JTWC Patrick Hoareau | Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

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SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA), 65knots/US Cat1, forecast to steadily weaken and remain slow-moving over 72hours, 14/09utc update - 03/14/2021 - 13:50

24S(HABANA). 14/09UTC. 9H ANIMATION. TC 24S IS WEAKENING STEADILY UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG (20-30 KNOTS) WEST-NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND DRY AIR...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) down to US/Category 1, is still weakening, 13/12utc update - 03/13/2021 - 17:55

24S(HABANA). 13/13UTC. 9H ANIMATION. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A MUCH WEAKENED CYCLONE FROM 24H AGO( DOWN FROM 115KNOTS TO 80KNOTS). DRY AIR APPEARS TO BE IMPINGING ON THE WESTERN...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) is now rapidly weakening, 13/00utc update - 03/13/2021 - 06:55

24S(HABANA). 13/02UTC. 9H ANIMATION. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS 24S LOSING ITS EYE FEATURE WHEREAS THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING . CLICK TO...

TC 24S(HABANA) still a powerful US/Category 4, intensity likely under-estimated past 24hours, set to weaken rapidly after 24h, 12/09utc update - 03/12/2021 - 14:30

24S(HABANA). 12/09UTC. 15H ANIMATION. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED A COMPACT AND HIGHLY SYMMETRICAL STRUCTURE AND A 45-KM RAGGED BUT WELL-DEFINED EYE....

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) is still close to "Super Typhoon/Cyclone" intensity,forecast to weaken more rapidly after 48h, 11/21utc update - 03/12/2021 - 02:35

24S(HABANA). 11/22UTC. 9H ANIMATION. 24S REMAINS COMPACT AND WELL ORGANIZED. CLOUD-TOPS ARE SLIGHTLY WARMER SINCE 11/1730UTC. 11/2045UTC SATELLITE BULLETIN FROM JTWC HAD DOVRAK AT T6.0/6.5/W0.5/24HRS...

SOUTH INDIAN:24S(HABANA)125knots/Cat4 forecast to weaken slowly next 48hours but short-term intensity increase still possible,11/09utc update - 03/11/2021 - 14:35

24S(HABANA). 11/09UTC. 9H ANIMATION. THE SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE AS THE NEW RAGGED EYE HAS SHRUNK TO APPROXIMATELY 33KM.THE SYSTEM REMAINS COMPACT AND SYMMETRICAL.11/0830UTC...

SOUTH INDIAN: Super Cyclone 24S(HABANA) peaked at 135knots, eye-wall replacement cycle stopped the intensification, 10/21utc update - 03/11/2021 - 04:15

24S(HABANA). 10/23UTC. 18H ANIMATION. UP-DATED JTWC ANALYSIS INDICATE THAT SUPER CYCLONE 24S(HABANA) REACHED A PEAK INTENSITY OF 135KNOTS/CATEGORY 4 AT 10/12UTC. THE EYE-WALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE HAS...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA), explosive intensification,forecast to reach "Super Typhoon/Cyclone" intensity within 3/6hours, 10/09utc update - 03/10/2021 - 14:10

24S(HABANA). 10/09UTC. 6H ANIMATION CENTERED ON THE 15KM EYE FEATURE. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED. 2021 MAR 10 0930UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #24S #HABANA #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN WARNING 13/UPDATE As of...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) is intensifying rapidly and could reach US/Category 4 within the next 6hours, 10/03utc update - 03/10/2021 - 09:05

24S(HABANA). 10/04UTC. 6H ANIMATION. THE CYCLONE IS INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY FAR TO THE EAST-NORHTEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS. THE EYE IS SHARPER AND CONVECTION SURROUNDING IT IS MORE INTENSE. A...

2 week cyclonic development potential: moderate chances for: South Indian, Northwest Australia and East of the Philippines, 09/1830utc update - 03/10/2021 - 07:30

WEEK 1: As predicted in last week's outlook, two tropical cyclones developed over the South Indian Ocean during the past week. Cyclone Habana formed over the south-central Indian Ocean and...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(Habana), 70knots/Cat1, forecast to reach Cat4 by 48h, rapid intensification possible , 09/09utc update - 03/09/2021 - 13:55

24S(HABANA). 09/09UTC. TC 24S HAS BEGUN TO REINTENSIFY AFTER A WEAKENING PHASE ASSOCIATED WITH ITS SLOW FORWARD MOTION AND OCEANIC COOLING. THE REINTENSIFICATION IS EVIDENT IN THE ANIMATED ENHANCED...

SOUTH INDIAN: 25S(IMAN) is now subtropical, 24S(HABANA) forecast to re-intensify after 24h, 08/09utc updates - 03/08/2021 - 14:55

24S(HABANA). ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH TIGHT RAIN BANDS AND A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST THAT HAS WARMED EVEN AS IT MAINTAINED A 22-KM PINHOLE EYE. CLICK TO...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) set to re-intensify after 48hours and 25S(IMAN) analysed at 45knots, 07/21utc updates - 03/08/2021 - 02:00

24S(HABANA) AND 25S(IMAN). ON THE RIGHT END 24S LOST IT EYE FEATURE WHICH HAS BEEN BACK RECENTLY. 25S HAS INTENSIFIED BUT HAS A SHEARED PATTERN. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED. 2021 MAR 07 21UTC...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) still a US/CAT 4, forecast to weaken next 48h and then undergo a 2nd intensity spike, 07/09utc update - 03/07/2021 - 14:55

24S(HABANA). 07/09UTC. 8H ANIMATION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE SHOWS A COMPACT SYSTEM THAT MAINTAINED DEEP, SYMMETRIC CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST AND A PINHOLE 9-KM EYE. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED....

SOUTH INDIAN: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 91S(IMAN) tracking to the west of Réunion island - 03/07/2021 - 04:30

INVEST 91S. 07/00UTC. 9H ANIMATION DEPICTING INTENSE CONVECTION TRACKING OVER RÉUNION ISLAND WHERE A MARKED THUNDERY ACTIVITY IS REPORTED. SEVERAL LOCATIONS REPORT TOPS GUSTS NEAR OR ABOVE...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) still a powerful and compact CAT 4, Invest 91S up-graded to Medium west of Réunion, 06/18utc update - 03/06/2021 - 23:15

06/18UTC. 9H ANIMATION. CAT4 24S(HABANA) ON THE RIGHT END. ON THE LEFT END INVEST 91S IS CURRENTLY ASSESSED AT 30KNOTS WITH ASSOCIATED INTENSE CONVECTION TRACKING PARTLY OVER RÉUNION ISLAND. IF...

SOUTH PACIFIC: 23P(NIRAN), still a US/CAT 2 but will rapidly become subtropical and weaken drastically next 36h, 06/15utc update - 03/06/2021 - 19:20

2021 MAR 06 15UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #23P #NIRAN #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN #CORALSEA WARNING 23 As of 12:00 UTC Mar 06, 2021: Location: 24.3°S 169.5°E Maximum Winds: 90 kt ( 165km/h)...

SOUTH PACIFIC: 23P(NIRAN), US/CAT 3, is tracking rapidly South of New Caledonia, rapidly weakening, 06/03utc update - 03/06/2021 - 07:55

23P(NIRAN). 06/03UTC. WEAKENING SYSTEM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS THE EYE HAS FILLED AND CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE RAGGED AND FRONTAL IN NATURE AS NIRAN ACCELERATES TO...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) US/CAT 4 has not weakened so far, 06/03utc update - 03/06/2021 - 07:30

24S(HABANA). 06/02UTC. 9H ANIMATION SHOWS THE CYCLONE REMAINS COMPACT AND INTENSE. IF NEEDED CLICK ON THE IMAGE TO ANIMATE. 2021 MAR 06 03UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #24S #HABANA ...

SOUTH INDIAN: 24S(HABANA) has reached US/CAT 4 with 260km/h top gusts, still intensifying, 05/15utc update - 03/05/2021 - 19:55

24S(HABANA). 05/1515UTC. SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THIS SYSTEM IS STILL INTENSIFYING. DVORAK HAS REACHED 6.5/6.5 AT 1415UTC. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NEEDED. 2021 MAR 05 15UTC...

SOUTH PACIFIC: Super Cyclone 23P(NIRAN) has reached US/Category 5, bearing down on Noumea/New Caledonia - 03/05/2021 - 19:15

23P(NIRAN). 05/1435UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 23P HAS UNDERGONE A PERIOD OF EXTREME RAPID INTENSIFICATION (ERI), HAVING INTENSIFIED 30 KNOTS IN SIX HOURS, WITH...

South Pacific: 23P(NIRAN) US/Cat 4,still intensifying likely above the forecast/South Indian: 24S(HABANA): explosive intensification,05/09utc updates - 03/05/2021 - 13:30

23P(NIRAN). 05/09UTC. ENHANCED INFRA-RED ANIMATION SHOWS COOLING CLOUD TOPS AROUND THE WELL DEFINED EYE .THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE IS NOW IMPRESSIVE FOR THIS COMPACT SYSTEM. THE CYCLONE IS STILL...

SOUTH PACIFIC: 23P(NIRAN), rapid intensification up to US/Category 4 within 12hours, rapidly approaching NCaledonia area, 05/03utc update - 03/05/2021 - 07:35

2021 MAR 05 03UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #23P #NIRAN #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN #CORALSEA WARNING 17 As of 00:00 UTC Mar 05, 2021: Location: 16.7°S 154.6°E Maximum Winds: 110 kt ( 205km/h) Gusts:...

Southern Hemisphere: the JTWC is monitoring 4 systems at once, 23P(NIRAN), 22S(MARIAN), 24S(HABANA) and Invest 91S. 04/15utc updates - 03/04/2021 - 19:30

04/15UTC. THE JTWC IS ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 23P(NIRAN) AND 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 22S(MARIAN) AND 24S(HABANA). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED FOR THE 3 SYSTEMS. INVEST 91S IS NOW ON THE...

SHEM:busy time! 23P(NIRAN) set to reach US/Cat 4 by 24h/ 22S(MARIAN) still at 55knots/ Invest 90S up-graded to High, Invest 91S soon on the map, 04/03utc updates - 03/04/2021 - 08:05

04/06UTC. JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 23P(NIRAN) AND 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 22S(MARIAN). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED FOR BOTH SYSTEMS. INVEST 90S IS NOW LIKELY TO REACH35KNOTS...

SHEM: 23P(NIRAN) forecast to peak as a strong US/Cat 3 in 36h, 22S(MARIAN) is weakening. Invest 90S now on the map, 03/15utc updates - 03/03/2021 - 19:50

03/18UTC. JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 23P(NIRAN) AND 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 22S(MARIAN). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED FOR BOTH SYSTEMS. INVEST 90S IS NOW ON THE MAP WITH...

Southern HEM: a couple of US/CAT 1 cyclones, 22S(MARIAN) is weakening but 23P(NIRAN) is intensifying, 03/03utc updates - 03/03/2021 - 07:50

2021 MAR 03 03UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #23P #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN #CORALSEA WARNING 9 As of 00:00 UTC Mar 03, 2021: Location: 14.7°S 148.3°E Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h) Gusts: 80 kt (...

SHEM: 23P(NIRAN) 55knots gradually intensifying over the Coral Sea// 22S(MARIAN) 90knots set on a weakening trend, 02/15utc updates - 03/02/2021 - 19:25

22S(MARIAN). 02/1017UTC. DMSP VISIBLE. 2021 MAR 02 15UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #23P #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN #CORALSEA WARNING 7 As of 12:00 UTC Mar 02, 2021: Location: 14.8°S 148.2°E Maximum...

SOUTH INDIAN: 22S(MARIAN) still a US/Category 2, Smap(Nasa) agreed very well, 02/03utc update - 03/02/2021 - 08:05

22S(MARIAN). 02/0335UTC.ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED AND THE EYE IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY MORE RAGGED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND...

CORAL SEA: 23P(NIRAN) forecast to peak near 70knots/US Category 1 by 72hours, 02/03utc update - 03/02/2021 - 07:15

23P(NIRAN). 02/0305UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG FLARING CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). CLICK TO ANIMATE. 2021 MAR 02 03UTC...

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