JTWC Patrick Hoareau
03UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): forecast to dissipate(below 35knots) in 2 days - 02/22/2019 - 07:55
Warning 41/JTWC 2019 FEB 22 0340UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 40knots TC. WARNING 41/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 41 and...
03UTC: typhoon Wutip(02W) Category 2 US, intensifying and approaching Guam area - 02/22/2019 - 06:58
Warning 12/JTWC 2019 FEB 22 0250UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W My Remarks: Recent sat data depict a clear-cut 45KM microwave eye becoming apparent on visible imagery . Peak intensity...
21UTC: typhoon Wutip(02W) Category 2 US, intensifying and approaching Guam area - 02/22/2019 - 01:25
Warning 11/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 2115UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 90knots TC, CAT2 US. WARNING 11/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for...
15UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): forecast to dissipate(below 35knots) in 3 days - 02/21/2019 - 20:15
Warning 39/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 1610UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 45knots TC. WARNING 39/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 39 and...
15UTC: typhoon Wutip(02W) Category 2 US, intensifying and approaching Guam - 02/21/2019 - 19:15
Warning 10/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 1505UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 85knots TC, CAT2 US. WARNING 10/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for...
09UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): forecast to dissipate(below 35knots) in 4 days - 02/21/2019 - 15:14
Warning 38/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 11UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 45knots TC. WARNING 38/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 38 and view...
09UTC: Typhoon WUTIP(02W) forecast to reach Category 3 US in 36hours while approaching Guam - 02/21/2019 - 14:00
Warning 9/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 0945UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 9/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for...
03UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and slowly weakening next 5 days - 02/21/2019 - 06:56
2019 FEB 21 0250UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 50knots TC. WARNING 37/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 37 and view sat pics and...
03UTC: WUTIP(02W) now a typhoon, forecast to reach Category 3 US in 36hours while approaching Guam - 02/21/2019 - 06:27
Warning 8/JTWC 2019 FEB 21 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 65knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 8/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for...
21UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and slowly weakening next 5 days - 02/21/2019 - 00:44
Warning 36/JTWC REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 22.3S 160.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 529 NM NORTHEAST OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS...
21UTC: WUTIP(02W) intensifying and forecast to reach CAT3 US in less than 2 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 23:46
Warning 7/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 1940UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 60knots TS. WARNING 7/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 7...
15UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and slowly weakening, changed forecast track after 48hours - 02/20/2019 - 18:23
Warning 35/JTWC
15UTC: WUTIP(02W) intensifying and forecast to reach CAT3 US in less than 2 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 18:03
Warning 6/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 1355UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 55knots TS. WARNING 6/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 6...
09UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and forecast to weaken next 5 days - 02/20/2019 - 13:01
Warning 34/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0855UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 70knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 34/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning...
09UTC: WUTIP(02W) forecast to intensify rapidly to a CAT3 US in less than 3 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 12:40
Warning 5/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0830UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 45knots TS. WARNING 5/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 5...
03UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): slow-moving and forecast to weaken next 4 days - 02/20/2019 - 06:49
Warning 33/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0245UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 70knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 33/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning...
03UTC: WUTIP(02W) forecast to intensify rapidly to a CAT3 US in less than 3 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 06:19
Warning 4/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0210UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 45knots TS. WARNING 4/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 4...
21UTC: cyclone OMA(15P) Category 1 US, no longer expected to intensify - 02/20/2019 - 04:44
Warning 32/JTWC 2019 FEB 20 0025UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 32/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning...
21UTC: WUTIP(02W) forecast to intensify rapidly to a CAT3 US in 3 days while approaching the Guam/Yap area - 02/20/2019 - 03:58
Warning 3/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 2345UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 35knots TS. WARNING 3/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 3...
15UTC: TD 02W forecast to intensify rapidly to a Category 3 US in 3 days while approaching the Yap/Guam area - 02/19/2019 - 18:41
Warning 2/TWC 2019 FEB 19 1440UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TD #02W WARNING 2/JTWC As of 12:00 UTC Feb 19, 2019: Location: 4.4°N 157.0°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt (55km/h) Gusts: 40 kt (75km/h) Minimum...
15UTC: Cyclone OMA(15P) Category 1 US may intensify to Category 2 within 12hours - 02/19/2019 - 18:21
Warning 31/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 1410UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 31/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning...
Cyclone OMA(15P) expected to peak as a CAT2 US within the next 24hours - 02/19/2019 - 13:04
Warning 30/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 09UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 75knots TC, CAT1 US. WARNING 30/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 30...
02W expected to intensify rapidly next 4 days while approaching the Yap/Guam area - 02/19/2019 - 12:51
Warning 1/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 0840UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TD #02W WARNING 1/JTWC As of 06:00 UTC Feb 19, 2019: Location: 4.4°N 158.3°E Maximum Winds: 25 kt (45km/h) Gusts: 35 kt (65km/h) Minimum...
92W: development still likely next several days - 02/19/2019 - 06:07
TCFA/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC INVEST #92W TCFA/JTWC As of 00:00 UTC Feb 19, 2019: Location: 4.8°N 159.8°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb...
Cyclone OMA(15P), Category 1US, tracking 130km west of the Belep islands where 140km/h gusts are reported - 02/19/2019 - 05:52
Warning 29/JTWC 2019 FEB 19 02UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: as I anticipated(warning 27) the intensity is now above the previous forecast. Current forecast peak is 85knots(CAT2 US) in 24H. High...
15UTC: OMA(15P): moving southwest and intensifying, approaching the Belep islands - 02/18/2019 - 18:47
Warning 27/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 1435UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: UW-CIMSS Experimental Vertical Shear and TC Intensity Trend Estimates suggests environment now favorable. Intensification might be more...
09UTC: OMA reduced to a 45knots cyclone, forecast to intensify gradually next 48hours - 02/18/2019 - 14:02
Warning 26/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 0955UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: struggling TC primarily due to up-welling of cooler seas. Forecast to slowly move back over warmer seas and peak near 65knots(CAT1 US)...
INVEST 92W: development assessed as HIGH for the next 24hours - 02/18/2019 - 06:25
TCFA issued by the JTWC 2019 Feb 18 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC INVEST #92W TCFA/JTWC As of 00:00 UTC Feb 18, 2019: Location: 4.1°N 164.4°E Maximum Winds: 15/20 kt Minimum Central Pressure:...
03UTC: OMA(15P): struggling over cooler seas, but pushing south-southwest and forecast to intensify after 12/24hours - 02/18/2019 - 06:10
Warning 25/JTWC 2019 FEB 18 02UTC SOUTH PACIFIC My Remarks: Cyclone expected to gradually pull away from cooler seas(24/25°C) due to up-welling and be back over 27/28°C seas. Peak intensity near...
South Indian: INVEST 94S now rated as LOW for the next 24h, might develop quickly once over the MOZ Channel - 02/17/2019 - 22:27
The european model is aggressive. 2019 Feb 17 1830UTC 1: Invest 94S is now rated as LOW by the Navy. The system is still over-land but based on guidance(Ecmwf, Gfs and UkMet) development coud...
Les News
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//12/30/25
12/31/2025
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2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
12/23/2025
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Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
12/06/2025
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Liens utiles
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
MMS/Vacoas: Janvier 2023: le plus pluvieux à MAURICE depuis 20ans! RODRIGUES: proche de la normale...
ILES SOEURS: la REUNION et MAURICE douchées par des pluies localement fortes// Et ce n'est probablement pas fini// 26/19h
MAURITIUS: significant rain at last!
MMS/Vacoas: dry to very dry December 2022 for MAURITIUS and RODRIGUES & the outer islands//Forecast for JAN & FEB 2023
Mid-November: still dry over most of MAURITIUS, RODRIGUES and ST BRANDON, near normal at Agaléga//Forecast for Nov/Dec/Jan 2023
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