meteo





MUN(05W): Final Warning, maximum intensity reached was 35knots. JMV File included


Warning 2/JTWC


https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html
https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/

WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC

TD  MUN(05W)
As of 00:00 UTC Jul 04, 2019:

Location: 20.7°N 106.1°E
Maximum Winds: 30 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 992 mb
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 105.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (MUN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 21 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY-EXPOSED, DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH
DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST DUE TO STRONG (25 TO 40
KNOTS) NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR. OVERALL, THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE
IN THE INITIAL POSITION OVER LAND, WHICH IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM NAM DINH (48823) AND HA DONG (48825). THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 30 KNOTS BASED ON STRUCTURE, HEDGED
ABOVE THE RJTD DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T1.5 (25 KNOTS). TD 05W
IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE
LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POSITIONED TO THE NORTHEAST AND IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE DIVERGES AS
THE SYSTEM TRACKS INLAND, THEREFORE, THERE IS MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
NORTHERN VIETNAM BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 13 FEET.//
NNNN

JMV FILE/JTWC
0519063018 170N1147E  15
0519070100 171N1143E  15
0519070106 173N1139E  15
0519070112 176N1136E  15
0519070118 180N1136E  20
0519070200 185N1133E  20
0519070206 187N1124E  20
0519070212 190N1113E  20
0519070218 193N1101E  20
0519070300 194N1091E  25
0519070306 194N1085E  30
0519070312 197N1079E  30
0519070318 202N1071E  35
0519070400 207N1061E  30
NNNN
 

00UTC
00UTC

03/18UTC
03/18UTC

TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE
TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Jeudi 4 Juillet 2019 à 08:56