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JTWC Patrick Hoareau

15UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) slowly moving away from the Cocos islands and set to intensify gradually next 4 days - 03/14/2019 - 19:24

Warning 3/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location: 12.8°S 95.8°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt ( 95km/h)...

15UTC: Cyclone IDAI(18S) life-threatning category 3 US set to make landfall very close to Beira shortly before 12 hours - 03/14/2019 - 18:12

Warning 22/JTWC Dangerous cyclone. In the Beira area people should take shelter immediately and heed the warnings from the local authorities. TC IDAI(18S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location:...

95W: upgraded to high, slight development possible within 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 17:36

TCFA issued by the JTWC The cicrulation is elongated and models do not develop it much but the small-sized system may reach the minimum level required to be numbered by the JTWC.  95W is located...

09UTC: TC SAVANNAH(19S) tracking apprx 100km to the Cocos islands and intensifying gradually - 03/14/2019 - 13:55

Warning 2/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location: 12.0°S 96.0°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt ( 75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt ( 95km/h)...

09UTC: Dangerous cyclone IDAI(18S) category 3 US, 245km to Beira, landfall within 50km of Beira in 18hours - 03/14/2019 - 12:42

Warning 21/JTWC NB: UNDER COMPLETION Dangerous cyclone. Important potential threat to the Beira region. People should take this cyclone seriously and heed the warnings from the local authorities....

Western North Pacific: 95W still under watch, located 890km to Guam - 03/14/2019 - 11:43

The area is still MEDIUM for the next 24hours Small-sized system. Only two models develop it modestly. But models might under-estimate the development potential due to the compactness of the...

Busy at JTWC...2 full-blown cyclones and 4 invest areas to monitor - 03/14/2019 - 08:53

Invest 95W and Invest 92P on the chart NB: COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE

South Indian: TC SAVANNAH(19S) has formed, tracking close to the Cocos islands and intensifying - 03/14/2019 - 08:23

Warning 1/JTWC https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC SAVANNAH(19S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 14, 2019: Location: 11.7°S 95.9°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h)...

03UTC: dangerous cyclone IDAI(18S) 320km to Beira, set to make landfall within 50km of Beira shorly before 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 07:31

Warning 20/JTWC Dangerous cyclone. Important potential threat to the Beira region. People should take this cyclone seriously and heed the warnings from the local authorities. TC IDAI(18S) As of...

21UTC: TC IDAI(18S) , 385km to Beira, set to make landfall less than 100km to Beira shortly after 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 01:08

Warning 19/JTWC NB: my own estimate is Category 3 US at 18UTC with sustained winds near 105knots(195km/h) gusting to 130knots(240km/h). TC IDAI(18S) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 19.5°S...

South Indian: 99S is now likely to develop next 24hours - 03/14/2019 - 00:36

Upgraded to high by the JTWC INVEST 99S As of 18:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 11.1°S 96.5°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 mb WTXS21 PGTW 131730 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT...

15UTC: cyclone IDAI(18S) category 2 US, 435km to Beira, set to make landfall close to Beira shortly after 24hours - 03/13/2019 - 17:44

Warning 18/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ Microwave signature has been improving recently. I would not be surprised to observe a...

09UTC: Cyclone IDAI(18S) category 2 US, 490km to Beira, slowly approaching, set to make landfall close to Beira in 36hours - 03/13/2019 - 13:17

Warning 17/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 19.4°S 39.5°E Maximum Winds: 95...

95W: development not ruled out next 24/48hours - 03/13/2019 - 12:12

Small-sized system. Models may under-estimate its potential INVEST 95W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 5.7°N 153.8°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 mb ABPW10 PGTW...

03UTC: cyclone IDAI(18S) 560km to Beira, slowly approaching, could hit the area shortly after 36hours - 03/13/2019 - 06:56

Warning 16/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 13, 2019: Location: 19.3°S 40.2°E Maximum Winds: 95...

15UTC: IDAI(18S) category 2 US, likely to intensify and bear down on Beira area in 48hours - 03/12/2019 - 18:29

Warning 14/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 12, 2019: Location: 18.7°S 41.3°E Maximum Winds: 90...

09UTC: TC IDAI(18S) has weakened but back possibly to category 3 in 24hours and slowly approaching Beira/MOZ - 03/12/2019 - 12:12

Warning 13/JTWC Please find a short video down below with a few words from me. https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of...

03UTC: TC IDAI(18S) category 3 US, forecast category 4 in 36h, bearing down on Beira/MOZ in 48hours - 03/12/2019 - 06:43

Warning 12/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 12, 2019: Location: 18.0°S 42.2°E Maximum Winds: 100...

15UTC: IDAI(18S) category 3 US, intensifying to category 4 within 24hours,forecast to bear down on Beira/MOZ in 3 days - 03/11/2019 - 17:31

Warning 10/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 11, 2019: Location: 17.6°S 42.6°E Maximum Winds: 105...

09UTC: TC IDAI(18S) category 3 US, intensifying, possible category 4 in 12hours, possible threat to Quelimane/Beira in 3 days - 03/11/2019 - 13:20

Warning 9/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 11, 2019: Location: 17.3°S 43.0°E Maximum Winds: 100...

94W: still very weak, no development expected at the moment - 03/11/2019 - 10:16

Nice weather over the Philippines https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ INVEST 94W As of 06:00 UTC Mar 11, 2019: Location: 2.1°N 133.7°E...

03UTC: TC IDAI(18S) category 2 US, intensifying, possible category 4 in 24hours, possible threat to Quelimane/Beira in 4 days - 03/11/2019 - 07:17

Warning 8/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 11, 2019: Location: 17.3°S 43.2°E Maximum Winds: 90 kt...

21UTC: Cyclone IDAI(18S) category 1 US, forecast to be a powerful category 4 US in 2 days and bear down on Beira in 4 days - 03/11/2019 - 01:53

Warning 7/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 18:00 UTC Mar 10, 2019: Location: 17.2°S 43.2°E Maximum Winds: 70 kt...

15UTC: IDAI(18S) is intensifying west of Madagascar, could be a powerful category 4 US in 3 days and approach Beira/Mozambique - 03/10/2019 - 18:46

Warning 6/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 12:00 UTC Mar 10, 2019: Location: 17.2°S 43.0°E Maximum Winds: 55 kt...

09UTC: TC IDAI(18S) intensifying rapidly west of Madagascar and could pose a major threat to Beira/Mozambique in 4 days - 03/10/2019 - 12:53

Warning 5/JTWC PUBLICATION UNDER COMPLETION https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 06:00 UTC Mar 10, 2019: Location:...

03UTC: IDAI(18S) is intensifying and could threaten the Beira region/Mozambique in 96hours as a powerful cyclone - 03/10/2019 - 06:19

Warning 4/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC IDAI(18S) As of 00:00 UTC Mar 10, 2019: Location: 17.2°S 42.4°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt...

15UTC: TC 18S forecast to be a powerful category 4 US in 3 days, possible direct threat to Beira/Mozambique - 03/09/2019 - 18:35

Warning 2/JTWC https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ TC 18S As of 12:00 UTC Mar 09, 2019: Location: 17.0°S 41.3°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt (...

03UTC: HALEH(17S) : Final Warning from the JTWC - 03/09/2019 - 07:25

Warning 28/JTWC TC HALEH 17S https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ As of 00:00 UTC Mar 09, 2019: Location: 35.3°S 65.0°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt (65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt (85km/h) Minimum...

21UTC: TC HALEH(17S) : showing some subtropical characteristics but not a cold-core low yet - 03/09/2019 - 03:37

Warning 27/JTWC TC HALEH 17S https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/ As of 18:00 UTC Mar 08, 2019: Location: 33.6°S 65.3°E Maximum Winds: 40 kt (75km/h) Gusts: 50 kt (95km/h) Minimum...
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