Menu

Western Pacific: quiet//Cyclone Headline: rapidly intensifying Hurricane 09L(IDA) set to reach CAT 4, bearing down on Louisiana coast//14E(NORA) update, 29/04utc



CYCLONE HEADLINE. ATLANTIC. HURRICANE 09L(IDA) CATEGORY 2 IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AND IS BEARING DOWN ON THE LOUISIANA COAST. FOR FURTHER DETAILS CHECK DOWN BELOW TO THE ATLANTIC SECTION. IF NEEDED CLICK ON THE IMAGERY TO ANIMATE IT.
CYCLONE HEADLINE. ATLANTIC. HURRICANE 09L(IDA) CATEGORY 2 IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AND IS BEARING DOWN ON THE LOUISIANA COAST. FOR FURTHER DETAILS CHECK DOWN BELOW TO THE ATLANTIC SECTION. IF NEEDED CLICK ON THE IMAGERY TO ANIMATE IT.


WESTERN PACIFIC, INDIAN OCEAN AND SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE: NO SUSPECT AREAS.
WESTERN PACIFIC, INDIAN OCEAN AND SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE: NO SUSPECT AREAS.
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
 JTWC PH
ILES SOEURS
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

29/00UTC.
29/00UTC.

EASTERN PACIFIC. HU 14E(NORA). WARNING 14 ISSUED AT 29/04UTC. 14E TOOK A TEMPORARY TURN TO THE RIGHT AND MADE A BRIEF LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF JALISCO BUT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OFFSHORE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE WEAKENING BELOW 65KNOTS BY 30/00UTC.
EASTERN PACIFIC. HU 14E(NORA). WARNING 14 ISSUED AT 29/04UTC. 14E TOOK A TEMPORARY TURN TO THE RIGHT AND MADE A BRIEF LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF JALISCO BUT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OFFSHORE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE WEAKENING BELOW 65KNOTS BY 30/00UTC.
1421082300 116N 915W  15
1421082306 118N 920W  15
1421082312 120N 925W  15
1421082318 122N 930W  15
1421082400 123N 935W  15
1421082406 125N 942W  20
1421082412 126N 950W  25
1421082418 126N 960W  30
1421082500 126N 970W  30
1421082506 126N 974W  30
1421082512 126N 978W  30
1421082518 126N 981W  30
1421082600 127N 985W  30
1421082606 129N 994W  30
1421082612 130N1003W  35
1421082618 131N1011W  35
1421082700 137N1021W  40
1421082706 142N1030W  45
1421082712 147N1039W  50
1421082718 153N1046W  55
1421082800 159N1049W  55
1421082806 168N1051W  65
1421082812 178N1052W  70
1421082818 191N1053W  75
1421082900 207N1055W  65
NNNN

HU 14E(NORA). GUIDANCE IS SPLIT.
HU 14E(NORA). GUIDANCE IS SPLIT.

14E. DEGRADED CLOUD PATTERN DUE TO THE LANDFALL BUT THE CENTER IS STILL WELL DEFINED.
14E. DEGRADED CLOUD PATTERN DUE TO THE LANDFALL BUT THE CENTER IS STILL WELL DEFINED.

29/00UTC.
29/00UTC.

ATLANTIC. HU 09L(IDA). WARNING 11 ISSUED AT 29/03UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 90KNOTS/CAT 2 WITH A FLIGHT RECONNAISSANCE READING A MSLP OF 966MB/HPA. INDICATIONS WERE THE PRESSURE WAS FALLING 2MB/H WHILE SATELLITE SIGNATURE IS RAPIDLY IMPROVING. THIS SYSTEM IS POISED TO REACH CAT 4 WITHIN THE NEXT 6/12HOURS.
ATLANTIC. HU 09L(IDA). WARNING 11 ISSUED AT 29/03UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 90KNOTS/CAT 2 WITH A FLIGHT RECONNAISSANCE READING A MSLP OF 966MB/HPA. INDICATIONS WERE THE PRESSURE WAS FALLING 2MB/H WHILE SATELLITE SIGNATURE IS RAPIDLY IMPROVING. THIS SYSTEM IS POISED TO REACH CAT 4 WITHIN THE NEXT 6/12HOURS.
0921082406 118N 642W  20
0921082412 120N 664W  20
0921082418 121N 686W  25
0921082500 123N 708W  25
0921082506 125N 731W  25
0921082512 131N 749W  30
0921082518 135N 760W  30
0921082600 140N 770W  30
0921082606 152N 780W  30
0921082612 164N 790W  30
0921082618 175N 794W  35
0921082700 180N 801W  40
0921082706 195N 809W  45
0921082712 204N 817W  55
0921082718 216N 827W  70
0921082800 225N 835W  70
0921082806 235N 847W  70
0921082812 244N 857W  75
0921082818 256N 866W  90

HU 09L(IDA). FORECAST LANDFALL AREA NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA AREA.
HU 09L(IDA). FORECAST LANDFALL AREA NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA AREA.

HU 09L(IDA). GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT TRACK-WISE.
HU 09L(IDA). GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT TRACK-WISE.

HU 09L(IDA). 28/18UTC HWRF INTENSITY GUIDANCE: 121KNOTS AT +24H.
HU 09L(IDA). 28/18UTC HWRF INTENSITY GUIDANCE: 121KNOTS AT +24H.

HU 09L(IDA). 29/18UTC HMON INTENSITY GUIDANCE: 133KNOTS AT +18H.
HU 09L(IDA). 29/18UTC HMON INTENSITY GUIDANCE: 133KNOTS AT +18H.

HU 09L(IDA) IS TRACKING (14KNOTS) OVER A WARM EDDY COUPLED WITH LOW WINDSHEAR ALOFT. CONDITIONS ARE INDUCING RAPID DEEPENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.
HU 09L(IDA) IS TRACKING (14KNOTS) OVER A WARM EDDY COUPLED WITH LOW WINDSHEAR ALOFT. CONDITIONS ARE INDUCING RAPID DEEPENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.

HU 09L(IDA).
HU 09L(IDA).

TD 10L. WARNING 4 ISSUED AT 29/03UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 30KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 40KNOTS BY 01/00UTC.
TD 10L. WARNING 4 ISSUED AT 29/03UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 30KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 40KNOTS BY 01/00UTC.
1021082200 126N 148W  15
1021082206 111N 155W  15
1021082212  99N 162W  20
1021082218  87N 171W  20
1021082300  79N 182W  20
1021082306  74N 195W  20
1021082312  74N 208W  25
1021082318  74N 221W  25
1021082400  77N 235W  25
1021082406  84N 251W  25
1021082412  90N 267W  25
1021082418  94N 283W  25
1021082500  99N 302W  25
1021082506 103N 320W  25
1021082512 108N 338W  25
1021082518 114N 353W  25
1021082600 116N 367W  25
1021082606 121N 386W  25
1021082612 123N 404W  25
1021082618 123N 424W  25
1021082700 126N 445W  25
1021082706 129N 462W  25
1021082712 131N 473W  25
1021082718 133N 484W  25
1021082800 135N 495W  25
1021082806 137N 498W  30
1021082812 145N 500W  30
1021082818 152N 500W  30
1021082900 162N 499W  30
 

TD 10L. GUIDANCE.
TD 10L. GUIDANCE.

TD 11L. WARNING 1 ISSUED AT 29/03UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 30KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 50KNOTS BY 30/12UTC.
TD 11L. WARNING 1 ISSUED AT 29/03UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 30KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 50KNOTS BY 30/12UTC.
1121082118 112N 249W  15
1121082200 113N 270W  15
1121082206 115N 291W  15
1121082212 120N 312W  15
1121082218 128N 332W  15
1121082300 140N 351W  25
1121082306 155N 367W  25
1121082312 170N 382W  25
1121082318 187N 403W  25
1121082400 201N 426W  35
1121082406 214N 449W  35
1121082412 226N 472W  30
1121082418 237N 494W  30
1121082500 244N 513W  30
1121082506 251N 530W  30
1121082512 259N 544W  30
1121082518 266N 553W  30
1121082600 279N 555W  30
1121082606 293N 555W  25
1121082612 307N 554W  25
1121082618 317N 546W  25
1121082700 328N 536W  25
1121082706 331N 535W  25
1121082712 332N 532W  25
1121082718 331N 530W  25
1121082800 327N 528W  20
1121082806 323N 524W  20
1121082812 321N 518W  25
1121082818 323N 509W  30
1121082900 327N 501W  30
 

TD 11L. GUIDANCE.
TD 11L. GUIDANCE.

29/0530UTC.
29/0530UTC.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Sunday, August 29th 2021 à 10:04
Les News
Liens utiles
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 90S Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert//ECMWF 10 Day Storm Tracks//3 Week TC Formation Probability//0103utc

ECMWF 10 Day Storm Tracks// 3Week TC Formation Probability// 2403utc

TC 22P(PAUL)// Remnants of TC 21S(OLGA)// ECMWF 10 Day Storm Tracks// 1103utc

TC 21S(OLGA) SAR reveals still a bit stronger than expected// INVEST 97P// ECMWF 10 Day Storm Traccks// 0903utc

TC 21S(OLGA) peaked as a powerful CAT 4 US// ECMWF 10 Day Storm Tracks// 0803utc