09UTC: TD 03W is dissipating while close to landfall in 12hours near Davao/Mindanao. Max intensity reached was 25knots. JMV File joined


Warning 14/JTWC + JMV FILE


06UTC
06UTC
https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/
TD 03W
As of 06:00 UTC Mar 18, 2019:

Location: 6.6°N 128.5°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt ( 40km/h)
Gusts:  kt ( )

Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb
WEAKENING

REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 6.6N 127.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM
EAST OF DAVAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH A SMALL AREA OF FRAGMENTED CONVECTION
SHEARED NORTHWESTWARD OF A RAGGED, EXPOSED, AND ILL-DEFINED
CIRCULATION. A 180121Z DIRECT ASCAT PASS INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION HAS UNRAVELED AND OPENED INTO A WAVE/INVERTED TROUGH. THE
SAME ASCAT IMAGERY AND AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD
INDICATE THE TD HAS WEAKENED TO BELOW JTWC WARNING CRITERIA AND IS
NOT EXPECTED TO RECOVER AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA
UNDER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, BY TAU 12, THE
SYSTEM WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLAND OF
MINDANAO NEAR DAVAO LEADING TO ITS FURTHER EROSION. HOWEVER, THE
SHEARED CONVECTION WILL STILL BRING NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AND LARGE
AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION THAT CAN TRIGGER GUSTY WIND CONDITIONS AND
FLASH FLOODING OVER SOUTHERN MINDANAO. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 10 FEET.//
NNNN
JMV FILE/JTWC
0319031300  54N1553E  20
0319031306  57N1538E  20
0319031312  59N1525E  20
0319031318  60N1512E  20
0319031400  62N1498E  20
0319031406  66N1484E  20
0319031412  73N1469E  20
0319031418  79N1454E  20
0319031500  80N1441E  25
0319031506  80N1429E  25
0319031512  79N1417E  25
0319031518  78N1410E  25
0319031600  77N1400E  25
0319031606  76N1388E  25
0319031612  75N1375E  25
0319031618  74N1362E  25
0319031700  73N1347E  25
0319031706  74N1337E  25
0319031712  73N1328E  25
0319031718  71N1314E  25
0319031800  68N1301E  20
0319031806  66N1285E  20
NNNN
 

WARNING 14/JTWC
WARNING 14/JTWC

FORECAST LANDFALL AREA
FORECAST LANDFALL AREA

WARNING 14/JTWC
WARNING 14/JTWC

06UTC . FY2G
06UTC . FY2G

 





Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Lundi 18 Mars 2019 à 15:00