Remnants of 08S(DANILO) and Invest 98S: Update at 10/06utc



REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO): VERY WEAK SYSTEM.LOCATED APPRX 275 ENE OF MAURITIUS AND 500KM ENE OF RÉUNION.
STILL BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION WHICH ARE UNLIKELY.
2021 JAN 10 0720UTC #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
REMNANTS OF #08S #DANILO
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Jan 10, 2021:
Location: 19.3°S 60.2°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
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INVEST #98S  #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
As of 06:00 UTC Jan 10, 2021:
Location: 17.1°S 95.6°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
LOW
ABIO10 PGTW 091800
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.9S 100.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2S 99.4E, APPROXIMATELY
830 KM SOUTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 091522Z MHS 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
INVEST 98S IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT
WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND
WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98S WILL TRACK TO THE SOUTHWESTWARD AND WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau

10/0645UTC. THE 2 WEAK SYSTEMS ARE 3750KM APART.
10/0645UTC. THE 2 WEAK SYSTEMS ARE 3750KM APART.

REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO). GFS IS NOT RE-DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM.
REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO). GFS IS NOT RE-DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM.

INVEST 98S. GFS IS NOT DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM.
INVEST 98S. GFS IS NOT DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM.

10/0440UTC. REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO). ASCAT CAPTURED VERY WEAK WINDS.
10/0440UTC. REMNANTS OF 08S(DANILO). ASCAT CAPTURED VERY WEAK WINDS.


10/0325UTC. INVEST 98S. ASCAT DEPICTED STRONG WINDS UP TO 30/35KNOTS SOUTH OF THE ASSESSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
10/0325UTC. INVEST 98S. ASCAT DEPICTED STRONG WINDS UP TO 30/35KNOTS SOUTH OF THE ASSESSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.

Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Dimanche 10 Janvier 2021 à 11:45