CLICK ON THE IMAGERIES BELOW TO GET THEM ENLARGED
WESTERN PACIFIC: INVEST 95W. ADVISORY ISSUED BY JTWC @ 29/0600 UTC
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.3N 168.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 167.8E, APPROXIMATELY 25 NM NORTH OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS A BROAD AND ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN AND WESTERN BOUNDARIES OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (LESS THAN 15 KNOTS), GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS DEPICT 95W CONTINUING TO CONSOLIDATE WITH SLOW MOVEMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
AI Model Track Forecasts
WESTERN PACIFIC: INVEST 96W. ADVISORY ISSUED BY JTWC @ 29/0600 UTC
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.9N 129.9E, APPROXIMATELY 591NM OF EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW INVEST 96W TRANSITING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINES OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS WITH POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
AI Model Track Forecasts
