JTWC Patrick Hoareau
South Indian: 01S(PADDY) opens the 2021/22 Southern Hemisphere cyclone season, 22/09utc - 11/22/2021 - 13:00
0121111818 98S1011E 15 0121111900 99S1021E 15 0121111906 100S1030E 20 0121111912 103S1035E 20 0121111918 104S1040E 20 0121112000 103S1042E 20...
Southern Hemisphere/South Indian: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 90S(PADDY), 22/04utc - 11/22/2021 - 08:59
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 92B now over-land whereas Invest 93A is low for the next 24hours, 19/08utc - 11/19/2021 - 12:08
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 92B, 17/22utc - 11/18/2021 - 02:15
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: moderate confidence in TC development: Philippine Sea, Bay of Bengal, Arabian Sea,17/11/21 - 11/17/2021 - 07:00
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 92B now on the map and expected to develop next 3 days, 13/06utc update - 11/13/2021 - 10:00
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 91B is now TC 04B, forecast to make landfall near Chennai/India within 6hours, 11/09utc update - 11/11/2021 - 12:37
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Bay of Bengal: Invest 91B is now HIGH, might reach 35knots prior to landfall in the next 24 hours, 10/2345utc - 11/11/2021 - 00:03
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: North Indian and Western Pacific under watch/Invest 91B is up-graded to MEDIUM while gradually approaching Indian coastline - 11/10/2021 - 05:53
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 91B now on the map, 08/1330utc update - 11/08/2021 - 20:45
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: suppressed MJO and enhanced wind shear =calm tropics barring TS 21L(WANDA) and possible development over the Arabian Sea,03/11 - 11/03/2021 - 15:07
Issued at 02/1830UTC by NOAA. In collaboration with the JTWC and several well known organizations. Archives: HERE Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon...
Invest 90W removed from the map//Invest 93S down-graded to Low//21L(WANDA) is subtropical and intensifying, 31/10utc updates - 10/31/2021 - 15:15
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Invest 90W on the map//Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert for Invest 93S, 29/21utc updates - 10/30/2021 - 06:20
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Typhoon 25W(MALOU) reached CAT 2 but now rapidly becoming extra-tropical/Invest 93S up-graded to Medium, 29/0330utc - 10/29/2021 - 07:50
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Despite its current very large eye Typhoon 25W(MALOU) is still forecast to reach CAT 2 within 24hours, 28/06utc update - 10/28/2021 - 11:00
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Typhoon 25W(MALOU) forecast to reach CAT 2 by 24hours/TD 26W now over-land, 27/09utc updates - 10/27/2021 - 13:05
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
25W(MALOU) intensifying to Typhoon level by 24h/26W making landfall within 12/18h//17E(RICK) reached CAT 2 and made landfall,26/09utc updates - 10/26/2021 - 12:55
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
25W(MALOU) intensifying next 3 days/Tropical cyclone Formation alert for Invest 99W//17E(RICK) reaching CAT 2 and making landfall,25/06utc - 10/25/2021 - 11:00
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 25W to intensify next 4 days to Typhoon CAT 1// 17E(RICK) set to reach Hurricane CAT 3 within 24hours and make landfall,24/06utc updates - 10/24/2021 - 10:50
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Western Pacific: Invest 98W up-graded to Medium//Eastern Pacific: TS 23W(RICK) forecast to rapidly intensify, 23/06utc - 10/23/2021 - 09:49
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
2 WEEK CYCLONIC DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL: some development possible near the Philippines by this weekend and early next week over the SCS - 10/20/2021 - 12:15
Issued at 19/1830UTC by NOAA. In collaboration with the JTWC and several well known organizations. Archives: HERE Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon...
JTWC: no suspect areas, 19/06utc up-date - 10/19/2021 - 11:00
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 23W(NAMTHEUN) Smap and Ascat-c suggested winds just below Typhoon intensity near the center, 16/03utc - 10/16/2021 - 07:34
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 23W(NAMTHEUN) having a 2nd lease of life and being the only Tropical Cyclone worldwide - 10/15/2021 - 12:30
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TD 24W(KOMPASU) Final Warning/ TS 23W(NAMTHEUN) taking on Subtropical features/TD 16E(PAMELA) Final Warning,14/09utc - 10/14/2021 - 10:32
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 24W(KOMPASU)making 1st landfall over Hainan/TD 23W(NAMTHEUN)not able to overcome shear//TS 16E(PAMELA) to make landfall at peak intensity,13/04utc - 10/13/2021 - 05:55
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 24W(KOMPASU) is a very large system over the South China Sea, 12/09utc update - 10/12/2021 - 13:18
2421100718 156N1379E 15 2421100800 161N1368E 20 2421100806 167N1358E 20 2421100812 171N1348E 20 2421100818 172N1335E 30 2421100900 163N1315E 30 2421100906...
TS 24W(KOMPASU) tracking North of Luzon and intensifying gradually, 11/09utc - 10/11/2021 - 12:21
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
TS 24W(KOMPASU) forecast to peak at Typhoon CAT 1 by 48h, TS 23W(NAMTHEUN) set to intensify// TS 16E(PAMELA) intensifying rapidly,11/04utc - 10/11/2021 - 06:38
Cheers, Patrick Hoareau JTWC PH ILES SOEURS Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC BIS
Les News
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
12/23/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
12/06/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Liens utiles
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
TC 29S(ERROL) peaked at CATEGORY 5 US/SUPER TYPHOON after Extreme Rapid Intensification//3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1618utc
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
TC 29S(ERROL) peaked at CATEGORY 5 US/SUPER TYPHOON after Extreme Rapid Intensification//3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1618utc
MMS/Vacoas: Janvier 2023: le plus pluvieux à MAURICE depuis 20ans! RODRIGUES: proche de la normale...
ILES SOEURS: la REUNION et MAURICE douchées par des pluies localement fortes// Et ce n'est probablement pas fini// 26/19h
MAURITIUS: significant rain at last!
MMS/Vacoas: dry to very dry December 2022 for MAURITIUS and RODRIGUES & the outer islands//Forecast for JAN & FEB 2023
Mid-November: still dry over most of MAURITIUS, RODRIGUES and ST BRANDON, near normal at Agaléga//Forecast for Nov/Dec/Jan 2023
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