Western North Pacific: two Invest areas, none are expected to develop significantly at the moment


Both areas are LOW for the next 24hours


https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html
https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/

WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC

INVEST 94W
As of 06:00 UTC Jun 27, 2019:

Location: 30.7°N 131.6°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1001 mb
ABPW10 PGTW 270600
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 20.7N 128.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 130.3E, APPROXIMATELY
294 NM SOUTH OF SASEBO, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD DISORGANIZED CIRCULATION. A 260125Z METOP-B
ASCAT PASS SHOWS SLIGHT TURNING WITH MOSTLY STRAIGHT LINE FLOW ON
THE EASTERN SIDE. THE SYSTEM REMAINS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. 94W IS UNDER WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND NEUTRAL TO
UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KTS). SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE MARGINAL (24-26 C) FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TRACKING
NORTHWARD, THEN NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN AS IT
INTERACTS WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO
25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

-----------------------------------------------------------
INVEST 95W
As of 06:00 UTC Jun 27, 2019:

Location: 10.5°N 136.1°E
Maximum Winds: 15 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb
ABPW10 PGTW 270600
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.8N
137.4E, APPROXIMATELY 222 NM NORTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED
CONVECTION. A PARTIAL 270016Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS SHOWS WEAK TURNING
WITH 10KTS TO THE SOUTH AND 15KT WINDS TO THE NORTH. 95W IS UNDER
WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND UNFAVORABLE WIND SHEAR (20-25 KTS). SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE (28-30 C) FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL
MODELS SHOW 95W INTENSIFYING AND CONSOLIDATING EAST OF THE
PHILIPPINES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND REMAINING WEAK AS IT TRACKS
NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE FOR 94W
TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE FOR 94W

LIMITED GUIDANCE FOR 95W AT THE MOMENT
LIMITED GUIDANCE FOR 95W AT THE MOMENT
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Jeudi 27 Juin 2019 à 14:15