JTWC Patrick Hoareau | Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

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WNP: 04W (CHOI-wan) has begun to turn Northeastward, clipping Southern Taiwan,forecast to dissipate by 48h South of Kyushu, 03/21utc update - 06/04/2021 - 02:10

TS 04W. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME TOTALLY OFFSET TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST FROM A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL...

WNP: 04W (CHOI-wan) is back to Tropical Storm intensity, extended forecast track to include likely extra-tropical transition in 4/5 days - 06/03/2021 - 07:30

TS 04W. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SYSTEM THAT HAS DEEPENED, ALBEIT WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) AS THE BROAD CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME OFFSET TO THE...

WNP: TD 04W (CHOI-wan) is forecast to intensify a bit within 24hours, track Southwest of Manila and then over the South China Sea, 02/09utc update - 06/02/2021 - 13:45

TD 04W. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SMALL, DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER(LLCC) JUST NORTHEAST OF MINDORO, WITH A RECENT FLARE UP OF MODERATE TO DEEP CONVECTION NOW...

WNP: 04W (CHOI-wan) : forecast to track over the Sibuyan Sea within 24hours as a 35knot Tropical Storm, 01/21utc update - 06/02/2021 - 01:42

TD 04W. 01/20UTC. 6H LOOP.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. 2021 JUNE 01...

04W (CHOI-wan) : struggling to organize, forecast intensity is much lower than the previous forecast// Invest 93S and Invest 90W on the map, 01/03utc update - 06/01/2021 - 08:55

TS 04W. DUE TO THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK OVER THE PHILIPPINES THROUGH 72H, THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. 2021 JUNE 01 0425UTC...

WNP: 04W(CHOI-wan) : the forecast track is now closer to Samar in 24h, Confidence in the forecast is moderate, 31/21utc update - 06/01/2021 - 01:45

TS 04W(CHOI-wan). SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS INTENSE (-82C TOPS) DEEP CONVECTION SPREADING OVER AND OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 2021 MAY 31 2050UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC TS #04W...

WNP: 04W named (CHOI-wan) is forecast to intensify to Typhoon/CAT 1 in 36hours and then track close to the East of Catanduanes, 31/09utc update - 05/31/2021 - 13:32

TS 04W(CHOI-wan). ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, OFFSETTING THE REGION OF DEEPENED CENTRAL CONVECTION WITH OVERSHOOTING CLOUD...

WNP: 04W is now analyzed as 50knot Tropical Storm, forecast to reach Typhoon intensity by 36hours, 31/03utc update - 05/31/2021 - 07:25

TS 04W. 31/0230UTC. 4H LOOP.ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED, OFFSETTING AN OTHERWISE DEEPENED CENTRAL CONVECTION WITH...

WNP: Tropical Storm 04W is gradually intensifying in a favourable environment to the North of Sonsorol, 30/15utc update - 05/30/2021 - 19:30

TS 04W. 30/14UTC. 4H30 LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) INDICATES A DEEP CONSOLIDATED CENTRAL BALL OF CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). 2021 MAY 30 1450UTC...

WNP: TD 04W is forecast to reach US/CAT 1 Typhoon intensity by 72hours offshore to the East of the Philippines, 30/03utc update - 05/30/2021 - 07:35

TD 04W. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS OVERALL CONSOLIDATION EVEN AS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION SLIGHTLY WARMED WITH THE FEEDER BANDS, MOSTLY FROM THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTH,...

Western North Pacific: Tropical Cyclone Fomation Alert issued for Invest 90W// Invest 99W up-graded to Medium, 29/06utc update - 05/29/2021 - 11:20

29/0630UTC. 6H LOOP. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS MID TO UPPER LEVEL TURNING OVER AN ILL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. INVEST 99W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL...

Western North Pacific: Invest 90W is up-graded to Medium, Invest 99W closely monitored too, 28/03utc update - 05/28/2021 - 08:05

NPP/NIGHT TIME VISIBLE. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES THAT WRAP INTO AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CENTER// INVEST 99W: ANIMATED...

Western North Pacific: a couple of Invest Areas under watch, likely to consolidate next several days, 27/05 03utc update - 05/27/2021 - 07:30

INVEST 99W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF A DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A...

BAY OF BENGAL: TC 02B(YAAS) is close to be making landfall near Balasore/Odisha with 150km/h top gusts, 26/03utc update - 05/26/2021 - 07:30

TC 02B(YAAS). 26/0252UTC.RADAR ANIMATION. PARADIP. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR BALASORE. ANIMATION COURTESY OF IMD/RSMC. 2021 MAY 26 0255UTC #NORTHINDIAN...

2 week cyclonic development potential: "Multiple TCs are likely to develop over the West Pacific during the next two weeks", 25/1730utc update - 05/25/2021 - 23:15

WEEK 1: MAY 26 TO JUNE 01: The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) propagated eastward from the Indian Ocean to the Maritime Continent during mid to late May. An atmospheric Kelvin wave (KW) is currently...

BAY OF BENGAL: TC 02B(YAAS) has reached US/CAT 1 and is forecast to make landfall near Balasore/Odisha with top gusts in excess of 150km/h shortly before 24h, 25/15utc update - 05/25/2021 - 19:50

2021 MAY 25 1445UTC #NORTHINDIAN #GULFOFBENGAL TC #02B #YAAS WARNING 7 As of 12:00 UTC May 25, 2021: Location: 19.8°N 88.3°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h) Gusts: 80 kt ( 150km/h) Minimum...

BAY OF BENGAL: TC 02B(YAAS) is approaching Northern Odisha coastline while intensifying within 24h to US/CAT 1, landfall forecast near Balasore, 25/09utc update - 05/25/2021 - 14:30

TC 02B(YAAS). 25/10UTC. 6H ANIMATION. EXPANDING CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER(LLCC). CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY. 2021 MAY 25 0930UTC #NORTHINDIAN #GULFOFBENGAL TC #02B #YAAS...

BAY OF BENGAL: 02B(YAAS) now a 60knot cyclone,forecast to reach US/CAT 1 within 24hours while making landfall near BHITARKANINKA National Park/India by 24h, 25/03utc update - 05/25/2021 - 07:31

2021 MAY 25 0230UTC #NORTHINDIAN #GULFOFBENGAL TC #02B #YAAS WARNING 5 As of 00:00 UTC May 25, 2021: Location: 18.2°N 88.1°E Maximum Winds: 60 kt ( 110km/h) Gusts: 75 kt ( 140km/h) Minimum...

BAY OF BENGAL: TC 02B named YAAS, will be intensifying significantly next 48hours and is expected to make landfall over Northern Odisha shortly after 48h, 24/09utc update - 05/24/2021 - 13:55

TC 02B(YAAS). 24/09UTC. 6H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING BUT BROAD, PARTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A WIDE SWATH OF DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE...

BAY OF BENGAL: TC 02B is consolidating from a monsoon depression, forecast to intensify significantly next 48hours before landfall Northeast of Paradip, 24/03utc update - 05/24/2021 - 07:15

TC 02B. 24/0230UTC. 2H30 LOOP.PREVIOUSLY TC 02B CARRIED THE SIGNATURE AND BROAD WIND FIELDS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION, BUT RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SHOW...

NORTH INDIAN: Invest 93B : Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert, likely to consolidate and intensify quickly next 24/48hours, 22/18utc update - 05/23/2021 - 01:08

INVEST 93B. 22/19UTC. 9H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 221024Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) made landfall near Jafarabad/Gujarat, India, Cyclone got better organized just prior to landfall, Final Warning at 17/21utc - 05/18/2021 - 01:15

ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01A HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL, WITH A 37KM EYE FEATURE, SURROUNDED BY A SOLID RING OF COLD CLOUD TOPS IN...

01A(TAUKTAE) still a dengerous US/Category 3 Cyclone is forecast to make landfall within 12hours near Jafrabad/Gujarat, 17/15utc update - 05/17/2021 - 18:45

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/14UTC. 12H LOOP. 01A REMAINS AN INTENSE SYSTEM WITH TOP GUSTS STILL CURRENTLY EXCEEDING 200KM/H CLOSE TO ITS EYE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR JAFRABAD/GUJARAT WITHIN...

01A(TAUKTAE) is now a powerful US/CAT 4 Cyclone, apprx 145km to Mumbai and heading North towards Jafrabad/Gujarat, 17/03utc update - 05/17/2021 - 07:40

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/02UTC. 12H LOOP.ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO BE SYMMETRICAL AND COMPACT DESPITE HOURS OF PERSISTENT LAND INTERACTION WITH THE WESTERN...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) has under-gone rapid intensification, now US/CAT 3, forecast landfall between Veraval and Mahuva/India by 24/36hours, 16/15utc update - 05/16/2021 - 19:30

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 16/14UTC. 12H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) ALONG WITH ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) SHOWS A DEEP COMPACT SYSTEM WITH A RAGGED 31KM EYE. 2021 MAY...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) now a US/Category 1,rapid intensification likely next 24hours, forecast landfall near Vanakbara/India by apprx 48h, 16/03utc update - 05/16/2021 - 07:50

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEPENING SYSTEM THAT HAS BECOME MORE COMPACT. ALSO, FEEDER BANDS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY HAVE WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) is intensifying and is forecast to reach US/CAT 3 within 72hours while moving northward, 15/09utc update - 05/15/2021 - 14:20

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). IMPROVING SATELLITE SIGNATURE. Eumetsat/PH. 2021 MAY 15 0945UTC TC #01A #TAUKTAE #NORTHINDIAN #ARABIANSEA WARNING 5 As of 06:00 UTC May 15, 2021: Location: 13.5°N 73.3°E Maximum...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) is forecast to rapidly intensify after 24hours up to US/CAT 3 while approaching India/Paskistan border area, 15/03utc update - 05/15/2021 - 07:10

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 15/02UTC. CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTENSIFYING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 01A IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AFTER 24HOURS. INSAT3-D. IMD. PH. 2021 MAY 15 0235UTC...

03W tracking over Mindanao as a 25knot system// Invest 92A is now TC 01A: forecast to rapidly intensify to US/CAT 3 by 72hours, 14/09utc update - 05/14/2021 - 13:55

TC 01A. IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AFTER 24H WITH A PEAK OF 110 KNOTS/CAT 3 BY 72H. 2021 MAY 14 0910UTC TD #03W #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC WARNING 7 As of 06:00 UTC May 14, 2021: Location: 7.8°N...

TD 03W making landfall over Mindanao and weakening// Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 92A - 05/13/2021 - 19:10

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA) ISSUED FOR INVEST 92A OVER THE ARABIAN SEA APPROXIMATELY 980KM SOUTH OF MUMBAI. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST HIGH DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM ONCE IT MOVES...

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