INDIAN OCEAN: Invest 99S up-graded to Medium, 02/04 09utc update


02/09UTC. INVEST 99S IS UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM( MODERATE CHANCES OF REACHING 35KNOTS WITHIN 24H).


02/09UTC. INVEST 99S IS UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM( MODERATE CHANCES OF REACHING 35KNOTS WITHIN 24H).
02/09UTC. INVEST 99S IS UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM( MODERATE CHANCES OF REACHING 35KNOTS WITHIN 24H).
2021 APR 02 0930UTC #NORTHINDIAN
INVEST #90B #BAYOFBENGAL
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Apr 02, 2021:
Location: 11.9°N 97.2°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
LOCATED AT 02/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 390 KM NORTHWEST OF PHUKET, THAILAND .
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  LOW
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INVEST #99S #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE #WESTERNAUSTRALIA
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Apr 02, 2021:
Location: 10.4°S 122.2°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003mb
LOCATED AT 02/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 26 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAWU ISLAND,
INDONESIA . 
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
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INVEST #90S #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE #WESTERNAUSTRALIA
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Apr 02, 2021:
Location: 9.1°S 103.5°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
LOCATED AT 02/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 275KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND  .  
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  LOW

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 99S. 99S IS EMBEDDED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LIGHT  NORTHERLY VERTICAL SHEAR OF 10 KTS, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF  30C, AND DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE. DYNAMICAL MODELS SUPPORT CONTINUED  CONSOLIDATION OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE SOUTH  OF TIMOR-LESTE IN 24-48 HOURS.
INVEST 99S. 99S IS EMBEDDED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY VERTICAL SHEAR OF 10 KTS, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 30C, AND DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE. DYNAMICAL MODELS SUPPORT CONTINUED CONSOLIDATION OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE SOUTH OF TIMOR-LESTE IN 24-48 HOURS.

INVEST 99S. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED BETWEEN A BELT OF 20-25  KNOT EASTERLIES IN THE TIMOR SEA AND A BELT OF 30-35 KNOT WESTERLIES  NORTH OF THE SAVU SEA, AS ASSESSED FROM A 020146Z ASCAT-C PASS. DEEP  CONVECTION IS PATCHY AND DECENTRALIZED, BUT FORMATIVE CURVED BANDING  IS BECOMING APPARENT IN THE SOUTHERN, WESTERN, AND NORTHERN  SEMICIRCLES.
INVEST 99S. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED BETWEEN A BELT OF 20-25 KNOT EASTERLIES IN THE TIMOR SEA AND A BELT OF 30-35 KNOT WESTERLIES NORTH OF THE SAVU SEA, AS ASSESSED FROM A 020146Z ASCAT-C PASS. DEEP CONVECTION IS PATCHY AND DECENTRALIZED, BUT FORMATIVE CURVED BANDING IS BECOMING APPARENT IN THE SOUTHERN, WESTERN, AND NORTHERN SEMICIRCLES.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Vendredi 2 Avril 2021 à 14:05