invest 94S, 10/06utc updates

Invest 96W: westward track and intensification next several days// Invest 93P: intensification likely// Remnants TC 02S and Invest 94S, 10/06utc updates - 12/10/2021 - 11:50

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 93P: up-graded to MEDIUM, development likely// Invest 95W now on the map//TC 02S(TERATAI): Final Warning, 09/09utc

Invest 93P: up-graded to MEDIUM, development likely// Invest 95W now on the map//TC 02S(TERATAI): Final Warning, 09/09utc - 12/09/2021 - 13:06

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: MJO= likely TC development : West Pacific, Southwest Pacific, near northern Australia through mid-December

2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: MJO= likely TC development : West Pacific, Southwest Pacific, near northern Australia through mid-December - 12/08/2021 - 11:20

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TC 02S(TERATAI) making a come-back// Invest 95W and Invest 93P updates, 07/22h30utc, JTWC map up-dated at 08/06utc

TC 02S(TERATAI) making a come-back// Invest 95W and Invest 93P updates, 07/22h30utc, JTWC map up-dated at 08/06utc - 12/08/2021 - 02:50

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Remnants of TC 02S(TERATAI): possible new and short lease of life(TCFA)//Invest 95W: possible significant development beyond 5 days, 07/09utc

Remnants of TC 02S(TERATAI): possible new and short lease of life(TCFA)//Invest 95W: possible significant development beyond 5 days, 07/09utc - 12/07/2021 - 16:10

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 95W, remnants of TC 02S(TERATAI), remnants of TC 05B(JAWAD), 06/06utc updates

Invest 95W, remnants of TC 02S(TERATAI), remnants of TC 05B(JAWAD), 06/06utc updates - 12/06/2021 - 14:00

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 27W(NYATOH) re-analysed as a Super Typhoon. SMAP read winds near 125/130knots

TY 27W(NYATOH) re-analysed as a Super Typhoon. SMAP read winds near 125/130knots - 12/04/2021 - 10:10

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 27W(NYATOH): deep convection being blown away// TC 05B(JAWAD) expected to intensify a bit next 24hours, 03/15utc

TY 27W(NYATOH): deep convection being blown away// TC 05B(JAWAD) expected to intensify a bit next 24hours, 03/15utc - 12/03/2021 - 19:55

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
27W(NYATOH): smap validates 125knot intensity(CAT 4): expected dramatic weakening next 48h// TC 05B develops over the BOB,03/03utc

27W(NYATOH): smap validates 125knot intensity(CAT 4): expected dramatic weakening next 48h// TC 05B develops over the BOB,03/03utc - 12/03/2021 - 07:38

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
27W(NYATOH) now a Typhoon/CAT 3 will peak within 12 hours: CAT 4 possible// Invest 94W still high over the BOB

27W(NYATOH) now a Typhoon/CAT 3 will peak within 12 hours: CAT 4 possible// Invest 94W still high over the BOB - 12/02/2021 - 19:40

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TY 27W(NYATOH) to peak within 12/18hours before being decapitated//Invest 94W: now High over the BOB// TC 02S(TERATAI): Final Warning,02/03utc

TY 27W(NYATOH) to peak within 12/18hours before being decapitated//Invest 94W: now High over the BOB// TC 02S(TERATAI): Final Warning,02/03utc - 12/02/2021 - 07:35

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
South Indian Ocean: Invest 92S is now TC 02S, should be short-lived, 01/09utc

South Indian Ocean: Invest 92S is now TC 02S, should be short-lived, 01/09utc - 12/01/2021 - 14:15

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 27W(NYATOH) intensity to peak(CAT 3) within 36h then will decay (dry air and shear)//Invest 92S: TCFA(High),Invest 94W still Medium

TS 27W(NYATOH) intensity to peak(CAT 3) within 36h then will decay (dry air and shear)//Invest 92S: TCFA(High),Invest 94W still Medium - 12/01/2021 - 07:40

JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 27W(NYATOH): rapid intensification likely next 48hours//Invest 94W: intensification expected by 48hours/Invest 92S on the map, 30/09utc

TS 27W(NYATOH): rapid intensification likely next 48hours//Invest 94W: intensification expected by 48hours/Invest 92S on the map, 30/09utc - 11/30/2021 - 13:55

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TD 27W: forecast to reach Typhoon/CAT 4 by 72hours//Invest 94W: forecast significant deepening over the Andaman Sea,29/15utc

TD 27W: forecast to reach Typhoon/CAT 4 by 72hours//Invest 94W: forecast significant deepening over the Andaman Sea,29/15utc - 11/29/2021 - 20:20

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 93W: expected to "DEVELOP LIKE A HOUSE ON FIRE" after 48hours// Invest 94W set to develop once over the Andaman Sea, 28/11utc

Invest 93W: expected to "DEVELOP LIKE A HOUSE ON FIRE" after 48hours// Invest 94W set to develop once over the Andaman Sea, 28/11utc - 11/28/2021 - 15:49

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 93W and Invest 91S on the map, 26/09utc

Invest 93W and Invest 91S on the map, 26/09utc - 11/26/2021 - 12:30

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Final Warning on 01S(PADDY) with Invest 91S displaying flaring convection, 25/06utc

Final Warning on 01S(PADDY) with Invest 91S displaying flaring convection, 25/06utc - 11/25/2021 - 12:10

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TC 01S(PADDY) slowly moving westward/ Invest 91S now on the map, 24/03utc

TC 01S(PADDY) slowly moving westward/ Invest 91S now on the map, 24/03utc - 11/24/2021 - 08:30

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Mid-level dry air entrainment preventing significant intensification of TC 01S(PADDY), 23/09utc

Mid-level dry air entrainment preventing significant intensification of TC 01S(PADDY), 23/09utc - 11/23/2021 - 13:33

0121111818  98S1011E  15 0121111900  99S1021E  15 0121111906 100S1030E  20 0121111912 103S1035E  20 0121111918 104S1040E  20 0121112000 103S1042E  20...
South Indian: 01S(PADDY) opens the 2021/22 Southern Hemisphere cyclone season, 22/09utc

South Indian: 01S(PADDY) opens the 2021/22 Southern Hemisphere cyclone season, 22/09utc - 11/22/2021 - 13:00

0121111818  98S1011E  15 0121111900  99S1021E  15 0121111906 100S1030E  20 0121111912 103S1035E  20 0121111918 104S1040E  20 0121112000 103S1042E  20...
Southern Hemisphere/South Indian: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 90S(PADDY), 22/04utc

Southern Hemisphere/South Indian: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 90S(PADDY), 22/04utc - 11/22/2021 - 08:59

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 92B now over-land whereas Invest 93A is low for the next 24hours, 19/08utc

Invest 92B now over-land whereas Invest 93A is low for the next 24hours, 19/08utc - 11/19/2021 - 12:08

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 92B, 17/22utc

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 92B, 17/22utc - 11/18/2021 - 02:15

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: moderate confidence in TC development: Philippine Sea, Bay of Bengal, Arabian Sea,17/11/21

2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: moderate confidence in TC development: Philippine Sea, Bay of Bengal, Arabian Sea,17/11/21 - 11/17/2021 - 07:00

Cheers, Patrick Hoareau   JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
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TC 22P(PAUL)// Remnants of TC 21S(OLGA)// ECMWF 10 Day Storm Tracks// 1103utc

TC 21S(OLGA) SAR reveals still a bit stronger than expected// INVEST 97P// ECMWF 10 Day Storm Traccks// 0903utc

TC 21S(OLGA) peaked as a powerful CAT 4 US// ECMWF 10 Day Storm Tracks// 0803utc

TC 21S(OLGA) reaches CAT 3 US still intensifying// ECMWF 10 Day Storm Tracks// 0709utc

TC 21S(OLGA) intensifying and peaking within 24H may reach CAT 2 US// ECMWF 10 Day Storm Tracks, 0615utc