JTWC Patrick Hoareau
15UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): forecast to dissipate(below 35knots) in 3 days - 02/21/2019 - 20:15
Warning 39/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 1610UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 45knots TC. WARNING 39/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 39 and...
15UTC: typhoon Wutip(02W) Category 2 US, intensifying and approaching Guam - 02/21/2019 - 19:15
Warning 10/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 1505UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 85knots TC, CAT2 US. WARNING 10/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for...
09UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): forecast to dissipate(below 35knots) in 4 days - 02/21/2019 - 15:14
Warning 38/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 11UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 45knots TC. WARNING 38/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 38 and view...
09UTC: Typhoon WUTIP(02W) forecast to reach Category 3 US in 36hours while approaching Guam - 02/21/2019 - 14:00
Warning 9/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 0945UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 9/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for...
03UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and slowly weakening next 5 days - 02/21/2019 - 06:56
2019 FEB 21 0250UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 50knots TC. WARNING 37/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 37 and view sat pics and...
03UTC: WUTIP(02W) now a typhoon, forecast to reach Category 3 US in 36hours while approaching Guam - 02/21/2019 - 06:27
Warning 8/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 65knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 8/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for...
21UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and slowly weakening next 5 days - 02/21/2019 - 00:44
Warning 36/JTWC REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 22.3S 160.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 529 NM NORTHEAST OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS...
21UTC: WUTIP(02W) intensifying and forecast to reach CAT3 US in less than 2 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 23:46
Warning 7/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 1940UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 60knots TS. WARNING 7/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 7...
15UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and slowly weakening, changed forecast track after 48hours - 02/20/2019 - 18:23
Warning 35/JTWC
15UTC: WUTIP(02W) intensifying and forecast to reach CAT3 US in less than 2 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 18:03
Warning 6/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 1355UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 55knots TS. WARNING 6/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 6...
09UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and forecast to weaken next 5 days - 02/20/2019 - 13:01
Warning 34/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0855UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 70knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 34/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning...
09UTC: WUTIP(02W) forecast to intensify rapidly to a CAT3 US in less than 3 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 12:40
Warning 5/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0830UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 45knots TS. WARNING 5/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 5...
03UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and forecast to weaken next 4 days - 02/20/2019 - 06:49
Warning 33/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0245UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 70knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 33/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning...
03UTC: WUTIP(02W) forecast to intensify rapidly to a CAT3 US in less than 3 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 06:19
Warning 4/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0210UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 45knots TS. WARNING 4/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 4...
21UTC: cyclone OMA(15P) Category 1 US, no longer expected to intensify - 02/20/2019 - 04:44
Warning 32/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0025UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 32/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning...
21UTC: WUTIP(02W) forecast to intensify rapidly to a CAT3 US in 3 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 03:58
Warning 3/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 2345UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 35knots TS. WARNING 3/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 3...
15UTC: TD 02W forecast to intensify rapidly to a Category 3 US in 3 days while approaching the Yap/Guam area - 02/19/2019 - 18:41
Warning 2/TWC 2019 FEB 19 1440UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TD #02W WARNING 2/JTWC As of 12:00 UTC Feb 19, 2019: Location: 4.4°N 157.0°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt (55km/h) Gusts: 40 kt (75km/h) Minimum...
15UTC: Cyclone OMA(15P) Category 1 US may intensify to Category 2 within 12hours - 02/19/2019 - 18:21
Warning 31/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 1410UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 31/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning...
Cyclone OMA(15P) expected to peak as a CAT2 US within the next 24hours - 02/19/2019 - 13:04
Warning 30/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 09UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 30/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 30...
02W expected to intensify rapidly next 4 days while approaching the Yap/Guam area - 02/19/2019 - 12:51
Warning 1/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 0840UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TD #02W WARNING 1/JTWC As of 06:00 UTC Feb 19, 2019: Location: 4.4°N 158.3°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt (45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt (65km/h) Minimum...
92W: development still likely next several days - 02/19/2019 - 06:07
TCFA/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC INVEST #92W TCFA/JTWC As of 00:00 UTC Feb 19, 2019: Location: 4.8°N 159.8°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb...
Cyclone OMA(15P), Category 1US, tracking 130km west of the Belep islands where 140km/h gusts are reported - 02/19/2019 - 05:52
Warning 29/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 02UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: as I anticipated(warning 27) the intensity is now above the previous forecast. Current forecast peak is 85knots(CAT2 US) in 24H. High...
15UTC: OMA(15P): moving southwest and intensifying, approaching the Belep islands - 02/18/2019 - 18:47
Warning 27/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 1435UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: UW-CIMSS Experimental Vertical Shear and TC Intensity Trend Estimates suggests environment now favorable. Intensification might be more...
09UTC: OMA reduced to a 45knots cyclone, forecast to intensify gradually next 48hours - 02/18/2019 - 14:02
Warning 26/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 0955UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: struggling TC primarily due to up-welling of cooler seas. Forecast to slowly move back over warmer seas and peak near 65knots(CAT1 US)...
INVEST 92W: development assessed as HIGH for the next 24hours - 02/18/2019 - 06:25
TCFA issued by the JTWC 2019 Feb 18 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC INVEST #92W TCFA/JTWC As of 00:00 UTC Feb 18, 2019: Location: 4.1°N 164.4°E Maximum Winds: 15/20 kt Minimum Central Pressure:...
03UTC: OMA(15P): struggling over cooler seas, but pushing south-southwest and forecast to intensify after 12/24hours - 02/18/2019 - 06:10
Warning 25/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 02UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: Cyclone expected to gradually pull away from cooler seas(24/25°C) due to up-welling and be back over 27/28°C seas. Peak intensity near...
South Indian: INVEST 94S now rated as LOW for the next 24h, might develop quickly once over the MOZ Channel - 02/17/2019 - 22:27
The european model is aggressive. 2019 Feb 17 1830UTC 1: Invest 94S is now rated as LOW by the Navy. The system is still over-land but based on guidance(Ecmwf, Gfs and UkMet) development coud...
15UTC: TC OMA(15P) pushing slowly southward and forecast to intensify gradually after 24H. - 02/17/2019 - 18:38
Warning 23 from the JTWC. 2019 FEB 17 1440UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My remarks: moderate to strong wind shear and up-welling have taken their toll on the system. But 15P is still forecast to intensify...
INVEST 92W upgraded to MEDIUM for the next 24 hours by the JTWC - 02/17/2019 - 17:48
The disturbance is likely to develop next week. 2019 Feb 17 13h48UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC 1: Invest 92W is already upgraded to MEDIUM at 13UTC. A 12UTC it was located approx 2635km to the...
INVEST 92W: still LOW for the next 24hours, likely to develop gradually next week - 02/17/2019 - 15:41
Keeping tabs on it. 2019 Feb 17 11h40UTC Hi all, 1: INVEST 92W is still rated as low for the next 24 by the JTWC. Models and different analyses point to some likely development next...
Les News
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
06/19/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
06/14/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Liens utiles
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
TC 29S(ERROL) peaked at CATEGORY 5 US/SUPER TYPHOON after Extreme Rapid Intensification//3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1618utc
INVEST 96P under close watch// 3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1109utc
TC 27S(COURTNEY) recahed Super Typhoon Intensity//Over-land TC 28S(DIANNE)//INVEST 97W//3003uitc
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
TC 29S(ERROL) peaked at CATEGORY 5 US/SUPER TYPHOON after Extreme Rapid Intensification//3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1618utc
INVEST 96P under close watch// 3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1109utc
TC 27S(COURTNEY) recahed Super Typhoon Intensity//Over-land TC 28S(DIANNE)//INVEST 97W//3003uitc
MMS/Vacoas: Janvier 2023: le plus pluvieux à MAURICE depuis 20ans! RODRIGUES: proche de la normale...
ILES SOEURS: la REUNION et MAURICE douchées par des pluies localement fortes// Et ce n'est probablement pas fini// 26/19h
MAURITIUS: significant rain at last!
MMS/Vacoas: dry to very dry December 2022 for MAURITIUS and RODRIGUES & the outer islands//Forecast for JAN & FEB 2023
Mid-November: still dry over most of MAURITIUS, RODRIGUES and ST BRANDON, near normal at Agaléga//Forecast for Nov/Dec/Jan 2023
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