INVEST 94W AND INVEST 95W WERE UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM AT 05/14UTC.
INVEST 94W. THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 140.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.5E, APPROXIMATELY 565 KM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OBSUCRING A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LOW LEVEL CLOUDS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. INVEST 95W IS IN A MOSTLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST), AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, OFFSET BY WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT INVEST 94W WILL UNDERGO MINIMAL, IF ANY, CONSOLIDATION AND INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH INVEST 95W. THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 94W WILL INTENSIFY BEYOND 48H TO WARNING STRENGTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 131.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 129.7E, APPROXIMATELY 680 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED EIR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OBSUCRING A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. A 051148Z ASCAT PARTIAL PASS REVEALS 15-20 KT WINDS ALONG THE OUTSKIRTS OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, AND MARGINAL WRAPPING OF THE WINDS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. INVEST 95W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM (30C) SST, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT INVEST 95W WILL UNDERGO MINIMAL, IF ANY, CONSOLIDATION AND INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
05/00UTC.
05/12UTC.
ATLANTIC. HU 12L(LARRY). WARNING 19 ISSUED AT 05/09UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 105KNOTS/CAT 3. FORECAST TO REMAIN EQUAL OR ABOVE 100KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 4 DAYS.
1221083000 82N 115W 15
1221083006 82N 127W 20
1221083012 82N 139W 20
1221083018 83N 151W 25
1221083100 86N 163W 25
1221083106 96N 175W 30
1221083112 105N 190W 30
1221083118 112N 206W 30
1221090100 119N 225W 35
1221090106 122N 245W 40
1221090112 124N 265W 45
1221090118 125N 284W 55
1221090200 127N 300W 60
1221090206 130N 316W 65
1221090212 133N 333W 70
1221090218 136N 350W 70
1221090300 139N 367W 75
1221090306 141N 384W 80
1221090312 144N 400W 80
1221090318 147N 414W 85
1221090400 152N 427W 100
1221090406 158N 440W 105
1221090412 164N 453W 110
1221090418 170N 465W 110
1221090500 177N 475W 105
1221090506 184N 485W 105
1221083006 82N 127W 20
1221083012 82N 139W 20
1221083018 83N 151W 25
1221083100 86N 163W 25
1221083106 96N 175W 30
1221083112 105N 190W 30
1221083118 112N 206W 30
1221090100 119N 225W 35
1221090106 122N 245W 40
1221090112 124N 265W 45
1221090118 125N 284W 55
1221090200 127N 300W 60
1221090206 130N 316W 65
1221090212 133N 333W 70
1221090218 136N 350W 70
1221090300 139N 367W 75
1221090306 141N 384W 80
1221090312 144N 400W 80
1221090318 147N 414W 85
1221090400 152N 427W 100
1221090406 158N 440W 105
1221090412 164N 453W 110
1221090418 170N 465W 110
1221090500 177N 475W 105
1221090506 184N 485W 105
HU 12L(LARRY). GUIDANCE.
HU 12L(LARRY). DISPLAYING MARGINALLY ANNULAR CHARACTERISTICS WITH A LARGE 80KM EYE FEATURE. IF NECESSARY CLICK ON THE IMAGERY TO ANIMATE IT.
