SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 98S: medium chances of reaching 35knots within 24hours, 27/06utc update


INVEST 98S. 27/06UTC. 6H LOOP. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED.


INVEST 98S. 27/06UTC. 6H LOOP. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED.
INVEST 98S. 27/06UTC. 6H LOOP. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED.
2021 MAR 27 07UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE
INVEST #98S #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Mar 27, 2021:
Location: 10.2°S 65.6°E
Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h)
Gusts: 40 kt ( 75km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM
LOCATED AT 27/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 810KM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA .
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
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INVEST #95S #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Mar 27, 2021:
Location: 10.5°S 89.4°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: LOW
LOCATED AT 27/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 815KM NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS .
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 98S. 27/0645UTC. FORMATIVE BANDING AND  PERSISTENT CONVECTION FLARING NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. Eumetsat. Enhanced by Patrick Hoareau.
INVEST 98S. 27/0645UTC. FORMATIVE BANDING AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION FLARING NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. Eumetsat. Enhanced by Patrick Hoareau.

INVEST 98S. 27/0439UTC. ASCAT-B READ 30KNOT WINDS.
INVEST 98S. 27/0439UTC. ASCAT-B READ 30KNOT WINDS.

INVEST 98S. 98S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH  GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR  (VWS) AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL  MODELS ARE IN OVERALL DISAGREEMENT OF BOTH TRACK AND POTENTIAL  TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
INVEST 98S. 98S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN OVERALL DISAGREEMENT OF BOTH TRACK AND POTENTIAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

INVEST 95S. 27/0352UTC. ASCAT-C DEPICTED AN ELONGATED AND WEAK CIRCULATION.
INVEST 95S. 27/0352UTC. ASCAT-C DEPICTED AN ELONGATED AND WEAK CIRCULATION.

INVEST 95S. 95S IS CURRENTLY IN  A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10 TO 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR  (VWS), AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET  BY WEAK TO MARGINAL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN  GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY AND DISSIPATE  OVER THE NEXT 72HRS.
INVEST 95S. 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10 TO 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK TO MARGINAL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 72HRS.

27/06UTC. INVEST 98S IS ASSESSED AS HAVING MEDIUM CHANCES OF REACHING 35KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS. INVEST 95S REMAINS LOW. JTWC IS ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON BOTH SYSTEMS.
27/06UTC. INVEST 98S IS ASSESSED AS HAVING MEDIUM CHANCES OF REACHING 35KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS. INVEST 95S REMAINS LOW. JTWC IS ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON BOTH SYSTEMS.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Samedi 27 Mars 2021 à 11:30