12Z Update: 13S(FRANCISCO) close to landfall near Vatomandry, 94S: Tropcial Cyclone Formation Alert



TC 13S: ANIMATION. THE 35KNOTS CYCLONE WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR VATOMANDRY WITHIN THE NEXT HOURS

CIRA/US
CIRA/US
TC 13S( FRANCISCO) SOUTH INDIAN
As of 12:00 UTC Feb 14, 2020:
Location: 19.1°S 49.3°E
Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb

TPXS10 PGTW 141204
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (FRANCISCO)
B. 14/1130Z
C. 19.14S
D. 49.45E
E. FIVE/MET8
F. T1.5/2.5/S0.0/24HRS  STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .30 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 1.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
 RHOADES

INVEST 94S SOUTH INDIAN
As of 12:00 UTC Feb 14, 2020:
Location: 14.8°S 75.3°E
Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h)
Gusts: 40 kt 5 75km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb

TPXS11 PGTW 141207
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94S (SE OF DIEGO GARCIA)
B. 14/1130Z
C. 14.55S
D. 75.13E
E. FIVE/MET8
F. T1.5/1.5  STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .30 ON
LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 1.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
 RHOADES



 

13S: WARNING 6 AT 06Z WITH 12Z POSITION INDICATED


TC 13S: TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE


INVEST 94S: TCFA


 

94S: TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE


02/14 0815UTC

Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Vendredi 14 Février 2020 à 18:23