meteo





INVEST 95W can develop a bit next 2 days to the East of the Philippines


The area is now MEDIUM for the next 24hours


https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html
https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/

WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC

INVEST 95W
As of 00:00 UTC Jun 28, 2019:

Location: 12.2°N 133.5°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 mb
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 28.3N 130.3E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.8N 137.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 133.5E, APPROXIMATELY
745 NM EAST OF MANILA, THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 272054Z SSMIS 91GHZ PASS SHOW A BROAD AREA
OF INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION OBSCURING A CONSOLIDATING LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD AND VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR IS LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-
31 C) ARE ALSO CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT, SHOWING 95W INTENSIFYING AND CONSOLIDATING EAST OF THE
PHILIPPINES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS
NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
 

0230UTC.
0230UTC.

 

GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES BEFORE WEAKENING LATER ON.
GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES BEFORE WEAKENING LATER ON.

GUIDANCE IS STILL LIMITED AT THE MOMENT.
GUIDANCE IS STILL LIMITED AT THE MOMENT.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Vendredi 28 Juin 2019 à 06:54