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Western North Pacific: Tropical Cyclone Fomation Alert issued for Invest 90W// Invest 99W up-graded to Medium, 29/06utc update


29/0630UTC. 6H LOOP. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS MID TO UPPER LEVEL TURNING OVER AN ILL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. INVEST 99W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER


29/0630UTC. 6H LOOP. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)  DEPICTS MID TO UPPER LEVEL TURNING OVER AN ILL DEFINED LOW LEVEL  CIRCULATION. INVEST 99W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL  SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW  LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
29/0630UTC. 6H LOOP. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS MID TO UPPER LEVEL TURNING OVER AN ILL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. INVEST 99W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
2021 MAY 29 0630UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
INVEST #90W
TCFA
As of 00:00 UTC May 29, 2021:
Location: 6.8°N 152.8°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 mb
LOCATED AT 29/00UTC APPROXIMATELY  1150 KM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11KM/H.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: UP-GRADED TO HIGH
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INVEST #99W
UPDATE
As of 00:00 UTC May 29, 2021:
Location: 6.8°N 135.7°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 mb
LOCATED AT 29/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 135 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF REPUBLIC OF PALAU.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 90W. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA). APPROXIMATELY  1150 KM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM: THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11KM/H.
INVEST 90W. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA). APPROXIMATELY 1150 KM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM: THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11KM/H.


INVEST 90W. ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE  ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (30-31C) SEA  SURFACE TEMPERATURES, A POINT SOURCE ALOFT WITH NEAR RADIAL OUTFLOW,  AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN  FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W WILL POTENTIALLY GAIN INTENSITY OVER  THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THEN LOSE STRENGTH AS IT PROPAGATES  NORTHWESTWARD, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFS(AND HWRF), WHICH SHOWS A  STRENGTHENING AND CONSOLIDATION BEYOND 72H.
INVEST 90W. ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, A POINT SOURCE ALOFT WITH NEAR RADIAL OUTFLOW, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W WILL POTENTIALLY GAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THEN LOSE STRENGTH AS IT PROPAGATES NORTHWESTWARD, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFS(AND HWRF), WHICH SHOWS A STRENGTHENING AND CONSOLIDATION BEYOND 72H.

INVEST 99W. ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY  FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (30-31C)  SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY MINIMAL  OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99W  WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT CONSOLIDATES AND  STRENGTHENS.
INVEST 99W. ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY MINIMAL OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT CONSOLIDATES AND STRENGTHENS.


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29/00UTC.
29/00UTC.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Saturday, May 29th 2021 à 11:20