2 week cyclonic development potential: Western North Pacific: week 2 forecast to become more favourable for cyclone development, 06/19utc

Large-scale conditions for Tropical Cyclone development are forecast to improve across the West Pacific by week-2. The ECMWF model remains the most bullish with TC development across the East Pacific by week-2, and wind shear is expected to diminish later in this period; therefore there is moderate confidence for tropical cyclone formation over the East Pacific during week-2. NOAA.

The Asian Monsoon is likely to be enhanced during the next two weeks with below normal precipitation favored for parts of the East Pacific, Caribbean, and tropical Atlantic. Easterly waves and periods of enhanced Monsoon flow are expected to favor above normal precipitation for parts of northern Mexico and the southwestern United States. NOAA.

JTWC ISSUED THE FINAL WARNING ON TD 07W AT 06/03UTC. A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT IS STILL IN FORCE FOR INVEST 97W AT 06/18UTC.