CLICK ON THE IMAGERIES BELOW TO GET THEM ENLARGED
JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON TD 03W. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED ON 03W AND INVEST 92A.
WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC: INVEST 98W. CURRENT ESTIMATED INTENSITY IS 25 KNOTS AT 060000UTC.
0323060500 118N1350E 20
0323060506 120N1349E 20
0323060512 123N1348E 20
0323060518 128N1348E 20
0323060600 134N1348E 25
0323060506 120N1349E 20
0323060512 123N1348E 20
0323060518 128N1348E 20
0323060600 134N1348E 25
WARNING 1 ISSUED AT 060300UTC.
CLICK ON THE IMAGERY BELOW TO GET IT ANIMATED AND ENLARGED.
TC Warning Graphic
Model Diagnostic Plot
Experimental 34-kt Wind Speed Probabilities
Multiplatform Satellite Surface Wind Analysis (Experimental)
NORTH INDIAN/ARABIAN SEA: INVEST 92A. ESTIMATED LOCATION AND INTENSITY AT 051800UTC.
9223060418 99N 669E 15
9223060500 104N 665E 25
9223060506 107N 663E 30
9223060512 110N 661E 30
9223060518 110N 661E 30
9223060500 104N 665E 25
9223060506 107N 663E 30
9223060512 110N 661E 30
9223060518 110N 661E 30
CLICK ON THE IMAGERY BELOW TO GET IT ANIMATED AND ENLARGED. ADVISORY(ABIO) ISSUED AT 051800UTC.
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 66.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 65.8E, APPROXIMATELY 591 NM SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 060203Z SSMIS IMAGE DEPICTS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FORMATIVE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WELL-DEFINED CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW TO MARGINAL LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS). SST VALUES ARE VERY WARM (30-31C) AND SUPPORT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE RAPID CONSOLIDATION WITH A SLOW POLEWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 TO 50 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 994 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE RAPID CONSOLIDATION WITH A SLOW POLEWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC/SOUTH CHINA SEA: INVEST 99W. ESTIMATED LOCATION AND INTENSITY AT 051800UTC.
