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JTWC Patrick Hoareau

21UTC: TD 03W is expected to dissipate over Mindanao after 24hours, might re-intensify once over the South China Sea - 03/18/2019 - 02:19

Warning 12/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 18:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 7.4°N 131.8°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

21UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) category 2 US is now weakening over the open seas of the South Indian Ocean - 03/18/2019 - 02:00

Warning 16/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 16.4°S 90.1°E Maximum Winds: 95 kt ( 175km/h) Gusts: 115kt ( 215km/h)...

21UTC: TC TREVOR(20P) has formed, intensifying rapidly over the Coral Sea with landfall over Cape York expected shortly after 36hours - 03/18/2019 - 01:37

Warning 1/JTWC TC TREVOR(20P) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 13.1°S 146.3°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt (65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb INTENSIFYING...

09UTC: Tropical Depression 03W is forecast to dissipate over Mindanao in 48hours - 03/17/2019 - 14:10

Warning 10/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 7.4°N 133.9°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

09UTC: Cyclone SAVANNAH(19S) is now an intense cyclone, category 3 US right in the middle of the South Indian Ocean - 03/17/2019 - 13:36

Warning 14/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 16.3°S 91.0°E Maximum Winds: 100 kt ( 185km/h) Gusts: 125kt ( 230km/h)...

03UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) category 2 US intensifying over the open waters of the South Indian Ocean - 03/17/2019 - 07:20

Warning 13/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 16.1°S 91.6°E Maximum Winds: 85 kt ( 160km/h) Gusts: 105kt ( 195km/h)...

03UTC: TD 03W close to Palau forecast to cross southern Mindanao in 36hours - 03/17/2019 - 06:55

Warning 9/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 00:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 7.3°N 134.7°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

03UTC: 92P is likely to develop next 24h over the Coral Sea - 03/17/2019 - 06:30

TCFA/JTWC Models show strong development once over the Gulf of Carpentaria in apprx 4 days. INVEST 92P As of 00:00 UTC Mar 17, 2019: Location: 10.7°S 146.7°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt (55km/h)...

15UTC: TD 03W set to track very close to Palau shortly after 12hours and dissipate over southern Mindanao in 72hours - 03/16/2019 - 19:27

Warning 7/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 12:00 UTC Mar 16, 2019: Location: 7.4°N 137.6°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

15UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) category 1 US may reach top cat2 or even cat3 within 48hours over the open South Indian seas - 03/16/2019 - 18:54

Warning 11/JTWC My own estimate is sustained winds(1mn) at 75kt gusting to 90kt. This system has the potential to intensify rapidly next 24/36hours....

09UTC: tropical depression 03W set to cross Palau within 24hours and dissipate over southern Mindanao in 3 days - 03/16/2019 - 14:06

Warning 6/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 16, 2019: Location: 7.6°N 138.8°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

03UTC: Cyclone SAVANNAH(19S) : intensifying in the middle of the South Indian Ocean - 03/16/2019 - 08:09

Warning 9/JTWC Compact system with very good microwave satellite signature whereas the infra-red signature has been lagging behind(with Dvorak at 3.5). The intensity is difficult to assess with...

03UTC: Tropical Depresssion 03W 595km east of Palau forecast to dissipate in 3 days close to southern Mindanao - 03/16/2019 - 07:34

Warning 5/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 00:00 UTC Mar 16, 2019: Location: 7.7°N 140.0°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

21UTC: TD 03W forecast to dissipate near southern Mindanao in 72hours maybe sooner - 03/16/2019 - 01:11

Warning 4/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 18:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 7.9°N 140.9°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

15UTC: TD 03W could be dissipating over southern Mindanao in 2 days and may bring needed rain - 03/15/2019 - 18:22

Warning 3/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 12:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 7.9°N 141.7°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

15UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) intensifying over the South Indian possibly reaching Category 1 US ahead of forecast - 03/15/2019 - 17:54

Warning 7/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 14.4°S 94.8°E Maximum Winds: 55 kt ( 100km/h) Gusts: 70 kt ( 130km/h)...

09UTC: TC IDAI(18S) is over overland now, Maximum intensity reached over water was 110knots, top Category 3 US - 03/15/2019 - 14:46

JMV FILE BELOW FINAL REMARKS(WARNING 24) 150300Z POSITION NEAR 19.4S 34.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (IDAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07...

09UTC: TD 03W at 1800km east of Mindanao, not much intensification forecast, could dissipate close to Mindanao in 3 days - 03/15/2019 - 14:02

Warning 2/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TD 03W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 8.0°N 144.4°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum...

09UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) forecast to reach cateogory 1 US in 2 days over open South Indian waters - 03/15/2019 - 13:02

Warning 6/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 13.8°S 94.8°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...

South Pacific: 92P is now likely to develop next 24hours, models indicate possible high potential of intensification in 3 to 4 days - 03/15/2019 - 08:32

TCFA issued by the JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ INVEST 92P As of 00:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 8.6°S 151.0°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h) Gusts: 40 kt ( 75km/h)...

03UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) slowly intensifying in the middle of the South Indian Ocean - 03/15/2019 - 07:20

Warning 5/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 13.6°S 95.2°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h)...

03UTC: tropical depression 03W has formed, not expected to intensify much, heading for the southern Philippines - 03/15/2019 - 06:47

Warning 1/JTWC TD 03W As of 00:00 UTC Mar 15, 2019: Location: 8.0°N 144.4°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1001 mb WDPN31 PGTW 150300...

00UTC: TC IDAI(18S) made landfall over Beira near 22utc. - 03/15/2019 - 05:34

Warning 23/JTWC REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION NEAR 19.6S 35.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (IDAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 303 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08...

15UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) slowly moving away from the Cocos islands and set to intensify gradually next 4 days - 03/14/2019 - 19:24

Warning 3/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location: 12.8°S 95.8°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt ( 95km/h)...

15UTC: Cyclone IDAI(18S) life-threatning category 3 US set to make landfall very close to Beira shortly before 12 hours - 03/14/2019 - 18:12

Warning 22/JTWC Dangerous cyclone. In the Beira area people should take shelter immediately and heed the warnings from the local authorities. TC IDAI(18S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location:...

95W: upgraded to high, slight development possible within 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 17:36

TCFA issued by the JTWC The cicrulation is elongated and models do not develop it much but the small-sized system may reach the minimum level required to be numbered by the JTWC.  95W is located...

09UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) tracking apprx 100km to the Cocos islands and intensifying gradually - 03/14/2019 - 13:55

Warning 2/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location: 12.0°S 96.0°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt ( 95km/h)...

09UTC: Dangerous cyclone IDAI(18S) category 3 US, 245km to Beira, landfall within 50km of Beira in 18hours - 03/14/2019 - 12:42

Warning 21/JTWC NB: UNDER COMPLETION Dangerous cyclone. Important potential threat to the Beira region. People should take this cyclone seriously and heed the warnings from the local authorities....

Western North Pacific: 95W still under watch, located 890km to Guam - 03/14/2019 - 11:43

The area is still MEDIUM for the next 24hours Small-sized system. Only two models develop it modestly. But models might under-estimate the development potential due to the compactness of the...

Busy at JTWC...2 full-blown cyclones and 4 invest areas to monitor - 03/14/2019 - 08:53

Invest 95W and Invest 92P on the chart NB: COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
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