Menu

UPDATE: TC 16S(ELEANOR) possible Rapid Intensification next 24/36H while gradually approaching MAURITIUS//TC 14P// 2006utc



CLICK ON THE IMAGERIES BELOW TO GET THEM ENLARGED

JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS AND 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON TC 16S. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED ON THE OVERLAND REMNANTS OF TC 14P.
JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS AND 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON TC 16S. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED ON THE OVERLAND REMNANTS OF TC 14P.

UPDATE: TC 16S(ELEANOR) possible Rapid Intensification next 24/36H while gradually approaching MAURITIUS//TC 14P// 2006utc

SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN: TC 16S(ELEANOR). ESTIMATED CURRENT INTENSITY IS 50 KNOTS: + 15 KNOTS OVER 24 HOURS


 

CLICK ON THE IMAGERY BELOW TO GET IT ANIMATED AND ENLARGED.


UPDATED SATELLITE BULLETIN AT 20/0530UTC: INTENSIFYING SYSTEM

UPDATE: TC 16S(ELEANOR) possible Rapid Intensification next 24/36H while gradually approaching MAURITIUS//TC 14P// 2006utc
TPXS13 PGTW 200616

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (ELEANOR)

B. 20/0530Z

C. 13.91S

D. 58.81E

E. FIVE/MET9

F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 44A/PBO LARGE CDO/ANMTN. IRREGULAR CDO OF 80NM IN
DIAMETER YIELDS A CF OF 2.0. ADDED 1.5 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF 3.5.
MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   20/0146Z  14.08S  57.92E  SSMS


   CVACH

Model Diagnostic Plot



Ensemble Track Ellipses


Rapid Intensification Guidance RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE NEXT 24/36 HOURS


TC 16S SHOULD BENEFIT FROM INCREASING POLEWARD DIVERGENCE WHICH SHOULD FUEL INTENSIFICATION


AUSTRALIA: OVERLAND REMNANTS OF TC 14P(LINCOLN)



Ensemble Track Ellipses


UPDATED SATELLITE BULLETIN AT 20/0530UTC: SYSTEM STILL OVERLAND: NO DVORAK CLASSIFICATION

UPDATE: TC 16S(ELEANOR) possible Rapid Intensification next 24/36H while gradually approaching MAURITIUS//TC 14P// 2006utc
TPPS11 PGTW 200616

A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LINCOLN)

B. 20/0530Z

C. 17.72S

D. 127.00E

E. FIVE/GK2A

F. N/A

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE
DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


   CVACH


Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Tuesday, February 20th 2024 à 11:19