meteo





South Indian: INVEST 96S under watch, limited development expected at the moment


The area is LOW for the next 24hours


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SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE (SOUTH INDIAN)

INVEST 96S
As of 06:00 UTC Jul 22, 2019:

Location: 6.7°S 70.8°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt ( 40km/h)
Gusts:
Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb

ABIO10 PGTW 211800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZJUL2019//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.2S
74.6E, APPROXIMATELY 181 NM NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH OVERHEAD CIRRUS OBSCURATION. A 211143Z MHS
MOAA-19 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION OVER
THE LLC WITH POTENTIAL FORMATIVE BANDING TO THE SOUTHEAST. 96S IS
CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW
(10 TO 15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND VERY WARM (32 TO 33
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT 96S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD WITH MINIMAL
INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
NNNN

22/0530UTC. WINDY
22/0530UTC. WINDY

LIMITED GUIDANCE AT THE MOMENT
LIMITED GUIDANCE AT THE MOMENT

22/00UTC
22/00UTC
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Lundi 22 Juillet 2019 à 09:46