Eastern Pacific: 14E(NORA) forecast to reach Hurricane intensity//Atlantic: 09L(NIDA) set to become a dangerous CAT 4 Hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico,28/03utc updates

WESTERN PACIFIC, INDIAN OCEAN AND SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE: NO SUSPECT AREAS.

28/00UTC.

EASTERN PACIFIC. TS 14E(NORA). WARNING 10 ISSUED AT 28/04UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 55KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 80KNOTS/CAT 1 BY 30/12UTC.

TS 14E(NORA). GUIDANCE.

TS 14E(NORA). AVN INTENSITY GUIDANCE: 80KNOTS AT +18H.

TS 14E(NORA). MUCH BETTER CLOUD PATTERN RECENTLY.

28/00UTC.

ATLANTIC. HU 09L(IDA). WARNING 7 ISSUED AT 28/03UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 70KNOTS/CAT 1 AND IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 120KNOTS/CAT 4 BY 29/12UTC WHILE THE HURRICANE WILL BE APPROACHING THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION.

HU 09L(IDA). FORECAST TO BECOME A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.

HU 09L(IDA). GUIDANCE. MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT.

HU 09L(IDA). HWRF INTENSITY GUIDANCE: 123KNOTS AT +42H.

HU 09L(IDA). THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO PASS OVER A WARM EDDY BY 24H.

HU 09L(NIDA) CROSSED WESTERN CUBA AS A 70KNOT/CAT1 HURRICANE.

INVEST 98L. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.4N 48.5W TO 17.9N 52.7W WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR DATA AT 271800Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 48.5W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER ANTILLES HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM LATER TONIGHT OR SATURDAY BEFORE IT MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS. THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT, THEN TURN NORTHWARD SATURDAY.

INVEST 98L. GUIDANCE.

28/02UTC.