WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC: INVEST 92W. DOWN-GRADED FROM HIGH TO MEDIUM AT 03/2230UTC
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.78N 128.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.63N 123.4E, APPROXIMATELY 515 KM EAST OF PUERTO PRINCESA. THE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING ASSOCIATED WITH INVEST 92W HAS TRACKED OVER THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS, LOWERING THE PROBABILITY OF IMMEDIATE FORMATION. HOWEVER, MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES INVEST 92W WILL TRACK WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
9221100106 60N1373E 15
9221100112 62N1360E 15
9221100118 63N1348E 15
9221100200 64N1338E 15
9221100206 66N1328E 15
9221100212 68N1318E 20
9221100218 71N1305E 20
9221100300 75N1297E 20
9221100306 82N1281E 20
9221100312 87N1271E 20
9221100318 94N1260E 20
9221100400 101N1251E 20
9221100406 97N1229E 20
NNNN
9221100112 62N1360E 15
9221100118 63N1348E 15
9221100200 64N1338E 15
9221100206 66N1328E 15
9221100212 68N1318E 20
9221100218 71N1305E 20
9221100300 75N1297E 20
9221100306 82N1281E 20
9221100312 87N1271E 20
9221100318 94N1260E 20
9221100400 101N1251E 20
9221100406 97N1229E 20
NNNN
MODELS VARY REGARDING INTENSITY WITH GFS DETERMINISTIC BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE INDICATING INVEST 92W WILL STRENGTHEN NEAR WARNING CRITERIA.
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN: TC 03B(SHAHEEN-GULAB). WARNING 24/FINAL ISSUED AT 03/21UTC
PEAK INTENSITY WAS 70 KNOTS/CAT 1
0321092312 175N 947E 15
0321092318 177N 940E 20
0321092400 180N 934E 20
0321092406 185N 921E 35
0321092412 183N 910E 35
0321092418 183N 903E 35
0321092500 182N 897E 35
0321092506 182N 893E 35
0321092512 182N 888E 40
0321092518 183N 882E 40
0321092600 184N 871E 40
0321092606 184N 853E 40
0321092612 184N 843E 40
0321092618 180N 833E 35
0321092700 180N 821E 30
0321092706 182N 811E 25
0321092712 191N 801E 25
0321092718 195N 790E 20
0321092800 198N 779E 20
0321092806 200N 772E 20
0321092812 203N 767E 20
0321092818 208N 755E 20
0321092900 215N 741E 20
0321092906 221N 726E 25
0321092912 226N 714E 25
0321092918 226N 697E 25
0321093000 225N 689E 25
0321093006 227N 682E 25
0321093012 227N 669E 30
0321093018 228N 662E 40
0321100100 229N 653E 45
0321100106 231N 644E 50
0321100112 236N 638E 60
0321100118 237N 632E 60
0321100200 238N 625E 65
0321100206 241N 616E 60
0321100212 242N 608E 65
0321100218 242N 600E 65
0321100300 242N 593E 70
0321100306 241N 586E 70
0321100312 240N 581E 65
0321100318 238N 574E 55
NNNN
0321092312 175N 947E 15
0321092318 177N 940E 20
0321092400 180N 934E 20
0321092406 185N 921E 35
0321092412 183N 910E 35
0321092418 183N 903E 35
0321092500 182N 897E 35
0321092506 182N 893E 35
0321092512 182N 888E 40
0321092518 183N 882E 40
0321092600 184N 871E 40
0321092606 184N 853E 40
0321092612 184N 843E 40
0321092618 180N 833E 35
0321092700 180N 821E 30
0321092706 182N 811E 25
0321092712 191N 801E 25
0321092718 195N 790E 20
0321092800 198N 779E 20
0321092806 200N 772E 20
0321092812 203N 767E 20
0321092818 208N 755E 20
0321092900 215N 741E 20
0321092906 221N 726E 25
0321092912 226N 714E 25
0321092918 226N 697E 25
0321093000 225N 689E 25
0321093006 227N 682E 25
0321093012 227N 669E 30
0321093018 228N 662E 40
0321100100 229N 653E 45
0321100106 231N 644E 50
0321100112 236N 638E 60
0321100118 237N 632E 60
0321100200 238N 625E 65
0321100206 241N 616E 60
0321100212 242N 608E 65
0321100218 242N 600E 65
0321100300 242N 593E 70
0321100306 241N 586E 70
0321100312 240N 581E 65
0321100318 238N 574E 55
NNNN
TC 03B(SHAHEEN-GULAB). TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE.
ATLANTIC: HU 18L(SAM). WARNING 46 ISSUED AT 04/03UTC
CURRENT INTENSITY IS 90KNOTS/CAT 2 AND IS FORECAST TO DECREASE AT 65KNOTS/CAT 1 BY 06/00UTC.
1821091900 103N 115W 15
1821091906 100N 131W 15
1821091912 98N 147W 15
1821091918 96N 163W 15
1821092000 95N 178W 20
1821092006 95N 193W 25
1821092012 93N 210W 25
1821092018 94N 228W 25
1821092100 95N 247W 25
1821092106 95N 261W 25
1821092112 95N 273W 25
1821092118 95N 285W 25
1821092200 96N 296W 25
1821092206 96N 307W 25
1821092212 98N 319W 30
1821092218 100N 331W 30
1821092300 102N 344W 30
1821092306 105N 360W 35
1821092312 107N 376W 45
1821092318 109N 391W 50
1821092406 114N 416W 65
1821092412 116N 431W 65
1821092418 119N 443W 70
1821092500 123N 454W 85
1821092506 127N 463W 95
1821092512 128N 472W 105
1821092518 131N 481W 115
1821092600 134N 487W 125
1821092606 137N 494W 125
1821092612 138N 500W 130
1821092618 140N 503W 135
1821092700 145N 506W 130
1821092706 150N 511W 115
1821092712 154N 517W 105
1821092718 159N 523W 105
1821092800 165N 529W 105
1821092806 170N 536W 115
1821092812 173N 541W 115
1821092818 177N 547W 115
1821092900 181N 553W 115
1821092906 186N 559W 115
1821092912 191N 566W 115
1821092918 197N 573W 115
1821093000 203N 580W 125
1821093006 210N 588W 125
1821093012 220N 596W 125
1821093018 230N 604W 125
1821100100 243N 610W 125
1821100106 258N 616W 130
1821100112 276N 619W 130
1821100118 292N 619W 130
1821100200 307N 615W 125
1821100206 321N 610W 120
1821100212 333N 598W 115
1821100218 348N 587W 110
1821100300 359N 577W 100
1821100306 367N 566W 90
1821100312 373N 554W 85
1821100318 380N 538W 85
1821100400 387N 522W 90
1821091906 100N 131W 15
1821091912 98N 147W 15
1821091918 96N 163W 15
1821092000 95N 178W 20
1821092006 95N 193W 25
1821092012 93N 210W 25
1821092018 94N 228W 25
1821092100 95N 247W 25
1821092106 95N 261W 25
1821092112 95N 273W 25
1821092118 95N 285W 25
1821092200 96N 296W 25
1821092206 96N 307W 25
1821092212 98N 319W 30
1821092218 100N 331W 30
1821092300 102N 344W 30
1821092306 105N 360W 35
1821092312 107N 376W 45
1821092318 109N 391W 50
1821092406 114N 416W 65
1821092412 116N 431W 65
1821092418 119N 443W 70
1821092500 123N 454W 85
1821092506 127N 463W 95
1821092512 128N 472W 105
1821092518 131N 481W 115
1821092600 134N 487W 125
1821092606 137N 494W 125
1821092612 138N 500W 130
1821092618 140N 503W 135
1821092700 145N 506W 130
1821092706 150N 511W 115
1821092712 154N 517W 105
1821092718 159N 523W 105
1821092800 165N 529W 105
1821092806 170N 536W 115
1821092812 173N 541W 115
1821092818 177N 547W 115
1821092900 181N 553W 115
1821092906 186N 559W 115
1821092912 191N 566W 115
1821092918 197N 573W 115
1821093000 203N 580W 125
1821093006 210N 588W 125
1821093012 220N 596W 125
1821093018 230N 604W 125
1821100100 243N 610W 125
1821100106 258N 616W 130
1821100112 276N 619W 130
1821100118 292N 619W 130
1821100200 307N 615W 125
1821100206 321N 610W 120
1821100212 333N 598W 115
1821100218 348N 587W 110
1821100300 359N 577W 100
1821100306 367N 566W 90
1821100312 373N 554W 85
1821100318 380N 538W 85
1821100400 387N 522W 90
HU 18L(SAM). TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE.
HU 18L(SAM). 04/0620UTC.
ATLANTIC: TD 20L(VICTOR). WARNING 19 ISSUED AT 04/03UTC
CURRENT INTENSITY IS 30KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO DECREASE AT 25KNOTS BY 04/12UTC.
2021092900 70N 220W 30
2021092906 75N 234W 30
2021092912 80N 241W 30
2021092918 81N 251W 35
2021093000 83N 260W 35
2021093006 87N 271W 40
2021093012 92N 284W 40
2021093018 98N 295W 40
2021100100 105N 306W 50
2021100106 110N 317W 50
2021100112 114N 330W 55
2021100118 118N 338W 55
2021100200 121N 349W 50
2021100206 125N 358W 45
2021100212 127N 367W 35
2021100218 134N 376W 30
2021100300 145N 385W 30
2021100306 151N 392W 30
2021100312 157N 400W 30
2021100318 166N 408W 30
2021100400 174N 424W 30
2021092906 75N 234W 30
2021092912 80N 241W 30
2021092918 81N 251W 35
2021093000 83N 260W 35
2021093006 87N 271W 40
2021093012 92N 284W 40
2021093018 98N 295W 40
2021100100 105N 306W 50
2021100106 110N 317W 50
2021100112 114N 330W 55
2021100118 118N 338W 55
2021100200 121N 349W 50
2021100206 125N 358W 45
2021100212 127N 367W 35
2021100218 134N 376W 30
2021100300 145N 385W 30
2021100306 151N 392W 30
2021100312 157N 400W 30
2021100318 166N 408W 30
2021100400 174N 424W 30
TD 20L(VICTOR). TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE.
04/0615UTC.
