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WNP: Invest 95W now on the map// ENP: update on 05E(ENRIQUE)/ North Atlantic: 04L(DANNY). 29/06utc update



AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR  20.0N 140.9E, APPROXIMATELY 785 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED  MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF FLARING, DEEP  CONVECTION OBSCURING A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 290016Z  MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICTS A WEAK, DISORGANIZED LLC. A PARTIAL  282307Z ASCAT-A PASS SHOWS A SYMMETRIC LLC WITH AN AREA OF 10-15 KNOT  WINDS, WITH ISOLATED 20 KNOT WINDS LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE LLC.  INVEST 95W IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10- 15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE  TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND DRY AIR  ENTRAINMENT FROM THE NORTH.THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT  TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20.0N 140.9E, APPROXIMATELY 785 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF FLARING, DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 290016Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICTS A WEAK, DISORGANIZED LLC. A PARTIAL 282307Z ASCAT-A PASS SHOWS A SYMMETRIC LLC WITH AN AREA OF 10-15 KNOT WINDS, WITH ISOLATED 20 KNOT WINDS LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE LLC. INVEST 95W IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10- 15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM THE NORTH.THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
2021 JUNE 29 0630UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
INVEST #95W
UPDATE
As of 03:00 UTC June 29, 2021:
Location: 20.0°N 140.9°E
Maximum Winds: 12/18 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1010 mb
LOCATED AT 29/00UTC 785 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: LOW

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
JTWC PH
ILES SOEURS

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 98W: DESPITE THE WELL DEFINED NATURE OF THE  LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, THE NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT AS IT  TRANSITS TO THE WEST.
INVEST 98W: DESPITE THE WELL DEFINED NATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, THE NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRANSITS TO THE WEST.

EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC: 05E(ENRIQUE). WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM.
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC: 05E(ENRIQUE). WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM.
0521062206  86N 865W  15
0521062212  91N 886W  15
0521062218  96N 907W  15
0521062300 104N 927W  20
0521062306 111N 941W  20
0521062312 117N 950W  25
0521062318 121N 959W  25
0521062400 124N 969W  25
0521062406 129N 978W  25
0521062412 135N 986W  25
0521062418 141N 995W  25
0521062500 148N1004W  30
0521062506 151N1013W  35
0521062512 155N1021W  40
0521062518 158N1030W  45
0521062600 162N1038W  55
0521062606 165N1045W  60
0521062612 168N1051W  70
0521062618 169N1056W  75
0521062700 171N1059W  75
0521062706 174N1059W  80
0521062712 180N1058W  80
0521062718 187N1057W  80
0521062800 194N1059W  80
0521062806 198N1062W  80
0521062812 202N1066W  75
0521062818 206N1071W  60
0521062900 209N1073W  50

05E(ENRIQUE). GUIDANCE.
05E(ENRIQUE). GUIDANCE.


NORTH ATLANTIC. 04L(DANNY). THIS SYSTEM BRIEFLY REACHED 35KNOT WINDS.
NORTH ATLANTIC. 04L(DANNY). THIS SYSTEM BRIEFLY REACHED 35KNOT WINDS.
0421062612 282N 649W  25
0421062618 284N 665W  25
0421062700 286N 681W  15
0421062706 289N 697W  30
0421062712 293N 712W  30
0421062718 298N 728W  30
0421062800 301N 745W  30
0421062806 307N 761W  30
0421062812 315N 776W  30
0421062818 321N 794W  35
0421062900 323N 807W  30
 

04L(DANNY). GUIDANCE.
04L(DANNY). GUIDANCE.

29/00UTC.
29/00UTC.

29/00UTC.
29/00UTC.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Tuesday, June 29th 2021 à 10:53