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SOUTH INDIAN: 2 areas under watch: Invest 95S and Invest 98S , 26/06utc update


26/09UTC. 5H LOOP. INVEST 98S ON THE LEFT END. INVEST 95S ON THE RIGHT END. IF NEEDED CILCK TO ANIMATE.


26/09UTC. 5H LOOP. INVEST 98S ON THE LEFT END. INVEST 95S ON THE RIGHT END. IF NEEDED CILCK TO ANIMATE.
26/09UTC. 5H LOOP. INVEST 98S ON THE LEFT END. INVEST 95S ON THE RIGHT END. IF NEEDED CILCK TO ANIMATE.
2021 MAR 26 07UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE
INVEST #95S #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Mar 26, 2021:
Location: 11.4°S 90.8°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb

CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: DOWN-GRADED TO LOW
LOCATED AT 26/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 660KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS .
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
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INVEST #98S #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Mar 26, 2021:
Location: 8.7°S 64.5°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: LOW
LOCATED AT 26/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 885KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA .
 
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 95S. 26/0550UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE  IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 260005Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT LOWER  LEVEL BANDS WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS  OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION.
INVEST 95S. 26/0550UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 260005Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT LOWER LEVEL BANDS WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION.

INVEST 95S. 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY  FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MINIMAL POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (29 TO 30  CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20  KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL  AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY AND DISSIPATE OVER  THE NEXT 72HRS.
INVEST 95S. 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MINIMAL POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 72HRS.

INVEST 98S. 26/0515UTC. ANIMATED  ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) IMAGERY AND A 252136Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE  PARTIAL IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE, ALBEIT FRAGMENTED, BANDING WRAPPING  INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS OBSCURED BY BUILDING  CONVECTION.
INVEST 98S. 26/0515UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) IMAGERY AND A 252136Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE PARTIAL IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE, ALBEIT FRAGMENTED, BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS OBSCURED BY BUILDING CONVECTION.

INVEST 98S. 98S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH  POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,  AND LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS).  GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN OVERALL DISAGREEMENT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO  REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
INVEST 98S. 98S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN OVERALL DISAGREEMENT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

26/06UTC.BOTH AREAS ARE ASSESSED AS HAVING LOW CHANCES OF REACHING 35KNOTS WITHIN 24HOURS. JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON INVEST 95S.
26/06UTC.BOTH AREAS ARE ASSESSED AS HAVING LOW CHANCES OF REACHING 35KNOTS WITHIN 24HOURS. JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON INVEST 95S.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Friday, March 26th 2021 à 11:20