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Western North Pacific: a couple of Invest Areas under watch, likely to consolidate next several days, 27/05 03utc update


INVEST 99W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF A DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.


INVEST 99W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF A DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN  SEMICIRCLE.
INVEST 99W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF A DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. INVEST 90W: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.
2021 MAY 27 0255UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC & #SOUTHPACIFIC
INVEST #99W
UPDATE
As of 00:00 UTC May 27, 2021:
Location: 6.6°N 146.9°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb
LOCATED AT 27/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 775KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  LOW
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INVEST #90W
UPDATE
As of 00:00 UTC May 27, 2021:
Location: 5.7°N 157.9°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb
LOCATED AT 27/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 125KM SOUTH OF POHNPEI.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  LOW
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INVEST #92P #SOUTHPACIFIC
UPDATE
As of 00:00 UTC May 27, 2021:
Location: 4.0°S 150.6°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
LOCATED AT 27/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 720KM NORTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY.

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 99W. INVEST 99W IS LOCATED  WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY LOW (5-10KTS)  VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 DEGREES CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE  TEMPERATURES, AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT  THIS SYSTEM WILL STEADILY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD.
INVEST 99W. INVEST 99W IS LOCATED WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY LOW (5-10KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 DEGREES CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL STEADILY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD.

 

INVEST 90W. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR  AND A DEVELOPING EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE  TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT 29-30 DEGREES CELSIUS.  GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W WILL CONTINUE TO  TRACK WESTWARD AS IT DEVELOPS.
INVEST 90W. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A DEVELOPING EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT 29-30 DEGREES CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD AS IT DEVELOPS.


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Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Thursday, May 27th 2021 à 07:30