JTWC Patrick Hoareau
15UTC: South Pacific: Cyclone 16P, intensifying and forecast to track west of Nuku 'alofa shortly after 24hours - 02/26/2019 - 19:01
Warning 3/JTWC Peak intensity near 55knots forecast in 24H. https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html 2019 FEB 26 1455UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #16P This system is currently analysed as a 40knots TC....
09UTC: South Pacific: Cyclone 16P forecast to track west of Nuku 'alofa shortly after 24hours - 02/26/2019 - 13:43
Warning 2/JTWC REMARKS: 260900Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 176.1W. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (TC) (SIXTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE...
09UTC: Typhoon WUTIP(02W) ,Category 4 US, forecast to weaken rapidly after 12hours, no threat to land - 02/26/2019 - 13:12
Warning 29/JTWC No threat to any land. https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html 2019 FEB 26 09UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 110knots TC, CAT4 US....
South Pacific: Cyclone 16P has formed, forecast to track west of Nuku 'alofa after 24hours - 02/26/2019 - 08:44
Warning 1/JTWC Invest #95P is now TC 16P. https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html 2019 FEB 26 0545UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #16P This system is currently analysed as a 35knots TC. WARNING 1/JTWC...
03UTC: Typhoon WUTIP(02W) ,Category 4 US, slow-moving and forecast to weaken rapidly after 24hours, no threat to land - 02/26/2019 - 06:49
Warning 28/JTWC No threat to any land. https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html 2019 FEB 26 0240UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 120knots TC, CAT4...
21UTC: Super Typhoon WUTIP(02W) ,Category 4 US, slow-moving and forecast to weaken rapidly after 24hours, no threat to land - 02/26/2019 - 00:36
Warning 27/JTWC No threat to any land. https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html 2019 FEB 25 2030UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC STY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 130knots TC, CAT4...
15UTC: Super Typhoon WUTIP(02W) ,Category 4 US, slow-moving and forecast to weaken rapidly after 24hours - 02/25/2019 - 18:10
Warning 26/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html No threat to any land. 2019 FEB 25 14UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC STY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 130knots TC, CAT4...
1330UTC: South Pacific: INVEST 95P: development likely within the next 24hours - 02/25/2019 - 17:54
The are is upgraded to High by the JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html 2019 FEB 25 14UTC SOUTH PACIFIC INVEST #95P This system is currently analysed as a 30knots TD. TCFA/JTWC Click...
09UTC: exceptional WUTIP(02W) is now a Super Typhoon, Category 5 US...thankfully safely over open seas - 02/25/2019 - 12:51
Warning 25/JTWC Benefiting from vigourous poleward outflow and despite only 26°C sea surface temps 02W has become ONE OF THE MOST MEMORABLE cyclones over the past decades and will not be forgotten....
03UTC: amazing Typhoon WUTIP(02W) is a powerful category 4 US once again. - 02/25/2019 - 06:52
Warning 24/JTWC Intensification carries on: at 03Z Dvorak is at 6.5 and Satcon at 123knots at 2316UTC. Looks like 02W is tapping into enhanced poleward and equatorward outflow. Shear is low. Due to...
21UTC: Typhoon WUTIP(02W) ,Category 3 US, stronger once again away from any land - 02/25/2019 - 02:32
Warning 23/JTWC Dvorak has been at 6.0+ past hours while Stacon is at 122knots at 19UTC. 02W is probably tapping into strong poleward outflow to sustain such an intensity....
15UTC: Typhoon WUTIP(02W) ,Category 3 US, is weakening more rapidly after 24hours and remaining away from any land - 02/24/2019 - 18:36
Warning 22/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html 2019 FEB 24 1425UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 105knots TC, CAT3 US. WARNING 22/JTWC...
09UTC: Typhoon WUTIP(02W) is weakening, more rapidly after 24hours and remaining away from any land - 02/24/2019 - 12:12
Warning 21/JTWC 2019 FEB 24 0810UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 115knots TC, CAT4 US. WARNING 21/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks...
06UTC: South Pacific: Invest 95P: medium chances of development in 24H, and remnants of OMA(15P): subtropical system - 02/24/2019 - 10:31
ABPW bulletin from the JTWC INVEST 95P As of 06:00 UTC Feb 24, 2019: Location: 10.8°S 174.5°W Maximum Winds: 25 kt ( 45km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb (1)...
04UTC: South Pacific: Invest 95P north of Pago Pago may develop within 24hours - 02/24/2019 - 08:37
The area is upgraded to Medium by the JTWC. 2019 Feb 24 04h30UTC INVEST #95P As of 00:00 UTC Feb 24, 2019: Location: 9.5°S 174.5°W Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb...
03UTC: Super Typhoon WUTIP(02W) has peaked and is forecast to weaken next 5 days - 02/24/2019 - 07:28
Warning 20/JTWC 2019 FEB 24 0320UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC STY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 135knots TC, CAT4 US. WARNING 20/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks...
23UTC: South Pacific: Invest 95P north of Pago Pago may develop next few days - 02/24/2019 - 03:21
ABPW bulletin/JTWC 2019 Feb 23 2320UTC INVEST 95P As of 18:00 UTC Feb 23, 2019: Location: 8.5°S 175.1°W Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb ABPW10 PGTW 231430 1. WESTERN...
21UTC: Super Typhoon WUTIP(02W) thankfully sparing Guam - 02/24/2019 - 02:35
Warning 19/JTWC 2019 FEB 23 2220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC STY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed as a 135knots TC, CAT4 US. WARNING 19/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks...
15UTC: Super Typhoon WUTIP(02W) may reach category 5 US within 12hours - 02/23/2019 - 18:18
Warning 18/JTWC My Remarks: based on indications from microwave data an eye-wall replacement cycle is possible within the next hours= maybe 02W has peaked but we can not rule out some very short-term...
12UTC: WUTIP(02W) is now a Super Typhoon! - 02/23/2019 - 16:58
The 2nd February Super Typhoon in just 4 years... 2019 Feb 23 12h55UTC As of 12:00 UTC Feb 23, 2019: Location: 12.0°N 142.8°E Maximum Winds: 135kt Minimum Central Pressure: 922 mb More...
09UTC: typhoon Wutip(02W) Category 4 US, the second February category 4 in 4 years - 02/23/2019 - 12:10
Warning 17/JTWC Recent sat data(0830z)= continued intensification(Dvorak=6.5). The cyclone is impressively compact with a clear-cut 25km(apprx) eye feature. 2019 FEB 23 0810UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC...
06UTC: Impressive Typhoon WUTIP(02W) reaches Category 4 US (VIDEO) - 02/23/2019 - 11:35
Warning 17/JTWC is up-coming 2019 Feb 23 07h30UTC 1: impressive stuff when we are supposed to be in a lull period as Feb is the least active month across the Western North Pacific. 2: have a look...
03UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): Final Warning, estimated peak intensity reached was 75knots (CAT1 US) - 02/23/2019 - 08:05
Warning 45/JTWC --- REMARKS: 230300Z POSITION NEAR 28.1S 161.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 357 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF KINGSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED...
03UTC: typhoon Wutip(02W) Category 3 US , forecast CPA to Guam: 270km in apprx 17h. - 02/23/2019 - 06:34
Warning 16/JTWC High confidence in the forecast track over the next 72H. Models spread is 280KM at +72H. 2019 FEB 23 0220UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W This system is currently analysed...
Indian Ocean: CYCLONES: no suspect areas in the foreseeable future at the moment. - 02/22/2019 - 21:50
Maps from the Navy
15UTC: cyclone OMA(15P): forecast to dissipate(below 35knots) after 24hours - 02/22/2019 - 20:02
Warning 43/JTWC 2019 FEB 22 1550UTC SOUTH PACIFIC TC #OMA #15P This system is currently analysed as a 35knots TC. WARNING 43/JTWC Click on the TC graphic to read the Remarks for Warning 43 and...
15UTC: typhoon Wutip(02W) Category 3 US near peak intensity, forecast CPA to Guam: 250km in apprx 24h. - 02/22/2019 - 19:10
Warning 14/JTWC 2019 FEB 22 15UTC WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC TY #WUTIP #02W My Remarks: looks like 02W has peaked. Very latest sat data indicate increasing pressure on the eastern quadrant. Fair...
Pacifique Nord Ouest: WUTIP, un cyclone(typhon) intense en plein hiver...(VIDEO) - 02/22/2019 - 17:30
Estimation des rafales maximales de l'ordre de 240km/h en mer près de l'oeil (JTWC) 2019 Fev 22 17h31 Mascareignes 1: un cyclone tropical intense "en plein hiver". Mais ou? Et bien sur le...
09UTC: typhoon Wutip(02W) is now a Category 3 US and is approaching the Guam area (VIDEO) - 02/22/2019 - 11:53
Warning 13/JTWC 2019 Feb 22 07h50 UTC 1: have a look at my a short video down below . I do hope you will find it useful and that it will help those of you who can not zoom on the charts...
05UTC: video update on Typhoon WUTIP(02W) : the typhoon is intensifying - 02/22/2019 - 10:16
My estimate is now Category 3 US. Corr: to the position in latitude which is closer to 9/9.3°N. Otherwise my 100knots estimate is in agreement with JTWC at 06UTC. 2019 Feb 22 0615UTC 1: the...
Les News
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//12/30/25
12/31/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
12/23/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
12/06/2025
- PATRICK HOAREAU
Liens utiles
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
2021 STORM YEAR JTWC TROPICAL ACTIVITY TIMELINE
Difference in tropical cyclone activity across the JTWC AOR between El Niño and La Niña months
Major HURRICANE 05E(ERICK) near CAT 4 US making landfall
01W(WUTIP) 1st Typhoon of the 2025 Western North Pacific season
3 Week Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability//1406utc
MMS/Vacoas: Janvier 2023: le plus pluvieux à MAURICE depuis 20ans! RODRIGUES: proche de la normale...
ILES SOEURS: la REUNION et MAURICE douchées par des pluies localement fortes// Et ce n'est probablement pas fini// 26/19h
MAURITIUS: significant rain at last!
MMS/Vacoas: dry to very dry December 2022 for MAURITIUS and RODRIGUES & the outer islands//Forecast for JAN & FEB 2023
Mid-November: still dry over most of MAURITIUS, RODRIGUES and ST BRANDON, near normal at Agaléga//Forecast for Nov/Dec/Jan 2023
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