Remnants of 08S(DANILO) and Invest 98S: Update at 09/06utc


THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE 3930KM APART.


THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE 3930KM APART.
THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE 3930KM APART.
09/06UTC.REMNANTS OF DANILO(08S): LOCATED APPRX 280KM NNE OF RODRIGUES, 715KM ENE OF MAURITIUS AND 940KM ENE OF RÉUNION.BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
2021 JAN 09 0715UTC #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
REMNANTS OF #08S #DANILO
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Jan 09, 2021:
Location: 17.2°S 63.7°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
---------------------------------------------------------
INVEST #98S  #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
As of 06:00 UTC Jan 09, 2021:
Location: 14.3°S 100.2°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb
LOW
ABIO10 PGTW 090330
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
13.9S 100.9E, APPROXIMATELY 640 KM SOUTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 082052Z SSMIS 91GHZ
MICROWAVE PASS DISPLAYS FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A POORLY
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION
IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. INVEST 98S IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98S
WILL TRACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WILL CONTINUE A SLOW INTENSIFICATION
TREND OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau

09/06UTC.REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO): LOCATED APPRX 280KM NNE OF RODRIGUES, 715KM ENE OF MAURITIUS AND 940KM ENE OF RÉUNION. BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
09/06UTC.REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO): LOCATED APPRX 280KM NNE OF RODRIGUES, 715KM ENE OF MAURITIUS AND 940KM ENE OF RÉUNION. BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.

REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO). TRACK GUIDANCE AT 09/00UTC.
REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO). TRACK GUIDANCE AT 09/00UTC.


09/00UTC.INTENSITY GUIDANCE FOR THE REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO).
09/00UTC.INTENSITY GUIDANCE FOR THE REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO).


INVEST 98S. 09/00UTC. GFS IS NOT DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM.
INVEST 98S. 09/00UTC. GFS IS NOT DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM.

09/0530UTC
09/0530UTC

09/00UTC
09/00UTC
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Samedi 9 Janvier 2021 à 11:40